NBA Futures: Betting To Consider For 2023-24 Season
The 2023-24 NBA season has arrived, and that means it’s time to put in NBA futures bets. Historically, I’ve done pretty well with these. The NBA is probably the most difficult sport to beat on a night-to-night basis unless you’re dialed into injury news and always have your finger on the trigger. Hence, I like to use season-long bets to get a sweat and keep my daily betting volume a little lower compared with MLB and NFL betting.
I’ll briefly review four wagers I put in for this coming season. For the full menu of my season-long bets and ongoing discussion of NBA odds, join TheLines discord.
Click the odds below to place a wager at the best sports betting sites. Scroll to the bottom of this page for a full list of NBA futures prices.
2023-24 Season-Long NBA Bets
Milwaukee Bucks Under 53.5 Wins ()
I’m pretty excited about the Damian Lillard/Giannis Antetokounmpo pairing — in the playoffs.
As far as the regular season goes, Milwaukee has an older team with questionable depth. I don’t see this team pushing that hard in the regular season, with the 33-year-old Lillard, 35-year-old Brook Lopez, and Khris Middleton needing his minutes managed carefully after dealing with injuries in recent years.
Additionally, Milwaukee is breaking in first-year head coach Adrian Griffin. There could be some growing pains there, particularly in replacing a regular-season monster in Coach Bud.
Dallas Mavericks Over 43.5 Wins ()
I know I’m on an island with this one, but I really just think Luka Doncic is basically an automatic ticket to 45+ wins — last season notwithstanding. I know the Mavs stunk last year after the Kyrie Irving deal, but they had one of the best offenses in the NBA with those two. Jason Kidd has wrung decent defense out of not-very-talented defensive teams before, too.
Dallas’ offense will be incredible if Josh Green and Grant Williams don’t regress from deep. Both of them shot at least 40% last year. Dereck Lively II looks like a dream fit at the center spot, and the bench has capable NBA players like Tim Hardaway Jr., Maxi Kleber, and Richaun Holmes. Look out for Dante Exum as well, a wild card after crushing it in Europe the past few seasons.
What could possibly go wrong if you were betting on good things from an Irving-led team?
Victor Wembanyama Wins Rookie Of The Year ()
Wemby is definitely not a lock, especially with Chet Holmgren looking strong in preseason and summer action.
However, Wembanyama is a generational talent who will have a huge role in San Antonio. The viral highlights he generates are going to help here, as will voters knowing full well Wemby projects as by far the best player down the road. Nobody wants to be remembered as the guy who denied a future Hall of Famer MVP because the Spurs managed his minutes and games played.
That rates as my only real concern here, but there doesn’t project to be a ton of competition for lottery balls this year. Therefore, I’m hoping the Spurs don’t have much incentive to shut the future superstar down.
Hawks Win Southeast Division ()
This is a bit of a two-pronged bet, as I’m bullish on Atlanta and bearish Miami. Historically, that has not been a smart way to go, so let’s dig in.
As far as Atlanta goes, it’s mostly a bet that the improvement under head coach Quin Snyder continues after things got toxic with Nate McMillan. The Hawks boast a reasonably talented roster with intriguing depth, including an ace sixth man in Bogdan Bogdanovic. There’s enough talent here that the team was projected in the mid-40s heading into last season, which wound up being a huge disappointment.
Onyeka Okongwu and AJ Griffin provide quality depth, and Jalen Johnson is an intriguing breakout candidate.
In Miami’s case, it’s another team I don’t see pushing very hard in the regular season following last year’s miracle run from the play-in to the NBA Finals. They also have much value concentrated in Jimmy Butler, Bam Adebayo, and Tyler Herro. Butler is by far their best player but doesn’t seem particularly interested in the regular season these days. The 35-year-old Kevin Love and a bunch of undrafted guys constitute the depth.
Unless Caleb Martin sustains his best Klay Thompson impression, I’ll take my chances on Atlanta squeaking by Miami and getting more than 2-1 on my money.
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