Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions - March 1st 2026
5:00pm
For Memphis Grizzlies (22-36) vs Indiana Pacers (15-45), the first pass is who is trending up in the last five and who is coming in with more recovery time. Those factors can appear in pace choices and the quality of shots you get late.
This is a data-led matchup preview built for rapid scanning, with enough structure to keep the read honest. The context stays clean while you judge how the game should play.
NBA odds and lines for Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers
For Memphis Grizzlies, the last-five snapshot is compact but telling: last-five ATS: 2-3-0 with another clue in average margin: -18. For a fast read before tip, lean on latest Memphis Grizzlies odds and keep it updated.
For the home side, the first check is last-five ATS: 0-5-0, then you can layer in a broader view using last-five over-under: 4-1-0. Because numbers often arrive late, keep latest Indiana Pacers odds open as a steady page for final pricing.
-108 
1.5 +105 
-114 Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers Scheduling Spot Breakdown (Days Rest, Miles, Time Zones)
Indiana Pacers has the rest advantage on days since last game (3 vs 2), which registers most if the other workload inputs are close. With a tougher prior opponent by this input (49.2 vs 35.6), Indiana Pacers may have had a higher threshold just to keep pace.
The last-7 games input is level (3 vs 3), so this row is not the obvious push. Memphis Grizzlies has logged more immediate movement since the last game (763.5 vs 0), and that tax often shows as a slow start or thin third quarter. The last-week mileage is higher for Memphis Grizzlies (839.66 vs 0), and that cumulative travel matters most when rest is tighter.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 3 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | -1 | 1 |
| Travel miles since last game | 763.5 | 0 |
| Games in last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Time zone changes | 0 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 839.66 | 0 |
| Schedule strength | 44.2 | 38.1 |
| Remaining schedule strength | 51.9 | 51.5 |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 35.6 | 49.2 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 25 | 37.9 |
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Deposit $10 Get $50 (400%) Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Quarter Splits: 1Q to 4Q and Halves
This view help pinpoint which quarters swing scoring the most; for odds context, check NBA matchup odds. Memphis Grizzlies in quick glance form: best quarter is 1Q, and its stronger half is the first half. Indiana Pacers in fresh check form: peaks in 3Q with the edge in the first half.
| Segment | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q Points | 29.5 | 28.2 |
| 2Q Points | 29.2 | 27.4 |
| 3Q Points | 29.1 | 28.5 |
| 4Q Points | 27.4 | 26.8 |
| 1H Points | 58.8 | 55.6 |
| 2H Points | 56.5 | 55.3 |
Season Profile Comparison: Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers
This is a season snapshot, organized into four categories so you can see the main levers quickly. In close matchups, the deciding swing often shows up where one team wins both of the key stats in a section.
Record & Scoring
Memphis Grizzlies owns the top two record indicators here—win% (35.7) and point margin (-2.3). If this becomes a tight, half-court game, that profile often shows up as cleaner late-clock offense and fewer wasted trips.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 22-36 | 15-45 |
| Win Percentage | 35.7 | 32.3 |
| Points For | 115.5 | 111.5 |
| Points Against | 117.9 | 119.5 |
| Points Margin | -2.3 | -8 |
Efficiency
Memphis Grizzlies comes in ahead on shooting efficiency (111) and field goal efficiency (53.5), which is a strong read for shot-making stability. If Indiana Pacers can’t force tougher looks, that edge tends to show up across the middle quarters.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 111 | 110.2 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 53.5 | 52.3 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
Memphis Grizzlies leads net rating (-2.4), yet Indiana Pacers leads on ball security (13.9 turnovers), so the deciding question is which holds for 48 minutes. If Indiana Pacers keeps the game clean, it can reduce how much the rating gap shows up.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 104.2 | 103.5 |
| Net Rating | -2.4 | -7.4 |
| Offensive Rating | 110.5 | 107.3 |
| Defensive Rating | 112.9 | 114.7 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 14.7 | 13.9 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
Memphis Grizzlies leads in offensive rebounds (0.3) and steals (8.6), which is a strong indicator for winning the messy parts of a game. If this turns into a grind, extra possessions tend to decide who gets the last clean look.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 44.5 | 42.5 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 28.8 | 26.3 |
| Assist Rate | 68.9 | 65.4 |
| Steals Per Game | 8.6 | 7.5 |
| Blocks Per Game | 5.1 | 4.7 |
For a quick scan, visit current NBA odds to compare updated lines. A quick refresh can flag where the market is leaning.
150,000 Bits + FREE 4 Bucks Grizzlies at Pacers Series History and Last Meeting
The latest head-to-head meeting is a useful marker: Pacers took 116-110, by 6. The series rows below outline the wider picture where numbers exist.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 116-110 |
| Last meeting winner | Pacers |
| Last meeting margin | 6 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 1 | 0 | 1 | -11.2 | 238 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Home | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11.2 | 238 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers Key Players by Usage%: Top 3 Per Team
The top usage share in this matchup belongs to Ty Jerome (Memphis Grizzlies), and the table below ties that workload to the rest of the line. Their brief summary: Min 21, Usage% 32.5, 19.6 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 5.6 APG, TS% 66.9, eFG% 61.9, +/- -1.1, and TO/G 1.8.
Memphis Grizzlies’s top three are Ty Jerome (32.5), Ja Morant (32.5), and Jaren Jackson Jr. (25.7), and Indiana Pacers’s top three are Pascal Siakam (29.6), Andrew Nembhard (24.2), and Bennedict Mathurin (23.2), and this list highlights how creation is distributed. A more narrow top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a balanced top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
For a quick check at the award market, see the current MVP board. Start with our NBA MVP odds board and scan the names.
| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies | Ty Jerome | 21 | 32.5 | 19.6 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 66.9 | 61.9 | -1.1 | 1.8 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | Ja Morant | 28 | 32.5 | 19.4 | 3.3 | 8.1 | 52.1 | 44.1 | -2.5 | 3.5 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | Jaren Jackson Jr. | 31 | 25.7 | 19.2 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 57.4 | 53.4 | -2.5 | 2.2 |
| Indiana Pacers | Pascal Siakam | 34 | 29.6 | 23.9 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 56.3 | 53.3 | -3 | 2.2 |
| Indiana Pacers | Andrew Nembhard | 32 | 24.2 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 7.4 | 56.1 | 51.3 | -7.2 | 2.5 |
| Indiana Pacers | Bennedict Mathurin | 32 | 23.2 | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 58.9 | 51.4 | -7.6 | 2.3 |
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100% purchase match for up to 100 in Onyx Cash Free Picks Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Prediction and Betting Outlook
- Game script (pace): If Memphis Grizzlies is able to push tempo, Indiana Pacers wants to slow the game and make every trip a decision. That early tempo tell often tracks what the total turns into.
- Efficiency edge (side): The baseline numbers leans toward Memphis Grizzlies if it keeps the possession math cleaner and avoids giveaways. A handful of extra looks can swing the side. For Indiana Pacers, the clearest detail is turnovers, and it needs to protect possessions.
- Late filters (availability + market): Make the final pass on who is in and how the spot sets up, since role changes can change the late-game script quickly. Market movement is a prompt to double-check the matchup assumptions rather than forcing a narrative.
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