Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions - March 1st 2026
5:00pm
Memphis Grizzlies (23-36) head into this road spot against Indiana Pacers (15-46) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday, March 1, 2026. Grizzlies open as 1-point favourites, while the total checks in at 237.5. If the fourth quarter stays tight, the spread will follow the same script.
Form is not the whole story, but the recent gap between these teams is worth noting. The rest of this preview breaks down the spread, total, matchup details, injuries, and props so the betting angle stays tied to the likely game script, and if you want a quick sportsbook refresher before betting, our where to bet on NBA games guide is a useful place to compare books before you bet.
NBA odds and lines for Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers
For Memphis Grizzlies, the last-five snapshot is compact but telling: last-five ATS: 2-3-0 with another clue in average margin: -18. For a fast read before tip, lean on latest Memphis Grizzlies odds and keep it updated.
For the home side, the first check is last-five ATS: 0-5-0, then you can layer in a broader view using last-five over-under: 4-1-0. Because numbers often arrive late, keep latest Indiana Pacers odds open as a steady page for final pricing.
-115 
1.5 -105 
MEM at IND Rest & Travel Report: Schedule Factors
Days since last game leans toward Indiana Pacers (3 vs 2), creating a rest edge that counts most if weekly workload is close. Indiana Pacers has the stiffer last opponent on the sheet (49.2 vs 35.6), and that can set a higher threshold for repetition.
On games in the last 7 days (3 vs 2), Memphis Grizzlies has the higher density, which can show closing if pace stays high. With more immediate movement (763.5 vs 0), Memphis Grizzlies carries a toll that can surface in early spacing and late pace. Memphis Grizzlies comes in with more last-7 travel miles (839.66 vs 0), and the cumulative cost rises when rest gets shorter.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 3 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | -1 | 1 |
| Travel miles since last game | 763.5 | 0 |
| Games in last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Time zone changes | 0 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 839.66 | 0 |
| Schedule strength | 44.2 | 38.1 |
| Remaining schedule strength | 53.2 | 52.3 |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 35.6 | 49.2 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 25 | 37.9 |
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Get 100% on any coins purchase up to $100 Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Quarter Splits: 1Q to 4Q and Halves
When the game breaks into segments, these splits show spot the hot spots; you can compare that view with NBA lines and odds. Start with Memphis Grizzlies—a clean snapshot shows: best quarter is 1Q, and its stronger half is the first half. Then Indiana Pacers—a extra check shows: peaks in 3Q with the edge in the first half.
| Segment | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q Points | 29.5 | 28.2 |
| 2Q Points | 29.2 | 27.4 |
| 3Q Points | 29.1 | 28.5 |
| 4Q Points | 27.4 | 26.8 |
| 1H Points | 58.8 | 55.6 |
| 2H Points | 56.5 | 55.3 |
Season Profile Comparison: Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers
This breakdown splits the season profile into four sections so the edges are easier to read. When the key stats in a category point the same way, that’s the cleaner lean; when they split, the game usually turns on which lever shows up more often.
Record & Scoring
Memphis Grizzlies comes in ahead in win rate (37.9) and point margin (-2), which is the cleanest scoring baseline in this section. If that holds, Memphis Grizzlies can win even without perfect shot-making by avoiding long empty stretches.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 23-36 | 15-46 |
| Win Percentage | 37.9 | 31.3 |
| Points For | 115.7 | 111.4 |
| Points Against | 117.7 | 119.6 |
| Points Margin | -2 | -8.2 |
Efficiency
Memphis Grizzlies leads the two efficiency drivers—shooting efficiency (111.1 vs 110.3) and field goal efficiency (53.6 vs 52.4). If that holds, Memphis Grizzlies is more likely to avoid long droughts because the shot quality is producing points at a steadier clip.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 111.1 | 110.3 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 53.6 | 52.4 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
This category splits: net rating leans to Memphis Grizzlies (-2), but turnovers lean to Indiana Pacers (13.9). If pace rises, turnover control often becomes the louder signal, because extra possessions can turn into extra points quickly.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 104.1 | 103.5 |
| Net Rating | -2 | -7.6 |
| Offensive Rating | 110.7 | 107.3 |
| Defensive Rating | 112.7 | 114.8 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 14.6 | 13.9 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
With the edge in offensive rebounding (0.3) and steals (8.7), Memphis Grizzlies is set up to manufacture possessions. In close games, those “bonus” trips often matter more than small differences in shooting percentage.
| Metric | Memphis Grizzlies | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 44.4 | 42.4 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 28.9 | 26.4 |
| Assist Rate | 69 | 65.5 |
| Steals Per Game | 8.7 | 7.5 |
| Blocks Per Game | 5.1 | 4.7 |
For a quick check, head to NBA betting odds to review updated lines. A quick refresh can show where prices are settling.
Grizzlies at Pacers Series History and Last Meeting
Start with the most recent game as a steady baseline: Grizzlies won 120-116 by 4. The series summary underneath offers the larger history around it.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 120-116 |
| Last meeting winner | Grizzlies |
| Last meeting margin | 4 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 2 | 1 | 1 | -6.2 | 239 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Home | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6.2 | 239 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers Key Players by Usage%: Top 3 Per Team
The top usage option here is Ty Jerome (Memphis Grizzlies), and the table below ties that role to production and efficiency. Their brief summary: Min 21, Usage% 32.6, 19.6 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 5.6 APG, TS% 66.9, eFG% 61.9, +/- -1.1, and TO/G 1.8.
Memphis Grizzlies’s top three are Ty Jerome (32.6), Ja Morant (32.5), and Jaren Jackson Jr. (25.7), and Indiana Pacers’s top three are Pascal Siakam (29.6), Andrew Nembhard (24.2), and Bennedict Mathurin (23.2), and this readout highlights how creation is distributed. A more concentrated top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a balanced top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
For a quick look at the award market, visit the current MVP board. Start with our NBA MVP award odds and scan the names.
| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Memphis Grizzlies | Ty Jerome | 21 | 32.6 | 19.6 | 2.8 | 5.6 | 66.9 | 61.9 | -1.1 | 1.8 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | Ja Morant | 28 | 32.5 | 19.4 | 3.3 | 8.1 | 52.1 | 44.1 | -2.5 | 3.5 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | Jaren Jackson Jr. | 31 | 25.7 | 19.2 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 57.4 | 53.4 | -2.5 | 2.2 |
| Indiana Pacers | Pascal Siakam | 34 | 29.6 | 23.9 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 56.3 | 53.3 | -3 | 2.2 |
| Indiana Pacers | Andrew Nembhard | 32 | 24.2 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 7.4 | 56.1 | 51.3 | -7.2 | 2.5 |
| Indiana Pacers | Bennedict Mathurin | 32 | 23.2 | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 58.9 | 51.4 | -7.6 | 2.3 |
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5+ Get $100 in Bonus Bets Instantly! Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Prediction and Betting Outlook
- Game script (pace): If Memphis Grizzlies is able to push tempo, Indiana Pacers wants to slow the game and make every trip a decision. That early tempo tell often tracks what the total turns into.
- Efficiency edge (side): The baseline numbers leans toward Memphis Grizzlies if it keeps the possession math cleaner and avoids giveaways. A handful of extra looks can swing the side. For Indiana Pacers, the clearest detail is turnovers, and it needs to protect possessions.
- Late filters (availability + market): Make the final pass on who is in and how the spot sets up, since role changes can change the late-game script quickly. Market movement is a prompt to double-check the matchup assumptions rather than forcing a narrative.
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