New Orleans Pelicans @ Utah Jazz Picks and Predictions - February 28th 2026
9:30pm
For New Orleans Pelicans (19-42) vs Utah Jazz (18-42), the first check is who is trending up in the last five and who is coming in with more recovery time. Those signals can appear in pace choices and the quality of shots you get late.
This is a data-led matchup preview designed for quick reads and a cleaner second look. The framing stays focused while you judge how the game should play.
NBA odds and lines for New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz
For New Orleans Pelicans, the last-five snapshot is compact but telling: last-five ATS: 3-2-0 with another clue in average margin: -3. For a fast read before tip, lean on latest New Orleans Pelicans odds and keep it updated.
For the home side, the first check is last-five ATS: 1-4-0, then you can layer in a broader view using last-five over-under: 3-2-0. Because numbers often arrive late, keep latest Utah Jazz odds open as a steady page for final pricing.
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-6.0 -106 -114 New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz Trends and Momentum: Last 5 Record and Last 10 Scoring Profile
last-five results leans clearly to New Orleans Pelicans (3-2) over Utah Jazz (1-4). over the last 10, the splits are not cleanly filled in, so keep it as a basic momentum read.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Utah Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (Form) | ||
| Record (W-L) | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Win % | 60 | 20 |
| ATS record | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Over/Under record | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Average margin | -3 | -28 |
| Last 10 (Recent Performance) | ||
| Points per game | 118.2 | 115.9 |
| Points allowed | 117.6 | 118.6 |
| Margin | 6 | -27 |
| FG % | 48.1 | 46.7 |
| 3PT % | 38.5 | 32.7 |
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400% Extra: Deposit $10 Get $50 Pelicans at Jazz Head-to-Head History
Start with the most recent game as a clean baseline: Pelicans took 136-123 by 13. The series summary underneath offers the wider history around it.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 136-123 |
| Last meeting winner | Pelicans |
| Last meeting margin | 13 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 243.4 | 1-0-0 | 1-0-0 |
| Home | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2.2 | 243.4 | 0-1-0 | 1-0-0 |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Injury Report: Out, Questionable, and Impact
When both teams carry status questions, the early minutes can feel like a test drive, and the last five may change if a designation moves late. I trust the side with a steady bench order, since the ripple hits hardest when two roles shift at once. For a broader postseason snapshot, see Finals lines and odds.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Utah Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| Players Out | 0 | 5 |
| Players Questionable | 3 | 0 |
| Injured Minutes Per Game | 90.6 | 129.6 |
| Injured Points Per Game | 58.6 | 79 |
New Orleans Pelicans at Utah Jazz Key Players by Usage%: Top 3 Per Team
The leading usage burden in this matchup lands on Jaren Jackson Jr. (Utah Jazz), and the table below connects that to the production and efficiency read. Their brief snapshot: Min 24, Usage% 36.2, 22.3 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, TS% 59.8, eFG% 54.1, +/- 16, and TO/G 2.3.
New Orleans Pelicans leans on Hunter Dickinson (33.6), Dejounte Murray (30.6), and Zion Williamson (27.3), and Utah Jazz leans on Jaren Jackson Jr. (36.2), Lauri Markkanen (28.3), and Keyonte George (27.7), and this breakdown shows who is handling the most actions. A more tight top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a balanced top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
For a brief check at the award market, see the current MVP board. Start with our MVP odds NBA and scan the names.
| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Pelicans | Hunter Dickinson | 5 | 33.6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 50 | -12 | 2 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | Dejounte Murray | 26 | 30.6 | 15 | 2.5 | 6 | 57.5 | 50 | 8 | 5.5 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | Zion Williamson | 30 | 27.3 | 21.5 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 63 | 58.6 | -2.2 | 2.1 |
| Utah Jazz | Jaren Jackson Jr. | 24 | 36.2 | 22.3 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 59.8 | 54.1 | 16 | 2.3 |
| Utah Jazz | Lauri Markkanen | 34 | 28.3 | 26.7 | 6.9 | 2.1 | 60.8 | 54.8 | -1.3 | 1.5 |
| Utah Jazz | Keyonte George | 34 | 27.7 | 23.6 | 3.9 | 6.5 | 61.1 | 53.3 | -6.7 | 3.2 |
New Orleans Pelicans vs Utah Jazz Advanced Betting Trends: ATS and Totals
New Orleans Pelicans is at 60% ATS and Utah Jazz is at 50%. On totals, Over % sits at 50% for New Orleans Pelicans and 60% for Utah Jazz. If the pace spikes, the higher Over % side is better suited to keep the scoreboard moving.
| Metric | New Orleans Pelicans | Utah Jazz |
|---|---|---|
| ATS W-L-P | 33-27-0 | 31-28-0 |
| ATS Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Home ATS Wins | 19 | 16 |
| Away ATS Wins | 14 | 15 |
| ATS as Favorite | 7-3-0 | 5-2-0 |
| ATS as Underdog | 26-24-0 | 26-26-0 |
| Over Wins | 31 | 35 |
| Under Wins | 29 | 24 |
| Over % | 50% | 60% |
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- Game script (pace): If Utah Jazz is able to push tempo, New Orleans Pelicans wants to slow the game and make every trip a decision. That early tempo tell often tracks what the total turns into.
- Efficiency edge (side): The baseline numbers leans toward New Orleans Pelicans if it keeps the possession math cleaner and avoids giveaways. A handful of extra looks can swing the side. For New Orleans Pelicans, the clearest detail is turnovers, and it needs to protect possessions.
- Late filters (availability + market): Make the final pass on who is in and how the spot sets up, since role changes can change the late-game script quickly. Market movement is a prompt to double-check the matchup assumptions rather than forcing a narrative.
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