Sacramento Kings @ Memphis Grizzlies Picks and Predictions - February 23rd 2026
8:00pm
It is Sacramento Kings (22-60) against Memphis Grizzlies (25-57) at FedExForum on Tuesday, February 24, 2026. Grizzlies carry a 2.5-point spread, with 233.5 posted on the total. There is a workable path to value if the game follows the right script.
Grizzlies are 1-4 over their last five, while Kings are 0-5, which adds a useful form layer to the betting read. The rest of this preview breaks down the spread, total, matchup details, injuries, and props so the betting angle stays tied to the likely game script, and if you want a quick sportsbook refresher before betting, our top sportsbooks for NBA odds guide can help you compare the market.
Betting lines for Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies
Sacramento Kings has a context-first setup here, and the last five read as last-five ATS: 2-3-0 with extra texture from average margin: -114. Use Sacramento Kings game lines for a reliable reference while the market finalizes closer to tip.
The home read leans not as much on one-game variance, and Memphis Grizzlies brings last-five ATS: 4-1-0 with a handy companion stat: last-five over-under: 3-2-0. If you are validating a late move, Memphis Grizzlies game lines offers a direct view that stays current.
-140 
2.5 -110 
Top Usage% Leaders for Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies: Who Drives Possessions
The top usage role here is held by Ty Jerome (Memphis Grizzlies), and the table below ties that to the box-score and shooting splits. Their short profile: Min 23, Usage% 32.8, 19.7 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 5.7 APG, TS% 61.6, eFG% 57.2, +/- -3, and TO/G 1.8.
Sacramento Kings lists Russell Westbrook (26), Malik Monk (24.1), and Devin Carter (23.6), and Memphis Grizzlies lists Ty Jerome (32.8), Ja Morant (32.6), and Jaren Jackson Jr. (25.7), and this breakdown highlights the touch hierarchy. A more tight top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a flat top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
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| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings | Russell Westbrook | 29 | 26 | 15.2 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 52.8 | 50.3 | -7.1 | 3.3 |
| Sacramento Kings | Malik Monk | 22 | 24.1 | 12.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 56.8 | 53.6 | -4.1 | 1.5 |
| Sacramento Kings | Devin Carter | 18 | 23.6 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 2.7 | 50.8 | 46.6 | -3 | 1.4 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | Ty Jerome | 23 | 32.8 | 19.7 | 2.8 | 5.7 | 61.6 | 57.2 | -3 | 1.8 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | Ja Morant | 28 | 32.6 | 19.4 | 3.3 | 8.1 | 52.1 | 44.1 | -2.5 | 3.5 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | Jaren Jackson Jr. | 31 | 25.7 | 19.2 | 5.8 | 1.9 | 57.4 | 53.4 | -2.5 | 2.2 |
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days SAC at MEM Rest & Travel Report: Schedule Factors
Days since last game is flat (2 vs 2), so the call tilts on travel tax and schedule density. Sacramento Kings is off the stiffer test by this metric (71.9 vs 53.4), which can raise the bar on what "normal" looks like.
When last-7 games is level (0 vs 0), schedule density is not the primary driver compared with travel. Memphis Grizzlies has the larger mileage load since the last game (872.5 vs 558.2), and that tax can show in early rhythm and after halftime. With last-7 travel miles balanced (0 vs 0), the weekly travel picture does not tilt much.
| Metric | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 2 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | 0 | 0 |
| Travel miles since last game | 558.2 | 872.5 |
| Games in last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Time zone changes | 0 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Schedule strength | 37.4 | 43.3 |
| Remaining schedule strength | — | — |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 71.9 | 53.4 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 38.2 | 20.7 |
Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies Quick Trends: Last 5 Form, Last 10 Scoring, and Recent Performance
on the five-game read , Memphis Grizzlies looks sharper at 1-4 versus Sacramento Kings at 0-5. over the last 10, those two momentum rows are not cleanly populated, so use them as a simple guide.
| Metric | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 (Form) | ||
| Record (W-L) | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Win % | 0 | 20 |
| ATS record | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 |
| Over/Under record | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 |
| Average margin | -114 | -21 |
| Last 10 (Recent Performance) | ||
| Points per game | 108.1 | 118.8 |
| Points allowed | 122.7 | 124.1 |
| Margin | -146 | -53 |
| FG % | 43.7 | 48.2 |
| 3PT % | 29.9 | 36.8 |
Season Profile Comparison: Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies
This breakdown splits the season profile into four sections so the edges are easier to read. When the key stats in a category point the same way, that’s the cleaner lean; when they split, the game usually turns on which lever shows up more often.
Record & Scoring
Memphis Grizzlies owns the two drivers in this section: win% (32.5) and point margin (-6). If Sacramento Kings wants to erase that profile, it often comes down to one big scoring swing—threes, free throws, or a burst of transition points.
| Metric | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 22-60 | 25-57 |
| Win Percentage | 17.1 | 32.5 |
| Points For | 111 | 114.7 |
| Points Against | 121 | 120.7 |
| Points Margin | -10 | -6 |
Efficiency
Memphis Grizzlies leads the two efficiency drivers—shooting efficiency (111.6 vs 107.6) and field goal efficiency (53.3 vs 52.5). If that shows up, Memphis Grizzlies can build separation without needing a big possession advantage.
| Metric | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 107.6 | 111.6 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 52.5 | 53.3 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
The two drivers point opposite ways—Memphis Grizzlies on net rating (-6.1), Sacramento Kings on ball security (13.7). If Memphis Grizzlies doesn’t force mistakes, the turnover edge can keep this matchup tighter than the rating suggests.
| Metric | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 101.8 | 104.1 |
| Net Rating | -9 | -6.1 |
| Offensive Rating | 109 | 109.7 |
| Defensive Rating | 118 | 115.8 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 13.7 | 14.6 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
This category points both ways: offensive boards favor Sacramento Kings (0.3), but steals favor Memphis Grizzlies (8.8). If Memphis Grizzlies converts takeaways into quick points, it can outweigh a second-chance gap.
| Metric | Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 42.3 | 42.1 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 25.5 | 27.8 |
| Assist Rate | 61.5 | 67.3 |
| Steals Per Game | 8 | 8.8 |
| Blocks Per Game | 4.5 | 4.8 |
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Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies Head-to-Head History
Start with the most recent game as a reliable baseline: Kings took 132-122 by 10. The series summary underneath offers the wider history around it.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 132-122 |
| Last meeting winner | Kings |
| Last meeting margin | 10 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 4 | 3 | 1 | -6 | 240 | 0-3-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Home | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 240 | 3-0-0 | 1-2-0 |
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Spend $10 Get 200 in Bonus Picks Sacramento Kings at Memphis Grizzlies Picks, Predictions, and Betting Takeaways
- Game script (pace): Memphis Grizzlies is set up to press tempo, but Sacramento Kings benefits if it can steady possessions and keep the game in the half-court. The initial pace hint tends to follows the total.
- Efficiency edge (side): On the season profile, it tilts to Memphis Grizzlies when the possession battle stays tidier and the glass does not leak. Those added possessions can turn the number.
- Late filters (availability + market): The last piece is who actually plays and how the spot looks, since those factors can shift the closing lineup choices. If the market has moved, let it be a cue to validate assumptions instead of pushing a stance.
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