Chicago Bulls @ Golden State Warriors Picks and Predictions - March 10th 2026
10:00pm
Chicago Bulls (27-38) head into this road spot against Golden State Warriors (32-33) at Chase Center on Wednesday, March 11, 2026. On the board, Warriors give 5.5, and the total sits at 226.5. The market has an opinion; the real question is whether it priced the matchup correctly.
Warriors carry the stronger net rating profile entering this game (0.8 versus -3.5), which helps explain the current line. The rest of this preview breaks down the spread, total, matchup details, injuries, and props so the betting angle stays tied to the likely game script, and if you are deciding which sportsbook to use, our best online sportsbooks for NBA betting guide can help you compare the market.
Chicago Bulls at Golden State Warriors picks, odds, and lines
When the away team is away-tilting, small samples still matter, and Chicago Bulls brings simple inputs: last-five ATS: 3-2-0 plus extra context in average margin: -8. If you are comparing multiple markets, Bulls odds offers a simple entry point that updates near tip.
If you are prioritizing what travels to the matchup, Golden State Warriors gives a direct home baseline with last-five ATS: 2-3-0 and a game-specific tie-in from last-five over-under: 3-2-0. When the market posts late, Warriors odds is the direct route to stay on the current numbers.
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6.5 -105 Season Profile Comparison: Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors
This breakdown splits the season profile into four sections so the edges are easier to read. When the key stats in a category point the same way, that’s the cleaner lean; when they split, the game usually turns on which lever shows up more often.
Record & Scoring
Golden State Warriors leads both win percentage (57.6) and point margin (1), a strong signal that the scoring baseline is on their side. If Chicago Bulls is going to swing this category, it usually needs a pace spike or a shooting night that compresses the margin fast.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 27-38 | 32-33 |
| Win Percentage | 35.5 | 57.6 |
| Points For | 115.7 | 115.2 |
| Points Against | 119.9 | 114.2 |
| Points Margin | -4.3 | 1 |
Efficiency
Golden State Warriors leads on shooting efficiency (114.6) and field goal efficiency (55.1), and that combination often reduces volatility. If the game slows, those efficiency edges can become louder because each possession carries more weight.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 112 | 114.6 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 55 | 55.1 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
This section is mixed: net rating favors Golden State Warriors (0.8), but turnover control favors Chicago Bulls (14.4). If pace is high, the cleaner turnover team can flatten the rating advantage by avoiding the quick-swing possessions.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 104.2 | 102 |
| Net Rating | -3.5 | 0.8 |
| Offensive Rating | 110.8 | 112.1 |
| Defensive Rating | 114.3 | 111.3 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 14.4 | 14.8 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
Second chances and disruption both favor Golden State Warriors—more offensive boards (0.3) and more steals (9.9). That profile tends to create runs because it stacks extra shots and easy points in short bursts.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 44.8 | 43 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 28.7 | 29.2 |
| Assist Rate | 68.5 | 71.1 |
| Steals Per Game | 7.5 | 9.9 |
| Blocks Per Game | 5 | 4.3 |
For a quick look, see NBA point spreads and compare today’s prices. A clean refresh can reveal whether the spread is drifting.
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The last meeting offers a direct starting line: Bulls took 125-122, winning by 3. From there, the series rows below fill the broader context when it’s available.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 125-122 |
| Last meeting winner | Bulls |
| Last meeting margin | 3 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.4 | 239 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Home | 2 | 0 | 2 | -7.4 | 239 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
Bulls vs Warriors Quarter Scoring Stats
These splits assist pinpoint which parts of the game each side tends to win on offense; for another angle, open NBA lines and odds. Chicago Bulls—simple readout version: best quarter is 3Q, and its stronger half is the second half. Golden State Warriors—fresh check version: peaks in 3Q with the edge in the second half.
| Segment | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q Points | 28.8 | 28.2 |
| 2Q Points | 27.8 | 28.3 |
| 3Q Points | 30.4 | 29.4 |
| 4Q Points | 28 | 28.5 |
| 1H Points | 56.7 | 56.6 |
| 2H Points | 58.4 | 57.9 |
Bulls at Warriors Trends and Momentum: Last 5 Form Check and Last 10 Snapshot
Chicago Bulls has the stronger last-five form at 2-3 versus Golden State Warriors at 1-4. over the last 10, the scoring/defense split is not cleanly listed, so those two rows act as a simple read.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (Form) | ||
| Record (W-L) | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Win % | 40 | 20 |
| ATS record | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Over/Under record | 0-5-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Average margin | -8 | -49 |
| Last 10 (Recent Performance) | ||
| Points per game | 106.9 | 112.3 |
| Points allowed | 115.9 | 116.8 |
| Margin | -90 | -45 |
| FG % | 44.9 | 45.2 |
| 3PT % | 35 | 33.9 |
Bulls vs Warriors Betting Trends: Against the Spread and Totals
The spread form is Chicago Bulls 50% ATS versus Golden State Warriors 50%. The scoring form is Chicago Bulls 50% Over versus Golden State Warriors 60%. If the game turns into quick answers, the total can get stressed even when the margin stays tight.
| Metric | Chicago Bulls | Golden State Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| ATS W-L-P | 29-35-0 | 29-34-1 |
| ATS Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Home ATS Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Away ATS Wins | 12 | 14 |
| ATS as Favorite | 7-18-0 | 19-22-1 |
| ATS as Underdog | 22-17-0 | 10-12-0 |
| Over Wins | 29 | 37 |
| Under Wins | 35 | 27 |
| Over % | 50% | 60% |
New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $300 in Bonus Bets Instantly Bulls vs Warriors Betting Summary and Game Outlook
- Game script (pace): When Chicago Bulls manages to speed the tempo, Golden State Warriors needs to control the game and turn it into a half-court matchup. That first pace read often mirrors the total.
- Efficiency edge (side): The bigger sample points toward Golden State Warriors as long as the possession game stays safer and rebounds are secured. Those bonus looks can flip it.
- Late filters (availability + market): Run the closing check on who is available, because small rotation shifts can alter who closes and how the final minutes look. If the market moves, treat it as a nudge to re-verify news rather than jamming a lean.
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