Golden State Warriors @ Phoenix Suns Picks and Predictions - February 5th 2026

10:00pm

On Friday, February 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM US/Arizona, Golden State Warriors (37-45) travel to at Mortgage Matchup Center to face Phoenix Suns (45-37). Suns sit priced by 5.5, and the over/under is 212.5. The strongest angle here should come from how the game is played, not just who is playing.
Recent combined scoring sits around 231.3 points versus a posted total of 212.5. It is not the whole handicap, but it does anchor the total discussion. This preview is put together to give you a clean betting way on the spread and total, with key players, injuries, and props supporting the read, and if you are shopping prices across operators, our top sportsbooks for NBA odds guide can help you sort through the best options.
NBA odds and lines for Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns
If you are scanning the away side quickly, start with a clear form line: last-five ATS: 2-3-0, then layer in fresh detail from average margin: -9. The widget below will update late, so treat NBA odds for Golden State Warriors as your main page for a quick check-in.
Phoenix Suns sets the tone with a game-shaped profile: last-five ATS: 3-2-0 plus a distinct indicator in last-five over-under: 2-3-0. If you want a home-first reference without extra clicks, NBA odds for Phoenix Suns stays clear and current.
GSW at PHX Rest & Travel Report: Schedule Factors
The days-since numbers are level (2 vs 2), so the spot tilts on travel and weekly workload shape. Golden State Warriors is off the tougher test by this metric (58 vs 45.1), which can raise the bar on what "normal" looks like.
With last-7 games level (0 vs 0), schedule density is not a clear factor without help from travel. The short-term movement split favors Phoenix Suns (1006.2 vs 651.4), and that drag can show up at tip and late. Miles travelled over the last week comes back even (0 vs 0), so the weekly travel profile reads neutral.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Days since last game | 2 | 2 |
| Rest advantage vs opponent | 0 | 0 |
| Travel miles since last game | 651.4 | 1006.2 |
| Games in last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Time zone changes | 0 | 0 |
| Miles travelled last 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Schedule strength | 51.3 | 55.5 |
| Remaining schedule strength | — | — |
| Previous opponent strength (win %) | 58 | 45.1 |
| Next opponent strength (win %) | 60.8 | 52.9 |
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Get 100% on any coins purchase up to $100 Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Quarter Splits: 1Q to 4Q and Halves
The quarter-by-quarter table assist spot scoring patterns without guessing; market context is on NBA matchup odds. Golden State Warriors gets a clean glance here: best quarter is 3Q, and its stronger half is the second half. Phoenix Suns follows with a extra check: peaks in 2Q with the edge in the first half.
| Segment | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|
| 1Q Points | 28 | 28.6 |
| 2Q Points | 28.7 | 29.9 |
| 3Q Points | 30.4 | 29 |
| 4Q Points | 28.7 | 26.4 |
| 1H Points | 56.7 | 58.5 |
| 2H Points | 59.1 | 55.4 |
Season Profile Comparison: Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns
This breakdown splits the season profile into four sections so the edges are easier to read. When the key stats in a category point the same way, that’s the cleaner lean; when they split, the game usually turns on which lever shows up more often.
Record & Scoring
Phoenix Suns owns the two drivers in this section: win% (61) and point margin (1.5). If Golden State Warriors wants to erase that profile, it often comes down to one big scoring swing—threes, free throws, or a burst of transition points.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Record (W-L) | 37-45 | 45-37 |
| Win Percentage | 36.6 | 61 |
| Points For | 114.6 | 112.6 |
| Points Against | 115.2 | 111.1 |
| Points Margin | -0.6 | 1.5 |
Efficiency
Golden State Warriors leads the two efficiency drivers—shooting efficiency (114.1 vs 112.8) and field goal efficiency (54.9 vs 53.7). If that holds, Golden State Warriors is more likely to avoid long droughts because the shot quality is producing points at a steadier clip.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Field Goal % | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Three-Point % | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Shooting Efficiency | 114.1 | 112.8 |
| Field Goal Efficiency | 54.9 | 53.7 |
| Free Throw Rate | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Three-Point Rate | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Free Throw % | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Tempo, Ratings & Turnovers
Phoenix Suns leads on net rating (1.3) and turnovers (13.5), which is the cleanest read in this combined section. The counter for Golden State Warriors is forcing live-ball mistakes and turning them into early offense.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Pace | 101.7 | 100.1 |
| Net Rating | -0.6 | 1.3 |
| Offensive Rating | 112 | 112 |
| Defensive Rating | 112.6 | 110.7 |
| Turnovers Per Game | 15 | 13.5 |
Rebounding, Ball Movement & Disruption
This section is level on the drivers (0.3 vs 0.3, 9.7 vs 9.5), so ball security and box-outs matter more than raw volume. If the game is tight late, one extra second chance or one extra steal is usually the separator.
| Metric | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns |
|---|---|---|
| Rebounds Per Game | 42.3 | 43.1 |
| Offensive Rebounds | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Defensive Rebounds | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 28.9 | 24.6 |
| Assist Rate | 70.6 | 60.1 |
| Steals Per Game | 9.7 | 9.5 |
| Blocks Per Game | 4.2 | 4.2 |
For a quick check, use live NBA odds to track updated numbers. A quick refresh can reveal the latest movement.
GSW at PHX Head-to-Head History
The most recent meeting is a simple guide: Warriors secured 118-107, with a 11 margin. The series table below ties that result to the broader head-to-head record.
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Last meeting score | 118-107 |
| Last meeting winner | Warriors |
| Last meeting margin | 11 |
| Side | Meetings | Wins | Losses | Average margin | Total points | ATS record | Over/Under record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 4 | 1 | 3 | -5.2 | 212.4 | 1-2-0 | 1-2-0 |
| Home | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5.2 | 212.4 | 2-1-0 | 1-2-0 |
Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns Key Players by Usage%: Top 3 Per Team
The top usage role here is held by Stephen Curry (Golden State Warriors), and the table below ties that to the box-score and shooting splits. Their brief summary: Min 31, Usage% 32.7, 26.6 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 4.7 APG, TS% 63.7, eFG% 58.7, +/- 2.1, and TO/G 2.8.
Golden State Warriors features Stephen Curry (32.7), Kristaps Porziņģis (28.4), and De'Anthony Melton (25.5), and Phoenix Suns features Devin Booker (32.5), Jalen Green (32.2), and Dillon Brooks (28.8), and this breakdown maps where the first reads come from. A more tight top line usually means heavier on-ball responsibility for the primary option, while a balanced top three can signal more shared creation and easier rotation coverage if one piece is limited.
For a brief check at the award market, visit the current MVP board. Start with our NBA MVP race odds and scan the names.
| Team | Player | Min | Usage% | PPG | RPG | APG | TS% | eFG% | +/- | TO/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | Stephen Curry | 31 | 32.7 | 26.6 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 63.7 | 58.7 | 2.1 | 2.8 |
| Golden State Warriors | Kristaps Porziņģis | 24 | 28.4 | 16.1 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 57.1 | 49.7 | -0.3 | 1.7 |
| Golden State Warriors | De'Anthony Melton | 23 | 25.5 | 12.3 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 51.8 | 47.5 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Phoenix Suns | Devin Booker | 34 | 32.5 | 26.1 | 3.9 | 6 | 58.5 | 50.7 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
| Phoenix Suns | Jalen Green | 26 | 32.2 | 17.8 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 51.6 | 49.1 | 1 | 2.3 |
| Phoenix Suns | Dillon Brooks | 30 | 28.8 | 20.2 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 54 | 50.1 | -0.9 | 1.8 |
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Spend $10 Get 200 in Bonus Picks Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns Prediction and Betting Outlook
- Game script (pace): Golden State Warriors tends to press tempo off misses, while Phoenix Suns prefers to steady it into longer half-court possessions. The initial pace read frequently follows how the total plays.
- Efficiency edge (side): From a season lens, it tilts toward Phoenix Suns when the possession script is tidier and second chances are limited. A few added possessions can turn it.
- Late filters (availability + market): Lineup news and situational context are the last gate, and they can shift how both teams score late in the clock. If money has moved the line, treat it as a cue to verify rather than pushing a lean.