Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans Picks and Predictions - February 24th 2026

Written By Nick Crain | Last Updated at February 23, 2026
National Basketball Association
Warriors
Away
02/24/2026
8:00pm
Pelicans
Home

Golden State Warriors (37-45) head into this road spot against New Orleans Pelicans (26-56) at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, February 25, 2026. This board reads Warriors -1.5 with a total of 228.5. If the fourth quarter stays tight, the spread will follow the same script.

The short-run trend split helps sharpen the side and total conversation here. The goal from here is simple: turn the market into a usable betting read by checking the spread, total, key matchup points, injuries, and props, and if you are still choosing where to bet, our best NBA sportsbooks guide gives you a quick way to compare your options.



Latest NBA odds for Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans

When the away team is home-tilting, small samples still matter, and Golden State Warriors brings simple inputs: last-five ATS: 1-4-0 plus extra context in average margin: -18. If you are comparing multiple markets, Warriors odds offers a simple entry point that updates near tip.

If you are prioritizing what travels to the matchup, New Orleans Pelicans gives a direct home baseline with last-five ATS: 3-2-0 and a game-specific tie-in from last-five over-under: 3-2-0. When the market posts late, Pelicans odds is the direct route to stay on the current numbers.

Money Line -118 DraftKings +102 FanDuel
Spread 1.5 -102 BetMGM -1.5 -110 FanDuel
Over/Under -110 DraftKings DraftKings

Warriors at Pelicans Rest Edge, Travel Load & Schedule Strength

New Orleans Pelicans gets the rest tilt on the days-since row (3 vs 2), and it counts most when other workload lines match. Golden State Warriors is coming off the tougher previous opponent (62.1 vs 55.2), which can raise the bar for how repeatable the last result is.

The last-7 games input is level (0 vs 0), so this row is not the obvious factor. The since-last-game movement number is higher for Golden State Warriors (1919.9 vs 0), and that tax often appears first in the opening stretch. The weekly travel miles line is even at 0 and 0, keeping the travel picture steady.

Metric Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans
Days since last game 2 3
Rest advantage vs opponent -1 1
Travel miles since last game 1919.9 0
Games in last 7 days 0 0
Time zone changes 0 0
Miles travelled last 7 days 0 0
Schedule strength 51.7 41.1
Remaining schedule strength
Previous opponent strength (win %) 62.1 55.2
Next opponent strength (win %) 27.6 52.6


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Warriors at Pelicans ATS Records and Over Under Results

ATS win% sits at 50% for Golden State Warriors and 50% for New Orleans Pelicans. Over % sits at 60% for Golden State Warriors and 50% for New Orleans Pelicans. If this becomes a two-possession game late, the spread side can matter more than the scoring lane.

Metric Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans
ATS W-L-P 26-30-1 31-27-0
ATS Win % 50% 50%
Home ATS Wins 15 18
Away ATS Wins 11 13
ATS as Favorite 18-20-1 6-3-0
ATS as Underdog 8-10-0 25-24-0
Over Wins 33 30
Under Wins 24 28
Over % 60% 50%


Warriors at Pelicans Head-to-Head History

The last time these teams met, the clear snapshot was Warriors prevailing 112-108 with a 4 gap. The table below places that outcome in the broader series context.

Item Value
Last meeting score 112-108
Last meeting winner Warriors
Last meeting margin 4
Side Meetings Wins Losses Average margin Total points ATS record Over/Under record
Away 3 1 2 5.2 215.6 1-1-0 1-1-0
Home 3 2 1 -5.2 215.6 1-1-0 1-1-0


Warriors at Pelicans Injury Context and Status Check

With availability uncertainty on both reports, you can see a quicker hook for lineups that stall, and late-game matchups can flip on a single upgrade. I back the team with firm responsibilities, since the cleanest read usually comes from fewer moving parts. For a broader postseason snapshot, see NBA Finals lines.

Metric Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans
Players Out 2 0
Players Questionable 0 0
Injured Minutes Per Game 56.8 0
Injured Points Per Game 32.1 0


Season Profile Comparison: Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans

This is a season snapshot, organized into four categories so you can see the main levers quickly. In close matchups, the deciding swing often shows up where one team wins both of the key stats in a section.

Record & Scoring

Win% favors New Orleans Pelicans (41.5), but point margin leans to Golden State Warriors (-0.6), which can signal a sturdier scoring baseline for Golden State Warriors. If the pace is controlled, point margin often becomes the better guide because it reflects how teams handle the middle eight minutes of each half.

Metric Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans
Record (W-L) 37-45 26-56
Win Percentage 36.6 41.5
Points For 114.6 115.5
Points Against 115.2 120
Points Margin -0.6 -4.5

Efficiency

Efficiency leans to Golden State Warriors on both key stats: shooting efficiency (114.1) and field goal efficiency (54.9). In a one-game sample, that usually shows up as cleaner scoring without needing extra possessions to keep up.

Metric Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans
Field Goal % 0.7 0.7
Three-Point % 0.3 0.2
Shooting Efficiency 114.1 108.1
Field Goal Efficiency 54.9 52.7
Free Throw Rate 0.2 0.3
Three-Point Rate 0.5 0.4
Free Throw % 0.8 0.8

Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers

The edge is mixed: Golden State Warriors on net rating (-0.6), New Orleans Pelicans on turnovers (13.5). If Golden State Warriors starts giving away possessions, the rating advantage can disappear in one or two fast runs.

Metric Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans
Pace 101.7 103.2
Net Rating -0.6 -4.2
Offensive Rating 112 111.4
Defensive Rating 112.6 115.5
Turnovers Per Game 15 13.5

Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption

With the key stats close (0.3 vs 0.3, 9.7 vs 8.9), this category can swing on details like long rebounds and loose passes. In even profiles, the team that finishes possessions cleanly tends to avoid the run that decides the game.

Metric Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans
Rebounds Per Game 42.3 43.9
Offensive Rebounds 0.3 0.3
Defensive Rebounds 0.7 0.7
Assists Per Game 28.9 25.1
Assist Rate 70.6 59.6
Steals Per Game 9.7 8.9
Blocks Per Game 4.2 5.2

For a quick scan, visit current NBA odds to compare updated numbers. A simple refresh can flag where the market is leaning.

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Warriors at Pelicans Final Betting Notes and Outlook