NBA Finals MVP Odds: Stephen Curry, Jason Tatum Top The Board

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on May 27, 2022
NBA finals MVP

NBA bettors are always looking for value. One way to potentially do so: pounce on early, speculative markets like that of NBA Finals MVP odds before the participants have even become locked in.

We already discussed NBA Finals odds for exact matchups that include the Heat and Mavericks. These can potentially create a little bonus value on Boston and Golden State if you believe they are almost assured of making the Finals.

Along the same lines, you can get prices on NBA Finals MVP with markets that price in Heat and Mavs players. These give you longer prices on Warriors and Celtics players than you’ll be able to find in a week or so, assuming both teams don’t blow their big advantages.

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2022 NBA Finals MVP Odds

Stephen Curry
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+110
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+110
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+120
Jayson Tatum
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+175
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+220
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+225
Jaylen Brown
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+950
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+800
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+800
Klay Thompson
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+1700
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+1000
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+1400
Draymond Green
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+1900
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+1200
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+1400
Jimmy Butler
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+3000
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+2500
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+2200
Marcus Smart
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+5000
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+2500
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+6600
Jordan Poole
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+3500
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+2000
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+2500
Andrew Wiggins
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+2800
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+2000
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+3300
Al Horford
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+7000
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+8000
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+8000

Compare those MVP odds to team title futures, with the Warriors at and Celtics at . If you believe a star will win the award, there’s some value taking them over betting the team to win the series.

Over the past 13 NBA Finals, 12 Finals MVPs have been named Giannis Antetokounmpo, LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, Kevin Durant, Dirk Nowitzki and Kobe Bryant. The only player that won it that wasn’t a primary star in that span was Andre Iguodola in 2015 with the Warriors.

Obviously, it comes as no surprise that Stephen Curry and Jayson Tatum top the board in 2022. A potential Celtics-Warriors series is forecast to be a rather competitive affair, with the Warriors very slight favorites. Both Tatum (32%) and Curry (31.2%) lead their respective teams in usage by a wide margin. As the top stat accumulators, they’d be clear favorites to bag MVP honors if their teams win the title.

Of the two, Tatum actually had the gaudier stat line during the season (26.9/8/4.4 averages versus 25.2/5.2/6.3). He has also stepped up his playmaking big time in the playoffs, adding 1.6 assists to his line. So, you can probably get a little more value on him than Curry if both teams are roughly equally likely to prevail.

Furthermore, recall that although Curry has been apart of three championship teams, he actually has never won a Finals MVP. Kevin Durant outshone him the two times they played together, and Andre Iguodala snatched it in 2015 with his brilliant all-around contributions and stellar defense on LeBron James.

Then again, voters may find themselves more inclined to reward Curry in a “lifetime achievement” sort of way.

Down-Ballot Contenders

Which other players in this market merit attention?

Draymond Green at +1900 on DraftKings jumps off the page. He could steal the award in much the same way Iguodala did. He makes clear, obvious contributions on defense, and if he racks up some assists and boards while the Warriors hold the Celtics to paltry point totals, he’ll be a prime contender. He’d likely need Klay Thompson and/or Jordan Poole to roughly match Curry’s point totals.

What about Marcus Smart at +2500? Awards voters clearly love his defense. If he gets hot from deep and helps shut down the Warriors’ perimeter scoring, he may sway some votes his way.

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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