Golden State Warriors @ New Orleans Pelicans Picks and Predictions - February 24th 2026

8:00pm

Golden State Warriors (37-45) head into this road spot against New Orleans Pelicans (26-56) at Smoothie King Center on Wednesday, February 25, 2026. This board reads Warriors -1.5 with a total of 228.5. If the fourth quarter stays tight, the spread will follow the same script.
The short-run trend split helps sharpen the side and total conversation here. The goal from here is simple: turn the market into a usable betting read by checking the spread, total, key matchup points, injuries, and props, and if you are still choosing where to bet, our best NBA sportsbooks guide gives you a quick way to compare your options.
Latest NBA odds for Golden State Warriors at New Orleans Pelicans
When the away team is home-tilting, small samples still matter, and Golden State Warriors brings simple inputs: last-five ATS: 1-4-0 plus extra context in average margin: -18. If you are comparing multiple markets, Warriors odds offers a simple entry point that updates near tip.
If you are prioritizing what travels to the matchup, New Orleans Pelicans gives a direct home baseline with last-five ATS: 3-2-0 and a game-specific tie-in from last-five over-under: 3-2-0. When the market posts late, Pelicans odds is the direct route to stay on the current numbers.
Warriors at Pelicans Rest Edge, Travel Load & Schedule Strength
New Orleans Pelicans gets the rest tilt on the days-since row (3 vs 2), and it counts most when other workload lines match. Golden State Warriors is coming off the tougher previous opponent (62.1 vs 55.2), which can raise the bar for how repeatable the last result is.
The last-7 games input is level (0 vs 0), so this row is not the obvious factor. The since-last-game movement number is higher for Golden State Warriors (1919.9 vs 0), and that tax often appears first in the opening stretch. The weekly travel miles line is even at 0 and 0, keeping the travel picture steady.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 3 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | -1 | 1 |
| Travel miles since last game | 1919.9 | 0 |
| Games in last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Time zone changes | 0 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Schedule strength | 51.7 | 41.1 |
| Remaining schedule strength | — | — |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 62.1 | 55.2 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 27.6 | 52.6 |
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Get 100% on any coins purchase up to $100 Warriors at Pelicans ATS Records and Over Under Results
ATS win% sits at 50% for Golden State Warriors and 50% for New Orleans Pelicans. Over % sits at 60% for Golden State Warriors and 50% for New Orleans Pelicans. If this becomes a two-possession game late, the spread side can matter more than the scoring lane.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| ATS W-L-P | 26-30-1 | 31-27-0 |
| ATS Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Home ATS Wins | 15 | 18 |
| Away ATS Wins | 11 | 13 |
| ATS as Favorite | 18-20-1 | 6-3-0 |
| ATS as Underdog | 8-10-0 | 25-24-0 |
| Over Wins | 33 | 30 |
| Under Wins | 24 | 28 |
| Over % | 60% | 50% |
Warriors at Pelicans Head-to-Head History
The last time these teams met, the clear snapshot was Warriors prevailing 112-108 with a 4 gap. The table below places that outcome in the broader series context.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 112-108 |
| Last meeting winner | Warriors |
| Last meeting margin | 4 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5.2 | 215.6 | 1-1-0 | 1-1-0 |
| Home | 3 | 2 | 1 | -5.2 | 215.6 | 1-1-0 | 1-1-0 |
Warriors at Pelicans Injury Context and Status Check
With availability uncertainty on both reports, you can see a quicker hook for lineups that stall, and late-game matchups can flip on a single upgrade. I back the team with firm responsibilities, since the cleanest read usually comes from fewer moving parts. For a broader postseason snapshot, see NBA Finals lines.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Players Out | 2 | 0 |
| Players Questionable | 0 | 0 |
| Injured Minutes Per Game | 56.8 | 0 |
| Injured Points Per Game | 32.1 | 0 |
Season Profile Comparison: Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans
This is a season snapshot, organized into four categories so you can see the main levers quickly. In close matchups, the deciding swing often shows up where one team wins both of the key stats in a section.
Record & Scoring
Win% favors New Orleans Pelicans (41.5), but point margin leans to Golden State Warriors (-0.6), which can signal a sturdier scoring baseline for Golden State Warriors. If the pace is controlled, point margin often becomes the better guide because it reflects how teams handle the middle eight minutes of each half.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 37-45 | 26-56 |
| Win Percentage | 36.6 | 41.5 |
| Points For | 114.6 | 115.5 |
| Points Against | 115.2 | 120 |
| Points Margin | -0.6 | -4.5 |
Efficiency
Efficiency leans to Golden State Warriors on both key stats: shooting efficiency (114.1) and field goal efficiency (54.9). In a one-game sample, that usually shows up as cleaner scoring without needing extra possessions to keep up.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 114.1 | 108.1 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 54.9 | 52.7 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
The edge is mixed: Golden State Warriors on net rating (-0.6), New Orleans Pelicans on turnovers (13.5). If Golden State Warriors starts giving away possessions, the rating advantage can disappear in one or two fast runs.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 101.7 | 103.2 |
| Net Rating | -0.6 | -4.2 |
| Offensive Rating | 112 | 111.4 |
| Defensive Rating | 112.6 | 115.5 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 15 | 13.5 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
With the key stats close (0.3 vs 0.3, 9.7 vs 8.9), this category can swing on details like long rebounds and loose passes. In even profiles, the team that finishes possessions cleanly tends to avoid the run that decides the game.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 42.3 | 43.9 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 28.9 | 25.1 |
| Assist Rate | 70.6 | 59.6 |
| Steals Per Game | 9.7 | 8.9 |
| Blocks Per Game | 4.2 | 5.2 |
For a quick scan, visit current NBA odds to compare updated numbers. A simple refresh can flag where the market is leaning.
New DraftKings Customers: Bet $5+ Get $100 in Bonus Bets Instantly! Warriors at Pelicans Final Betting Notes and Outlook
- Game script (pace): When New Orleans Pelicans manages to speed the tempo, Golden State Warriors needs to control the game and turn it into a half-court matchup. That first pace read often mirrors the total.
- Efficiency edge (side): The bigger sample points toward Golden State Warriors as long as the possession game stays safer and rebounds are secured. Those bonus looks can flip it.
- Late filters (availability + market): Run the closing check on who is available, because small rotation shifts can alter who closes and how the final minutes look. If the market moves, treat it as a nudge to re-verify news rather than jamming a lean.