2024 NBA Draft Odds: Eli’s Bets & Predictions, Including WILD Price Discrepancy
Before the 2023 NBA Draft, French superstar Victor Wembanyama was heavily projected to be taken with the No. 1 overall pick. Operators priced him as high as -8000, equivalent to a 98.8% implied probability. The San Antonio Spurs followed suit, leading to his 2023-24 Rookie of the Year campaign. This year’s prospect haul has been well-documented as one of the weaker classes in recent memory. However, with more betting markets released, 2024 NBA Draft odds are worth monitoring at the best sports betting sites.
NBA Draft Odds: To Be Top-10 Pick
Click any of the NBA betting odds below to place a wager. These odds are the best available in your state but note not all states with regulated sports betting offer draft odds.
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Player
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Rob Dillingham
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Cody Williams
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Dalton Knecht
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Ron Holland
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Nikola Topic
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Tidjane Salaun
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Devin Carter
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Isaiah Collier
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NBA Draft: What Is Going On With Rob Dillingham’s Odds?
As you’ll see in the table, the best sports betting sites aren’t exactly in lockstep. Kentucky product Rob Dillingham is stationed as high as -4000 to land inside the top-10 picks on Wednesday, June 26. Dillingham can also be had at -200 (DraftKings) and -145 (FanDuel).
For those inquiring about the other side of the coin, we’ve yet to see a sportsbook provide a “No” market on Dillingham in this range.
Multiple mock drafts are projecting Dillingham to slip to the back of the lottery. Others have him sneaking in at No. 10 overall to the Utah Jazz.
No matter how this situation unfolds, don’t be surprised when markets differ from mock draft experts or well-respected reporters. Before the Orlando Magic took Paolo Banchero in the 2022 NBA Draft, ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski was adamant that Jabari Smith was the man of the hour — until moments before the main event. Despite Woj’s efforts, the market persisted in shortening Banchero’s odds in the days leading up to the draft.
As I reported, Banchero was as high as +2500 to go No. 1 overall. Less than 24 hours before Orlando acquired the eventual Rookie of the Year recipient, his odds dipped to -200 before sportsbooks took them down entirely.
Eli’s NBA Draft Bets
Below, you’ll find all of my wagers on NBA Draft odds. I’ll update this article when I tack on more bets, so bookmark this page if you’re interested in more NBA draft betting analysis.
Devin Carter: Top-10 Pick (+200, Now -105 at FanDuel)
If you’re a part of TheLines.com’s free sports betting Discord channel, you may have seen my bet earlier this week. Since then, Carter’s implied probability of being a top-10 selection has only increased.
You can receive instant alerts whenever our staff members post one. Head to the #roles server to enroll in the push notifications.
Like Jaime Jaquez in last year’s draft, Carter is a veteran prospect. His athletic frame, defensive prowess, and pick-and-roll ball handling have been on display in a handful of workouts, and his stock has risen considerably as a result.
Although Carter’s jumper was originally his biggest red flag, he tallied a 37.7% clip from deep in his second season with Providence. His efficiency is notable, considering he attempted 11.2 3-pointers per 100 possessions.
In a recent interview, Carter cited his time studying Jalen Brunson while refining his footwork in the paint. As a junior, he manufactured a 62.3% clip near the rim in half-court sets — a rise of 21.1 percentage points from his sophomore campaign.
Multiple reports note that several teams, with picks in the No. 9 to 15 range, are interested in Carter. Anthony Carter, Devin’s father, is an assistant coach with the Memphis Grizzlies, which own the ninth pick. Nevertheless, the 22-year-old could wind up with the San Antonio Spurs at No. 8 overall. According to Bleacher Report’s Jonathan Wasserman, the Spurs are also bullish on Carter, especially after Nikola Topić’s ACL tear.
I’d bet on Carter at -105 or better in the top-10 betting market. Per the table above, these odds are available at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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