New Orleans Pelicans @ Houston Rockets Picks and Predictions - March 13th 2026

8:00pm

New Orleans Pelicans (26-56) at Houston Rockets (52-30) is scheduled for for Saturday, March 14, 2026, 12:00 AM CT. Rockets sit installed by 5.5, and the over/under is 229.5. There is enough contrast here to find a real angle instead of forcing a pick.
If the slower team controls possessions, that can cap both rhythm and scoring volume. This preview is designed to give you a clean betting lane on the spread and total, with key players, injuries, and props supporting the read, and if you are still choosing where to bet, our best NBA sportsbooks guide is a useful place to compare books before you bet.
NBA odds and lines for New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets
If you are scanning the away side quickly, start with a clear form line: last-five ATS: 4-1-0, then layer in fresh detail from average margin: 30. The widget below will update late, so treat NBA odds for New Orleans Pelicans as your main page for a quick check-in.
Houston Rockets sets the tone with a game-shaped profile: last-five ATS: 2-3-0 plus a distinct indicator in last-five over-under: 2-3-0. If you want a home-first reference without extra clicks, NBA odds for Houston Rockets stays clear and current.
NOP at HOU Rest & Travel Report: Schedule Factors
With days since last game staying level (2 vs 2), the angle points on miles and schedule compression. Houston Rockets has the tougher last opponent on the sheet (61.2 vs 56.1), and that can set a higher threshold for repetition.
Games in the last 7 days is even (0 vs 0), so density is less likely to be the main driver by itself. On the immediate travel row (880.3 vs 316.7), Houston Rockets is higher, which can add a drag early and again in the third-quarter reset. On last-7 miles (0 vs 0), it is even, and the weekly travel picture stays level.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 2 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | 0 | 0 |
| Travel miles since last game | 316.7 | 880.3 |
| Games in last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Time zone changes | 0 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Schedule strength | 40.9 | 55.4 |
| Remaining schedule strength | — | — |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 56.1 | 61.2 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 61.5 | 32.8 |
New Users – Get $350 in Bonus Bets when you wager $5 for 7 days New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets Quarter Splits: 1Q to 4Q and Halves
When the game breaks into segments, these splits assist identify the hot spots; you can compare that view with NBA lines and odds. Start with New Orleans Pelicans—a simple readout shows: best quarter is 1Q, and its stronger half is the first half. Then Houston Rockets—a fresh readout shows: peaks in 3Q with the edge in the first half.
| Segment | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q Points | 29.1 | 28.6 |
| 2Q Points | 29 | 28.1 |
| 3Q Points | 28.5 | 29 |
| 4Q Points | 28.3 | 27.4 |
| 1H Points | 58.1 | 56.6 |
| 2H Points | 56.8 | 56.3 |
Season Profile Comparison: New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets
These tables are grouped to make the season profile easier to scan. Each category is anchored to two key stats, since that’s usually where you can tell which side has the cleaner path if the game follows form.
Record & Scoring
Houston Rockets leads both win percentage (73.2) and point margin (5.2), a strong signal that the scoring baseline is on their side. If New Orleans Pelicans is going to swing this category, it usually needs a pace spike or a shooting night that compresses the margin fast.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 26-56 | 52-30 |
| Win Percentage | 22 | 73.2 |
| Points For | 115.5 | 115.2 |
| Points Against | 120 | 110 |
| Points Margin | -4.5 | 5.2 |
Efficiency
Houston Rockets owns the edge in shooting efficiency (108.2) and field goal efficiency (54.2), which is a strong indicator of cleaner scoring. If New Orleans Pelicans can’t contest without fouling or giving up clean looks, this category tends to stay home-leaning.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 108.1 | 108.2 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 52.7 | 54.2 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
This section is mixed: net rating favors Houston Rockets (4.6), but turnover control favors New Orleans Pelicans (13.5). If pace is high, the cleaner turnover team can flatten the rating advantage by avoiding the quick-swing possessions.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 103.2 | 99 |
| Net Rating | -4.2 | 4.6 |
| Offensive Rating | 111.4 | 114.8 |
| Defensive Rating | 115.5 | 110.2 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 13.5 | 14.4 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
Offensive rebounds and steals don’t separate the teams much (0.3 vs 0.3, 8.9 vs 8.5), so the best edge is often effort consistency. If one side wins the 50/50 plays for a single quarter, it can flip the possession count enough to matter.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 43.9 | 48.1 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 25.1 | 25.4 |
| Assist Rate | 59.6 | 59.1 |
| Steals Per Game | 8.9 | 8.5 |
| Blocks Per Game | 5.2 | 5.8 |
For a quick scan, visit NBA odds to compare updated numbers. A clean refresh can flag where the market is moving.
New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets Series History and Last Meeting
The most recent meeting is a simple guide: Rockets won 130-128, with a 2 margin. The series table below links that result to the larger head-to-head record.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 130-128 |
| Last meeting winner | Rockets |
| Last meeting margin | 2 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3.6 | 239.2 | 2-0-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Home | 4 | 3 | 1 | -3.6 | 239.2 | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 |
New Orleans Pelicans at Houston Rockets Key Players by Usage%: Top 3 Per Team
The primary usage driver here is Tristen Newton (Houston Rockets), and the table below connects that workload to the same production and efficiency markers. Their brief summary: Min 12, Usage% 36.5, 12 PPG, 3 RPG, 0 APG, TS% 58.1, eFG% 55.6, +/- 2, and TO/G 0.
New Orleans Pelicans’s leaders are Dejounte Murray (26.8), Zion Williamson (25.9), and Jeremiah Fears (25.6), and Houston Rockets’s leaders are Tristen Newton (36.5), Kevin Durant (27.3), and Alperen Şengün (26.8), and this list highlights who is most involved. A more tight top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a even top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
For a quick check at the award market, open the current MVP board. Start with our MVP odds NBA and sort the names.
| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans | Dejounte Murray | 28 | 26.8 | 16.7 | 5.4 | 6.4 | 58 | 53.6 | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | Zion Williamson | 30 | 25.9 | 21 | 5.7 | 3.2 | 64.4 | 60 | -1.3 | 2 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | Jeremiah Fears | 26 | 25.6 | 14.3 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 52.5 | 48.5 | -3.5 | 2.2 |
| Houston Rockets | Tristen Newton | 12 | 36.5 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 58.1 | 55.6 | 2 | 0 |
| Houston Rockets | Kevin Durant | 36 | 27.3 | 26 | 5.5 | 4.8 | 64.1 | 58.8 | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| Houston Rockets | Alperen Şengün | 33 | 26.8 | 20.4 | 8.9 | 6.2 | 56.9 | 53.7 | 2.8 | 3.2 |
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Spend $10 Get 200 in Bonus Picks New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets Prediction and Betting Outlook
- Game script (pace): New Orleans Pelicans tends to press tempo off misses, while Houston Rockets prefers to steady it into longer half-court possessions. The initial pace read frequently follows how the total plays.
- Efficiency edge (side): From a season lens, it tilts toward Houston Rockets when the possession script is tidier and second chances are limited. A few added possessions can turn it. The plainest swing factor for New Orleans Pelicans is ball security, so it must keep the ball.
- Late filters (availability + market): Lineup news and situational context are the last gate, and they can shift how both teams score late in the clock. If money has moved the line, treat it as a cue to verify rather than pushing a lean.