Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Predictions - February 23rd 2026

Written By Nick Crain | Last Updated at February 23, 2026
National Basketball Association
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Away
02/23/2026
8:00pm
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Sacramento Kings (22-60) make the road trip to Memphis Grizzlies (25-57) for this matchup on Tuesday, February 24, 2026. The side opens at Grizzlies -2.5, with a total of 233.5. The market has an opinion; the real question is whether it priced the matchup correctly.

Form is not the whole story, but the recent gap between these teams is worth noting. The rest of the article keeps the focus on what matters to bettors: the side, the total, and the game details that can move either one, and if you are deciding which sportsbook to use, our top NBA betting sites guide can help you sort through the best options.



Betting lines for Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies

Sacramento Kings has a context-first setup here, and the last five read as last-five ATS: 2-3-0 with extra texture from average margin: -114. Use Sacramento Kings game lines for a reliable reference while the market finalizes closer to tip.

The home read leans not as much on one-game variance, and Memphis Grizzlies brings last-five ATS: 4-1-0 with a handy companion stat: last-five over-under: 3-2-0. If you are validating a late move, Memphis Grizzlies game lines offers a direct view that stays current.

Money Line +120 FanDuel -140 Fanatics
Spread -2.5 -108 FanDuel 2.5 -110 DraftKings
Over/Under -108 FanDuel FanDuel

Top Usage% Leaders for Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies: Who Drives Possessions

The top usage role here is held by Ty Jerome (Memphis Grizzlies), and the table below ties that to the box-score and shooting splits. Their short profile: Min 23, Usage% 32.8, 19.7 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 5.7 APG, TS% 61.6, eFG% 57.2, +/- -3, and TO/G 1.8.

Sacramento Kings lists Russell Westbrook (26), Malik Monk (24.1), and Devin Carter (23.6), and Memphis Grizzlies lists Ty Jerome (32.8), Ja Morant (32.6), and Jaren Jackson Jr. (25.7), and this breakdown highlights the touch hierarchy. A more tight top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a flat top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.

For a short look at the award market, visit the current MVP board. Start with our NBA MVP race odds and scan the names.

Team Player Min Usage% PPG RPG APG TS% eFG% +/- TO/G
Sacramento Kings Russell Westbrook 29 26 15.2 5.4 6.7 52.8 50.3 -7.1 3.3
Sacramento Kings Malik Monk 22 24.1 12.5 1.9 3 56.8 53.6 -4.1 1.5
Sacramento Kings Devin Carter 18 23.6 8.9 3.3 2.7 50.8 46.6 -3 1.4
Memphis Grizzlies Ty Jerome 23 32.8 19.7 2.8 5.7 61.6 57.2 -3 1.8
Memphis Grizzlies Ja Morant 28 32.6 19.4 3.3 8.1 52.1 44.1 -2.5 3.5
Memphis Grizzlies Jaren Jackson Jr. 31 25.7 19.2 5.8 1.9 57.4 53.4 -2.5 2.2


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Kings at Grizzlies Rest Edge, Travel Load & Schedule Strength

Days since last game is flat (2 vs 2), so the call tilts on travel tax and schedule density. Sacramento Kings is off the stiffer test by this metric (71.9 vs 53.4), which can raise the bar on what "normal" looks like.

When last-7 games is level (0 vs 0), schedule density is not the primary driver compared with travel. Memphis Grizzlies has the larger mileage load since the last game (872.5 vs 558.2), and that tax can show in early rhythm and after halftime. With last-7 travel miles balanced (0 vs 0), the weekly travel picture does not tilt much.

Metric Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies
Days since last game 2 2
Rest advantage vs opponent 0 0
Travel miles since last game 558.2 872.5
Games in last 7 days 0 0
Time zone changes 0 0
Miles travelled last 7 days 0 0
Schedule strength 37.4 43.3
Remaining schedule strength
Previous opponent strength (win %) 71.9 53.4
Next opponent strength (win %) 38.2 20.7


on the five-game read , Memphis Grizzlies looks sharper at 1-4 versus Sacramento Kings at 0-5. over the last 10, those two momentum rows are not cleanly populated, so use them as a simple guide.

Metric Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies
Last 5 (Form)
Record (W-L) 0-5 1-4
Win % 0 20
ATS record 2-3-0 4-1-0
Over/Under record 2-3-0 3-2-0
Average margin -114 -21
Last 10 (Recent Performance)
Points per game 108.1 118.8
Points allowed 122.7 124.1
Margin -146 -53
FG % 43.7 48.2
3PT % 29.9 36.8


Season Profile Comparison: Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies

This breakdown splits the season profile into four sections so the edges are easier to read. When the key stats in a category point the same way, that’s the cleaner lean; when they split, the game usually turns on which lever shows up more often.

Record & Scoring

When win percentage and margin agree, it’s typically a reliable read—and here they both lean to Memphis Grizzlies (32.5, -6). For Sacramento Kings, the path is turning the game into runs instead of steady quarters, since steady quarters usually favor the better margin team.

Metric Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies
Record (W-L) 22-60 25-57
Win Percentage 17.1 32.5
Points For 111 114.7
Points Against 121 120.7
Points Margin -10 -6

Efficiency

Memphis Grizzlies leads the two efficiency drivers—shooting efficiency (111.6 vs 107.6) and field goal efficiency (53.3 vs 52.5). If that shows up, Memphis Grizzlies can build separation without needing a big possession advantage.

Metric Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies
Field Goal % 0.7 0.7
Three-Point % 0.2 0.2
Shooting Efficiency 107.6 111.6
Field Goal Efficiency 52.5 53.3
Free Throw Rate 0.3 0.3
Three-Point Rate 0.3 0.4
Free Throw % 0.8 0.8

Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers

This section is mixed: net rating favors Memphis Grizzlies (-6.1), but turnover control favors Sacramento Kings (13.7). If pace is high, the cleaner turnover team can flatten the rating advantage by avoiding the quick-swing possessions.

Metric Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies
Pace 101.8 104.1
Net Rating -9 -6.1
Offensive Rating 109 109.7
Defensive Rating 118 115.8
Turnovers Per Game 13.7 14.6

Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption

The split is clear: Sacramento Kings on offensive rebounds (0.3), Memphis Grizzlies on steals (8.8). If the game tightens late, the deciding edge is often whether possessions end cleanly with rebounds or get stolen before a shot goes up.

Metric Sacramento Kings Memphis Grizzlies
Rebounds Per Game 42.3 42.1
Offensive Rebounds 0.3 0.2
Defensive Rebounds 0.7 0.7
Assists Per Game 25.5 27.8
Assist Rate 61.5 67.3
Steals Per Game 8 8.8
Blocks Per Game 4.5 4.8

For a quick scan, head to NBA matchup odds and compare updated lines. A quick refresh can show which games are changing most.


Kings at Grizzlies Series History and Last Meeting

The last meeting offers a direct starting line: Kings took 132-122, winning by 10. From there, the series rows below add the wider context when it’s available.

Item Value
Last meeting score 132-122
Last meeting winner Kings
Last meeting margin 10
Side Meetings Wins Losses Average margin Total points ATS record Over/Under record
Away 4 3 1 -6 240 0-3-0 1-2-0
Home 4 1 3 6 240 3-0-0 1-2-0
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Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Predictions, and Betting Takeaways