Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions - March 10th 2026
10:00pm
You get Chicago Bulls (31-51) and Golden State Warriors (37-45) on Wednesday, March 11, 2026, with coverage on CHSN. Warriors sit installed by 5.5, and the over/under is 226.5. The better bet usually comes from the game script, not the headline names.
If the faster team gets to its tempo, the total read changes quickly. The rest of this preview breaks down the spread, total, matchup details, injuries, and props so the betting angle stays tied to the likely game script, and if you want a quick sportsbook refresher before betting, our best sites for betting on NBA games guide is a useful place to compare books before you bet.
Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors picks, odds, and lines
When the away team is away-tilting, small samples still matter, and Chicago Bulls brings simple inputs: last-five ATS: 3-2-0 plus extra context in average margin: -8. If you are comparing multiple markets, Bulls odds offers a simple entry point that updates near tip.
If you are prioritizing what travels to the matchup, Golden State Warriors gives a direct home baseline with last-five ATS: 2-3-0 and a game-specific tie-in from last-five over-under: 3-2-0. When the market posts late, Warriors odds is the direct route to stay on the current numbers.
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6.5 -105 Season Profile Comparison: Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors
The season numbers are organized into four categories to keep the story clear without one long table. The best read usually comes from the two “driver” stats in each section, then the rest of the rows show how that edge can hold up.
Record & Scoring
When win percentage and margin agree, it’s typically a reliable read—and here they both lean to Golden State Warriors (53.7, -0.6). For Chicago Bulls, the path is turning the game into runs instead of steady quarters, since steady quarters usually favor the better margin team.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 31-51 | 37-45 |
| Win Percentage | 31.7 | 53.7 |
| Points For | 116.3 | 114.6 |
| Points Against | 121.5 | 115.2 |
| Points Margin | -5.2 | -0.6 |
Efficiency
Golden State Warriors leads the two efficiency drivers—shooting efficiency (114.1 vs 111.5) and field goal efficiency (54.9 vs 54.7). If that shows up, Golden State Warriors can build separation without needing a big possession advantage.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 111.5 | 114.1 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 54.7 | 54.9 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
The drivers split: Golden State Warriors leads net rating (-0.6 vs -4.6), but Chicago Bulls is cleaner on turnovers (14.6 vs 15). If Chicago Bulls keeps the ball safe, it can keep the game within one run even against a stronger overall rating.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 105 | 101.7 |
| Net Rating | -4.6 | -0.6 |
| Offensive Rating | 110.5 | 112 |
| Defensive Rating | 115.1 | 112.6 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 14.6 | 15 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
Golden State Warriors owns this category on the two drivers: offensive rebounds (0.3) and steals (9.7). If Chicago Bulls doesn’t secure the glass and value the ball, this section can quietly decide the margin.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 45 | 42.3 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 28.5 | 28.9 |
| Assist Rate | 67.2 | 70.6 |
| Steals Per Game | 7.6 | 9.7 |
| Blocks Per Game | 5 | 4.2 |
For a quick check, browse NBA spreads and totals to compare updated lines. A clean refresh can flag where the total is trending.
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The last time these teams met, the basic snapshot was Bulls prevailing 125-122 with a 3 gap. The table below puts that outcome in the broader series context.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 125-122 |
| Last meeting winner | Bulls |
| Last meeting margin | 3 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.4 | 239 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Home | 2 | 0 | 2 | -7.4 | 239 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
Bulls vs Warriors Quarter Scoring Stats
These splits assist pinpoint which parts of the game each side tends to win on offense; for another angle, open NBA lines and odds. Chicago Bulls—simple readout version: best quarter is 3Q, and its stronger half is the second half. Golden State Warriors—fresh check version: peaks in 3Q with the edge in the second half.
| Segment | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q Points | 28.8 | 28.2 |
| 2Q Points | 27.8 | 28.3 |
| 3Q Points | 30.4 | 29.4 |
| 4Q Points | 28 | 28.5 |
| 1H Points | 56.7 | 56.6 |
| 2H Points | 58.4 | 57.9 |
Bulls at Warriors Trends and Momentum: Last 5 Form Check and Last 10 Snapshot
Chicago Bulls has the stronger last-five form at 2-3 versus Golden State Warriors at 1-4. over the last 10, the scoring/defense split is not cleanly listed, so those two rows act as a simple read.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (Form) | ||
| Record (W-L) | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Win % | 40 | 20 |
| ATS record | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Over/Under record | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Average margin | -8 | -49 |
| Last 10 (Recent Performance) | ||
| Points per game | 106.9 | 112.3 |
| Points allowed | 115.9 | 116.8 |
| Margin | -90 | -45 |
| FG % | 44.9 | 45.2 |
| 3PT % | 35 | 33.9 |
Bulls vs Warriors Betting Trends: Against the Spread and Totals
The spread form is Chicago Bulls 50% ATS versus Golden State Warriors 50%. The scoring form is Chicago Bulls 50% Over versus Golden State Warriors 60%. If the game turns into quick answers, the total can get stressed even when the margin stays tight.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| ATS W-L-P | 29-35-0 | 29-34-1 |
| ATS Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Home ATS Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Away ATS Wins | 12 | 14 |
| ATS as Favorite | 7-18-0 | 19-22-1 |
| ATS as Underdog | 22-17-0 | 10-12-0 |
| Over Wins | 29 | 37 |
| Under Wins | 35 | 27 |
| Over % | 50% | 60% |
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Spend $10 Get 200 in Bonus Picks Bulls vs Warriors Betting Summary and Game Outlook
- Game script (pace): When Chicago Bulls manages to speed the tempo, Golden State Warriors needs to control the game and turn it into a half-court matchup. That first pace read often mirrors the total.
- Efficiency edge (side): The bigger sample points toward Golden State Warriors as long as the possession game stays safer and rebounds are secured. Those bonus looks can flip it.
- Late filters (availability + market): Run the closing check on who is available, because small rotation shifts can alter who closes and how the final minutes look. If the market moves, treat it as a nudge to re-verify news rather than jamming a lean.
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