Charlotte Hornets @ Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions - February 26th 2026

7:00pm

For Charlotte Hornets (29-31) vs Indiana Pacers (15-45), the first scan is form and rest, who is carrying momentum and who is coming in fresher. Those signals can surface in pace swings and closing possessions.
This is a numbers-first matchup preview for quick scanning and deeper context. The framing remains clean while you judge how the game should play.
Latest NBA odds for Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers
The last-five form line for Charlotte Hornets is simple to summarize: last-five ATS: 5-0-0, and a practical second read in average margin: 43. When odds are posted late, odds for Charlotte Hornets is the simple page to watch as things get set.
Indiana Pacers has a home-driven angle here, and the last-five cues are last-five ATS: 1-4-0 with a supporting note in last-five over-under: 4-1-0. If you need the home odds hub in one place, odds for Indiana Pacers stays stable as the board becomes set.
Hornets at Pacers Points by Quarter and Half
Use the quarter and half totals to help spot scoring windows; odds context is available via NBA odds board. Charlotte Hornets gets a simple glance in plain terms: best quarter is 1Q, and its stronger half is the first half. Indiana Pacers gets a fresh look in plain terms: peaks in 3Q with the edge in the first half.
| Segment | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q Points | 30.5 | 28.1 |
| 2Q Points | 28.2 | 27.7 |
| 3Q Points | 30.2 | 28.4 |
| 4Q Points | 26.5 | 26.7 |
| 1H Points | 58.7 | 55.8 |
| 2H Points | 56.7 | 55.2 |
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If you want a clean reference, start with the last meeting: Hornets took 113-109, a 4 margin. The series summary below shows out the larger history behind it.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 113-109 |
| Last meeting winner | Hornets |
| Last meeting margin | 4 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1.4 | 231.8 | 0-2-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Home | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1.4 | 231.8 | 2-0-0 | 1-1-0 |
Hornets at Pacers Key Usage Matchup: Highest-Usage Players to Know
The top usage player in this game is LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets), and the table below links that responsibility to results and efficiency. Their brief summary: Min 28, Usage% 32.2, 19.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG, 7.3 APG, TS% 53.9, eFG% 50.7, +/- 5.9, and TO/G 2.9.
Charlotte Hornets lists LaMelo Ball (32.2), Brandon Miller (30.3), and Coby White (29.5), and Indiana Pacers lists Pascal Siakam (29.6), Andrew Nembhard (24.2), and Bennedict Mathurin (23.2), and this breakdown shows the touch hierarchy. A more concentrated top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a balanced top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
For a short look at the award market, visit the current MVP board. Start with our NBA MVP odds today and compare the names.
| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Hornets | LaMelo Ball | 28 | 32.2 | 19.4 | 4.8 | 7.3 | 53.9 | 50.7 | 5.9 | 2.9 |
| Charlotte Hornets | Brandon Miller | 30 | 30.3 | 20.9 | 4.7 | 3.4 | 56.2 | 51.8 | 4.5 | 2.9 |
| Charlotte Hornets | Coby White | 16 | 29.5 | 8.5 | 2 | 5 | 44.3 | 41.2 | 12 | 1.5 |
| Indiana Pacers | Pascal Siakam | 34 | 29.6 | 23.9 | 6.8 | 3.9 | 56.3 | 53.3 | -3 | 2.2 |
| Indiana Pacers | Andrew Nembhard | 32 | 24.2 | 17.4 | 2.8 | 7.4 | 56.1 | 51.3 | -7.2 | 2.5 |
| Indiana Pacers | Bennedict Mathurin | 32 | 23.2 | 17.8 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 58.9 | 51.4 | -7.6 | 2.3 |
Hornets at Pacers Form Guide: Trends, Momentum, and Recent Results
Charlotte Hornets enters with the steadier five-game run at 3-2 compared with Indiana Pacers at 1-4. over the last 10, those two momentum rows are not totally populated, so use them as a basic guide.
| Metric | Charlotte Hornets | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (Form) | ||
| Record (W-L) | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Win % | 60 | 20 |
| ATS record | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 |
| Over/Under record | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Average margin | 43 | -40 |
| Last 10 (Recent Performance) | ||
| Points per game | 113.6 | 115.8 |
| Points allowed | 107 | 123.2 |
| Margin | 66 | -74 |
| FG % | 43.7 | 47.5 |
| 3PT % | 39.1 | 36.9 |
Charlotte Hornets at Indiana Pacers Situational Analysis (Rest, Travel, Schedule)
With days since last game staying flat (2 vs 2), the angle tilts on miles and schedule compression. Indiana Pacers faced the stronger opponent last time out (55.2 vs 40.7), which can move the standard for judging the last game.
The last-7 games input is even (3 vs 3), so this row is not the obvious driver. Charlotte Hornets has logged more immediate movement since the last game (166.4 vs 0), and that toll often shows as a slow start or thin third quarter. Charlotte Hornets has more miles over the last week (1508.38 vs 983.24), and the overall travel hit grows when the rest window is thinner.
| Metric | Charlotte Hornets | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 2 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | 0 | 0 |
| Travel miles since last game | 166.4 | 0 |
| Games in last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Time zone changes | 1 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 1508.38 | 983.24 |
| Schedule strength | 48.2 | 38.1 |
| Remaining schedule strength | 50 | 51.4 |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 40.7 | 55.2 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 25.4 | 47.5 |
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- Game script (pace): Indiana Pacers is more likely to speed pace, while Charlotte Hornets benefits if it can control the game into longer half-court possessions. That first tempo marker often mirrors the total.
- Efficiency edge (side): The season profile points toward Charlotte Hornets if it keeps the possession count safer and avoids giving away runouts. A few bonus possessions can flip the side. Ball security is the sharpest swing for Indiana Pacers, so it needs to secure the advantage.
- Late filters (availability + market): Lineup and schedule context are the closing review, and they can alter both matchups and closing options. If the market shifts, take it as a nudge to re-check assumptions rather than jamming the first take.