Game 2 of the Western Conference finals tips off on Friday night. Below is my NBA odds breakdown for the matchup. Click the odds below to place a bet.
NBA Odds: Betting Warriors-Mavericks’ Game 2
As I alluded to in my Western Conference finals betting guide, there was a strong probability that Dallas’ offense would struggle in Game 1. But it was worse than anticipated, as Jason Kidd’s bunch shot 11 of 48 (22.9%) from behind the arc in the 25-point loss.
However, ShotQuality noted that the Mavericks were expected to play roughly 23% better offensively, including 16 more points from distance. If those numbers came to fruition, Dallas was projected to notch a 107-105 victory. The betting market has come in on Golden State because of the blowout, though, increasing the spread by a half-point while creating some value in the process.
The Mavs utilize their fair share of isolation sets — the Warriors’ biggest defensive liability — because of Luka Doncic’s prowess for creating off the bounce. Assuming Doncic & Co. rediscover their shooting touch, their attack should bounce back at the Chase Center.
- 2022 NBA Finals Odds Comparison Tool
How Can Dallas’ Defense Solve Golden State?
Steve Kerr’s squad tallied 1.13 points per possession (PPP) on Wednesday, as Steph Curry and his running mates scored plenty in transition. But as long as the Mavericks see some positive shooting variance, they’ll in turn minimize the Warriors’ fast-break opportunities.
Keep in mind, Kidd’s group operated at the slowest pace in the regular season while ranking No. 4 in that regard during the postseason. If Dallas forces Golden State into more half-court sets, which its defense was very efficient at defending in Game 1, miscues should come into play.
The Warriors have accrued the sixth-highest turnover rate (15.8%) among playoff teams. Given the Mavs’ reliance on their perimeter ball pressure, Kerr’s team could actually spark the opposition if the tempo favors the Mavericks.
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Eli’s NBA Odds Pick: