Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers Picks and Predictions - February 22nd 2026
5:00pm
For Dallas Mavericks (19-36) vs Indiana Pacers (15-42), the slate angle is live, with back-to-back and travel markers that can pull timing out of possessions. If energy dips, you often notice it in shot selection and closing defense.
This is a stats-heavy matchup preview designed for fast reads and second-pass detail. The framing stays tight while you judge how the game should play.
Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers odds and lines
Dallas Mavericks enters this spot with a clean read on form: last-five ATS: 1-4-0, plus supporting context in average margin: -65. If you want a timely market check, the away hub at Dallas Mavericks betting odds is a solid place to start.
Home form often reads cleaner than the noise, and for Indiana Pacers the key markers are last-five over-under: 4-1-0 with a useful add-on in last-five ATS: 2-3-0. If you are checking the home side close to tip, Indiana Pacers betting odds is the best spot to keep the board current.
+112 
-2.0 -110 
-108 DAL at IND Head-to-Head History
The last meeting provides a clean reference point: Pacers took 133-111, a 22 margin. Use the series rows below to see how that result slots into the broader head-to-head profile.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 133-111 |
| Last meeting winner | Pacers |
| Last meeting margin | 22 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.8 | 248 | 0-1-0 | 0-1-0 |
| Home | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 248 | 1-0-0 | 0-1-0 |
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400% Extra: Deposit $10 Get $50 Dallas Mavericks at Indiana Pacers Scheduling Spot Breakdown (Days Rest, Miles, Time Zones)
With the days-since line flat at 2 vs 2, the summary points to the mileage rows. The previous-opponent line points to a tougher test for Dallas Mavericks (61.4 vs 29.1), and that can lift the bar for carryover.
Indiana Pacers has played more games in the last 7 days (2 vs 1), and that volume can show up endgame if travel also stacks. Dallas Mavericks is on the high end of immediate travel (511.4 vs 491.6), and that toll can reappear after halftime when rotations shorten. Dallas Mavericks has more miles over the last week (1726.2 vs 983.24), and the cumulative travel hit grows when the rest window is shorter.
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 2 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | 0 | 0 |
| Travel miles since last game | 511.4 | 491.6 |
| Games in last 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Time zone changes | 0 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 1726.2 | 983.24 |
| Schedule strength | 42 | 38.3 |
| Remaining schedule strength | 51 | 51.5 |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 61.4 | 29.1 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 26.3 | 34.5 |
Season Profile Comparison: Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers
These tables are grouped to make the season profile easier to scan. Each category is anchored to two key stats, since that’s usually where you can tell which side has the cleaner path if the game follows form.
Record & Scoring
The two drivers split—Indiana Pacers on win% (35.7), Dallas Mavericks on margin (-3.6). If this turns into a one-run game late, margin can matter because it often correlates with avoiding the kind of three-minute droughts that decide close finishes.
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 19-36 | 15-42 |
| Win Percentage | 20.8 | 35.7 |
| Points For | 113.9 | 111.2 |
| Points Against | 117.5 | 118.7 |
| Points Margin | -3.6 | -7.5 |
Efficiency
The efficiency drivers split: shooting efficiency favors Indiana Pacers (110.1 vs 107), while field goal efficiency leans to Dallas Mavericks (53 vs 52.1). If Indiana Pacers keeps turning possessions into points at a higher clip, that can outweigh a slightly cleaner field-goal profile on the other side.
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 107 | 110.1 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 53 | 52.1 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Free Throw % | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
Dallas Mavericks owns the net rating edge (-3.6), while Indiana Pacers is cleaner on turnovers (13.8), which makes this section a trade between “overall efficiency” and “possession safety.” In close games, the turnover edge can matter more late because it prevents easy run-outs.
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 104.3 | 103.4 |
| Net Rating | -3.6 | -7 |
| Offensive Rating | 108.1 | 107 |
| Defensive Rating | 111.7 | 114.1 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 14.1 | 13.8 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
Offensive rebounds and steals don’t separate the teams much (0.2 vs 0.2, 7.7 vs 7.5), so the best edge is often effort consistency. If one side wins the 50/50 plays for a single quarter, it can flip the possession count enough to matter.
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 44.7 | 42.7 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 25 | 26.1 |
| Assist Rate | 59.4 | 65 |
| Steals Per Game | 7.7 | 7.5 |
| Blocks Per Game | 5.5 | 4.7 |
For a quick scan, visit current NBA odds to compare updated numbers. A clean refresh can reveal where the market is leaning.
DAL at IND ATS and Over Under Trends
ATS win% reads Dallas Mavericks at 40% and Indiana Pacers at 50%. Over % comes in at Dallas Mavericks 50% and Indiana Pacers 40%. If this game tightens late, the better ATS rate is the one more likely to travel with the margin.
| Metric | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| ATS W-L-P | 24-31-0 | 28-29-0 |
| ATS Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Home ATS Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Away ATS Wins | 8 | 11 |
| ATS as Favorite | 5-11-0 | 3-6-0 |
| ATS as Underdog | 19-20-0 | 25-23-0 |
| Over Wins | 25 | 25 |
| Under Wins | 30 | 32 |
| Over % | 50% | 40% |
DAL at IND Key Players by Usage%: Top 3 Per Team
The leading usage role here is held by Pascal Siakam (Indiana Pacers), and the table below links that to the box-score and shooting splits. Their short profile: Min 34, Usage% 29.4, 23.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 3.9 APG, TS% 56, eFG% 53, +/- -3.2, and TO/G 2.2.
Dallas Mavericks lists Anthony Davis (27.7), D'Angelo Russell (26.2), and Brandon Williams (25.7), and Indiana Pacers lists Pascal Siakam (29.4), Mac McClung (27.2), and T.J. McConnell (24.2), and this breakdown highlights the touch hierarchy. A more narrow top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a balanced top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
For a brief check at the award market, open the current MVP board. Start with our NBA MVP betting lines and sort the names.
| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks | Anthony Davis | 31 | 27.7 | 20.4 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 55.1 | 52.1 | -2.5 | 2 |
| Dallas Mavericks | D'Angelo Russell | 19 | 26.2 | 10.2 | 2.3 | 4 | 51.1 | 47.6 | -1.6 | 1.9 |
| Dallas Mavericks | Brandon Williams | 22 | 25.7 | 12.7 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 55.5 | 49.4 | -0.4 | 1.9 |
| Indiana Pacers | Pascal Siakam | 34 | 29.4 | 23.7 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 56 | 53 | -3.2 | 2.2 |
| Indiana Pacers | Mac McClung | 11 | 27.2 | 6.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 48.1 | 44.4 | -4.3 | 0.7 |
| Indiana Pacers | T.J. McConnell | 17 | 24.2 | 9.6 | 2.2 | 4.7 | 56.8 | 55.8 | -1.6 | 1.2 |
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- Game script (pace): Dallas Mavericks can try to push the pace, but Indiana Pacers is more comfortable if it can slow trips into half-court reads. The early rhythm signal usually tracks the total direction.
- Efficiency edge (side): Over the larger sample, it leans to Dallas Mavericks when possessions remain cleaner and the glass is controlled. Those extra chances can swing the margin. Indiana Pacers carries the clearest ball-security lever to protect.
- Late filters (availability + market): Availability and schedule context are the final filter, and they can change who handles closing possessions and what shots show up late. If the market moves, take it as a prompt to confirm the inputs instead of forcing the first read.
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