The journey towards the NBA Finals continues with two more national TV games tonight on TNT, Warriors at Bucks, and Trail Blazers at Nuggets. Each week throughout the season, TheLines will look at some matchups for the televised slates and try to figure if there are any TNT NBA player props worth a look.
You can also search TNT NBA player props using our tool below. Click on the odds anywhere in this post to bet now. If prop markets are not open yet for those players, the player tiles will show futures markets. Check back later if this is the case.
TNT NBA player props tool: Find the best odds
Golden State Warriors At Milwaukee Bucks
These two teams are close across the board in advanced stats, excelling in most places and playing at medium paces. The only major difference comes on the defensive end, where Golden State has the league’s best efficiency by a mile while the Bucks rank “merely” 10th.
Both teams have a major injury question mark.
For Milwaukee, Bucks G Jrue Holiday is nursing a sore ankle. Holiday missed the past three games, and with Grayson Allen and George Hill in COVID protocols, the backcourt has become quite thin. The Bucks did manage to beat the Nets without Holiday but they lost back-to-back games to the Hornets.
For the Warriors, it looks doubtful F Draymond Green will play. The anchor of their defense, his absence potentially opens up minutes for Kevon Looney, but you’re not likely to find any markets for Looney. If you can, look to some unders as Looney played extra minutes against the super-sized Cavaliers but didn’t against the more traditional Grizzlies.
Stephen Curry Props
If the Warriors run light on big men and find themselves in a tight battle here, Stephen Curry might fire up more than his usual volume of shots. For the second straight year, Milwaukee has also been very poor defending the 3-point line. They rank 29th after finishing last year 26th, per Cleaning The Glass.
Check Curry’s 3-point and points markets.
Giannis Antetokounmpo And Bobby Portis Props
It’s a bit of the opposite case in Milwaukee as far as their own MVP candidate is concerned. Giannis Antetokounmpo has put up his usual volume of shots the past couple of games even against the light Charlotte frontcourt.
Instead Bobby Portis has upped his aggression level in two recent games (he got in foul trouble in the other) with 16 and 17 shot attempts. He also has double-digit rebounds in three straight.
Be sure the markets don’t overcorrect with too much faith in Giannis and not enough in Portis.
Portland Trail Blazers At Denver Nuggets
Looking over these two teams’ efficiency and pace metrics, one thing jumps out that can point us in a direction on props.
Denver is playing way up in pace because they’re the slowest team in the league. Combine that with facing the second-worst defensive efficiency unit, and you have a recipe for Nuggets points overs.
Conversely, the Blazers obviously go way down in pace here. That’s something to keep in mind, although Denver has also not played great defense thus far, ranking in the middle of the pack.
Anfernee Simons Props
Few if any teams have had a position group hit as hard by injuries/COVID as the Portland backcourt. Obviously, the headliner is Damian Lillard, reportedly set to have surgery that could end his season. Norman Powell and CJ McCollum are also out.
That has left Anfernee Simons as by far the top shot creator. He has easily led the team in shots the past few games, even hoisting 24 against the Nets. Again, with the Nuggets not a particularly strong defensive team, he should have his chance to score.
Jusuf Nurkic Props
Watch for potential under plays on especially Jusuf Nurkic. The big man has long had a heated rivalry with Nikola Jokic, his former teammate. If Jokic gets him in foul trouble, Nurkic will have a tough time reaching his targets.
Nikola Jokic And Aaron Gordon Props
The Blazers rank 25th in rate of shots allowed at the rim. Obviously, that benefits Jokic, who is a monster in the post. The Blazers were completely helpless against him in last year’s playoffs and haven’t fared any better this season on the whole.
However, the market figures to be wise to this. Jokic, after all, remains a top MVP candidate putting up huge numbers on a nightly basis.
A sneakier look: Aaron Gordon’s point prop. Gordon actually leads the team among high-volume players in rate of shots at the rim. What’s more, he converts at a 96th-percentile rate, per Cleaning The Glass.