NBA Trade Deadline: Which Moves Impacted Betting Markets?

Posted By Nate Weitzer on February 6, 2020 - Last Updated on February 20, 2020
nba betting spots

The NBA trade deadline has come and gone, bringing us several notable moves that can affect NBA futures markets and individual game lines.

In the most expansive deal of the past two decades, the Rockets, Hawks, Nuggets, and Wolves completed a trade involving 12 players and 3 draft picks. The Wolves weren’t done either, as they swapped Andrew Wiggins and a couple draft picks for Karl-Anthony Towns’ best friend, D’Angelo Russell.

Miami made a move to win now by acquiring Andre Iguodala but failed to complete negotiations to pry Danilo Gallinari away from Oklahoma City. The Sixers upgraded their bench, and in a move that could certainly change the landscape of the Western Conference postseason picture, the Clippers landed Marcus Morris.

Here is a breakdown of each trade completed this week before the 3 p.m. deadline on Feb. 6, along with the potential impact of each trade on betting markets.

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12-player deal between Rockets, Hawks, Nuggets, and Wolves

  • Houston gets: F Robert Covington, C Jordan Bell (since traded to Memphis), 2024 second-round pick (via Warriors)
  • Atlanta gets: C Clint Capela, C Nene (since waived)
  • Denver gets: G Shabazz Napier (since traded to Washington), G Gerald Green, F Noah Vonleh, F Keita Bates-Diop, 2020 first-round pick (via Rockets)
  • Minnesota gets: G Malik Beasley, G Evan Turner, F Juancho Hernangomez, F Jarred Vanderbilt, 2020 first-round pick (via Nets, lottery protected)

Analysis: There is a ton to sift through here in terms of which teams benefit in the short term versus the long run. The Nuggets lose some depth by replacing Beasley and Hernangomez with Napier and Vonleh, while acquiring an injured gunner in Green (foot). Denver was likely going to lose both players in free agency this offseason, so the move is beneficial in that it at least nets another first-round pick. The Nuggets (+2000) are less tempting to win the title or even the West at +1000 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook. Denver followed up the trade by flipping Napier to Washington for promising wing Jordan McRae.

Minnesota gets the best draft pick in the trade, which is what the Wolves hoped to gain in a deal for Covington. The Wolves shed salary for their later moves and get a reliable two-way player in Beasley. Turner could bring a valuable veteran presence to their dysfunctional locker room.

Houston dropped from +1500 +1600 to win the NBA title without Capela and clearly plans to go small quite often with Covington joining P.J. Tucker as versatile bigs in today’s sprawl ball NBA. The Rockets quickly flipped Jordan Bell to Memphis for a second-round pick and Bruno Caboclo, who is more of a PF at 6-foot-9 with a decent 3-point stroke.

Atlanta seems to be the biggest winner in acquiring a great two-way center in Capela for a first-round pick and Turner’s expiring contract. The Hawks waived Chandler Parsons and his expiring $25.1M contract to make room. Capela is dealing with plantar fascitis and might be out through the ASB, but he could work well in tandem in PnR with Trae Young and give Atlanta some much needed rim protection when active. John Collins will have to play more on the perimeter with Capela at the five, but Collins is more of a natural PF. The Hawks were already surging with a 3-3 record over their last 6 games and should have some extra juice following this promising move.

Wolves trade Andrew Wiggins for D’Angelo Russell

  • Minnesota gets: G D’Angelo Russell, G Jacob Evans, F Omari Spellman
  • Golden State gets: F Andrew Wiggins, 2021 first-round pick (top-3 protected), 2021 second-round pick

The Wolves appeased Karl-Anthony Towns by getting his old friend D’Angelo Russell. Towns had been lobbying to acquire Russell since the offseason and the Wolves front office caved by unloading two picks in the coveted 2021 draft for the lefty scorer.

The Warriors are gambling that Wiggins can become a more efficient scorer with lower volume alongside Steph Curry and Klay Thompson next season. The former No. 1 overall pick has been wildly erratic over the past few years. Golden State could land a stud in the first round of the 2021 draft the way the Wolves have been tanking lately.

Listen to “Episode 2: The Impact Of The NBA Trade Deadline” on Spreaker.

Golden State trades Alec Burks and Glenn Robinson III to Philadelphia

  • Philadelphia gets: G Alec Burks, F Glenn Robinson III
  • Golden State gets: 2020 second-round pick (via Mavs), 2021 second-round pick (via Nuggets), 2022 second-round pick (via Raptors)

This was essentially a salary dump by the Warriors to get under the luxury tax. They receive some of the lowest draft picks available over the next three years and give up a promising young forward along with a savvy veteran scorer in Burks.

Philadelphia’s offense had been circling the drain lately, so adding these scorers will only help their long-term prospects. The Sixers are getting +3000 odds to win the title at some books but are sitting at +1400 at DraftKings Sportsbook due to the amount of handle coming in from East Coast bettors. Robinson is somewhat of a redundant addition to the lengthy 76ers. Burks should provide a key lift as a ball handler and capable outside shooter off the bench. In related moves, the Sixers shipped James Ennis to Orlando for a second-round pick and waived Trey Burke.

