Domantas Sabonis and the Sacramento Kings pay a visit to the Utah Jazz on Monday, March 20 at 9 p.m. ET/6:00 p.m. PT. The Kings are favorites with a point total set at . Andrew Nembhard and the Indiana Pacers are on the road against the Charlotte Hornets at 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT. The Pacers are favorites in the game, which features a point total set at . Below, we’ll go over NBA player props for Monday night.
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Kings At Jazz Player Props
Domantas Sabonis Under 42.5 Points, Rebounds, and Assists
Here are Sabonis’ core points, rebounds and assists props for the game against the Jazz:
- Points: Over/Under /
- Rebounds: Over/Under /
- Assists: Over/Under /
- Points, Assists, and Rebounds: /
The Sacramento Kings have defied the odds that said just a few weeks ago they’d lose the Pacific. With 12 games left, the Kings hold a comfortable lead and have a legitimate shot at the No. 2 seed.
Sabonis has been essential to that sustained success down the stretch. He has led the Kings to an 11-2 record since the All-Star break, averaging more than 21-13-8.
However, there are a few reasons I prefer to hit the Under on his points, rebounds, and assists prop, which sits a bit too high with Walker Kessler and the Jazz on the other side of Monday night’s matchup.
The Walker Kessler Effect
Last week, I hit the Under on Bam Adebayo’s points and rebounds. The books had failed to catch up to the fact that Utah has been shutting down opposing centers since Kessler’s minutes increased. Adebayo doesn’t present nearly the same offensive skillset as Sabonis, though. So, this bet isn’t for the faint of heart.
Through Utah’s first 54 games, it ranked in the bottom five in points, rebounds, and assists allowed to opposing centers. Since finding more burn for Kessler, that changed. In the last 16 games, Utah has jumped all the way up to first in limiting points and fourth in limiting rebounds.
Kessler has staked his claim as one of the best individual rim protectors in the game. Utah has held opponents to the eighth-fewest points in the paint when he’s on the floor. He also ranks second among centers in limiting rebounds, allowing just 26 rebounds to the other team in his 31 minutes per contest.
Playing this game in Utah should cause a slight dip in Sabonis’ and the Kings’ production. Over his last five games in Sacramento, he averages more than 23-13-10 for a combined total of 46. Compare that to his last 10 on the road, where he’s posting 20-12-7 for a combined 39.
NBA Coast 2 Coast Show
Josh Lander is 6-2 and up 4+ units betting NBA player props in the last week. Check out the NBA Coast 2 Coast podcast each and every weekday with co-host Nate Weitzer and give him a follow on Twitter, @jlboogy
Editor’s Note
Pacers At Hornets
Andrew Nembhard Over 14.5 Points
Here are Nembhard’s core points, rebounds and assists props for the game against the Hornets:
- Points: Over/Under /
- Rebounds: Over/Under /
- Assists: Over/Under /
Before closing the coffin on the Indiana Pacers’ playoff hopes this season, we should congratulate them on getting over their win total all the way back in February.
Now, the team’s coaching staff has essentially shut down Tyrese Haliburton for the season to avoid even making the play-in and to get a better gauge of the quality of the backup players.
The Pacers could also be without Bennedict Mathurin, Chris Duarte, and Isaiah Jackson on Monday night in Charlotte against the Hornets. That’s partly why I like the Over on Andrew Nembhard’s points prop.
Unsurprisingly, Nembhard’s individual stats without Tyrese Haliburton blow past his season averages. Over the Pacers’ last 10 games, Nembhard has played five games with Haliburton and five games without him. With the Pacers All-Star in the lineup, Nembhard has averaged 8 points and two rebounds in 24 minutes with a 12% usage rate.
In the five games without Haliburton, those numbers jump to 17 points and five rebounds in 30 minutes with a 24% usage rate. Trim that down to the Pacers’ last four (all without Haliburton) and Nembhard has dropped a sizzling 20 points and six assists in 34 minutes. He shot better than 48% from the field and 40% from deep.
Charlotte has yet to win at home in March, losing all six games while allowing 115 points per game to its opponent.
