NBA On TNT Player Props Tuesday, Dec. 21: Heat Vs. Pacers, Lakers Vs. Suns

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on December 21, 2021
TNT NBA player props

The journey towards the NBA Finals continues with two more national TV games tonight on TNT, Pacers at Heat and Suns at Lakers. Each week throughout the season, TheLines will look at some matchups for the televised slates and try to figure if there are any TNT NBA player props worth a look.

When legal US sportsbooks release player props Tuesday afternoon, the player tiles below will populate with the best available odds for each of their prop markets. Before game props are released, they will show player futures.

You can also search TNT NBA player props using our tool below.

TNT NBA player props tool: Find the best odds

Indiana Pacers At Miami Heat

Not too many teams can match the Heat’s level of short-handedness right now, making them an interesting team to attempt to handicap. They’re missing three of their top-four players in Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro.

As of now, there’s no reason to expect any of them to return for this game. The team seems committed to caution with these injuries, particularly that of Butler, out with a mysterious tailbone bruise.

Kyle Lowry Props

That leaves Kyle Lowry to shoulder the load. He’s straining under the added shot creation burden, barely budging his points and assists upward and losing some efficiency. Given that the Pacers operate at a bottom-10 pace — and so do the Heat — plus the fact the market probably expects Lowry to dominate more than is actually happening, look to wager on some of his unders here. The Heat run a pretty egalitarian offense in general so he isn’t stepping it up as much as you might expect in terms of usage.

PJ Tucker Props

One player who has definitely ramped up his usage: PJ Tucker. He normally runs a comically low usage rate of around 10%. Check out those numbers for the past seven games:

  • 19.3%
  • 17.1%
  • 13.6%
  • 21.2%
  • 12.5%
  • 17.3%
  • 17.5%

That’s a sizable jump. His assist numbers in particular have ticked up as he’s averaged four per game during that time. Make sure the prop numbers here reflect his expanded role.

 

Myles Turner Props

The Pacers are much healthier currently, and they also enter this game with a huge rest advantage, having enjoyed a rare four days off. So, make sure the game spread reflects this massive edge.

Again, we have to look for some unders both in the game or the prop markets, probably. The Heat have only seen one of their past four games crack 200.

Interestingly, despite sporting a top-10 defense, the Heat have hemorrhaged opponent 3-point attempts. They rank bottom three in 3s allowed from the corner, above the break and overall, according to Cleaning The Glass.

The highest-volume bomber the Pacers have is actually big man Myles Turner. Look for him to find some space here.

Phoenix Suns At Los Angeles Lakers

Another study in contrasts as far as current team state. This time, we have the Lakers completely decimated, with at least six rotation guys in the protocols. Phoenix (No. 3 in our NBA Power Rankings) is mostly healthy, although Chris Paul is listed as day-to-day following the team’s Sunday win.

LeBron James and Russell Westbrook Props

LeBron James and Russell Westbrook completed dominated the usage for the Lakers on Sunday with the team massively short on bodies.

Expect James to see a ton of Mikal Bridges defense. Bridges has become one of the premier stoppers in the league on the wing. He gave James plenty of trouble in the playoffs last year.

One thing to look for: both Westbrook and James will have to shoulder a huge rebounding load. The Lakers’ only true big man left is DeAndre Jordan and he’s basically useless. Look for both James and Westbrook to have high rebounding props. If they don’t, overs are worth a look, particularly with both teams looking to push the pace.

 

Chris Paul Props

The Suns could potentially exploit a couple of big weak points that the Lakers have. One of them has been a season-long issue and one of them looks like a potentially major issue with the team short-handed.

The Lakers have been among the most turnover-prone teams in the NBA. They rank 26th in turnover rate. Westbrook taking even more of the ball-handling on will only likely increase this issue. He’s been quite loose with the ball this year, even having some games with double-digit turnovers.

Expect Chris Paul, one of the league’s top thieves, to take advantage as long as he plays.

Deandre Ayton Props

The aforementioned lack of size for LA should also play to the advantage of Deandre Ayton. Ayton completely dominated the undersized teams the Suns faced in the playoffs last year. He did so again the other night against the tiny Hornets, snagging 15 rebounds in just 24 minutes of action.

Expect him to feast on the boards here.

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Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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