Atlanta reunites with Dewayne Dedmon

Sacramento gets: F Jabari Parker, C Alex Len
Atlanta gets: C Dewayne Dedmon

After waiving Nene, the Hawks got more frontcourt help by re-acquiring Dewayne Dedmon from the Kings. Buried on the bench to start the season and ineffective when called upon due to injuries, Dedmon was very unhappy in Sacramento. Now he’ll slide into a role as a spot starter while Capela nurses his heel injury, and he could see significant time down the stretch if the Hawks play it safe with Capela. The Hawks also traded a future second-round pick for big man Skal Labissiere, adding more depth behind Capela.

The Kings are taking a gamble on Parker, a former No. 2 overall pick who has shown promise but also been plagued by injuries during his early career. Len will provide short-term help and his expiring contract will help Sacramento try to re-sign Bogdan Bogdanovic this offseason.

Pistons ship Andre Drummond to Cleveland

  • Cleveland gets: C Andre Drummond
  • Detroit gets: F John Henson, G Brandon Knight, 2023 second-round pick

Clearly, the Pistons had no intention of trying to re-sign Drummond this offseason and the rest of the NBA knew it, causing the big man’s value to plummet. This is a horrible return for one of the best rebounders in the league, even if his actual value is belied by those rebounding stats. The only real silver lining for the Pistons is they can now give big minutes to promising forwards Christian Wood and Sekou Doumbouya. Detroit waived Tim Frazier to make room for Brandon Knight.

Pistons guard Reggie Jackson and Cavs center Tristan Thompson are now prime candidates for the buy-out market, although neither team seems to be in a rush to buy out either player.

Miami lands veteran Andre Iguodala in 3-team deal

  • Memphis gets: F Justise Winslow, G Dion Waiters, C Gorgui Dieng
  • Minnesota gets: F James Johnson
  • Miami gets: F Andre Iguodala, F Jae Crowder, F Solomon Hill

The Heat will likely bury Crowder on the depth chart and could waive Solomon Hill. The real prize here is Iguodala, who even at 36, provides the defensive versatility and championship pedigree it just might take to stop Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks.

Memphis finally gets Iguodala off the books, allowing the Grizz to quickly give SF Dillon Brooks a 3-year, $35M extension. The Grizzlies lose a valuable veteran presence in Crowder, and Dion Waiters may not provide the same sort of stability by any means. Memphis nets promising 23-year-old Justise Winslow, who could seriously bolster their young corps when healthy. Gorgui Dieng adds some frontcourt depth and the Wolves get a solid defensive forward in James Johnson.

Clippers acquire Marcus Morris in 3-team deal

  • New York gets: F Maurice Harkless, F Issuf Sanon (currently overseas), 2020 first-round pick
  • LA Clippers get: F Marcus Morris, G Isaiah Thomas
  • Washington gets: G Jerome Robinson

The preseason favorites to win it all, the Clippers bolster their roster by adding a solid two-way forward. While diminished by injuries, Isaiah Thomas can still provide some scoring punch off the bench as well. The Clippers (+333) are currently third in terms of title odds, so this might be a good time to get bets placed on this versatile and deep team.

The Knicks acquire a solid veteran and will get a late first-round pick for Morris. This move seems to be pressured by ownership considering former team president Steve Mills was reportedly fired for his refusal to move Morris. Young players such as Kevin Knox and Allonzo Trier will get more playing time as a result of the move.

Updated NBA title odds

NBA Finals Winner

Game
09/06/2020
(Eastern Time)
(EST)
LA Lakers
Bet now
+250
Bet now
+260
Bet now
+250
Milwaukee Bucks
Bet now
+250
Bet now
+240
Bet now
+250
LA Clippers
Bet now
+333
Bet now
+320
Bet now
+300
Houston
Bet now
+1400
Bet now
+1700
Bet now
+1200
Toronto
Bet now
+1800
Bet now
+2000
Bet now
+2000
Boston
Bet now
+2000
Bet now
+1800
Bet now
+1600
Philadelphia
Bet now
+2000
Bet now
+2000
Bet now
+2000
Denver
Bet now
+2500
Bet now
+2700
Bet now
+2500
Miami
Bet now
+3000
Bet now
+3300
Bet now
+3000
Utah
Bet now
+3300
Bet now
+3300
Bet now
+4000
Dallas
Bet now
+4500
Bet now
+3800
Bet now
+4000
Oklahoma City
Bet now
+8000
Bet now
+8500
Bet now
+10000
Portland
Bet now
+8000
Bet now
+16000
Bet now
+15000
Indiana
Bet now
+10000
Bet now
+13000
Bet now
+8000
New Orleans
Bet now
+10000
Bet now
+10000
Bet now
+12500
Brooklyn
Bet now
+15000
Bet now
+19000
Bet now
+20000
Memphis
Bet now
+20000
Bet now
+21000
Bet now
+15000
Orlando
Bet now
+30000
Bet now
+25000
Bet now
+25000
San Antonio
Bet now
+30000
Bet now
+21000
Bet now
+50000
Washington
Bet now
+30000
Bet now
+25000
Bet now
+100000
Phoenix
Bet now
+50000
Bet now
+25000
Bet now
+100000
Sacramento
Bet now
+50000
Bet now
+25000
Bet now
+25000

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