Top-10 Longshot Hood-Schifino Worth Considering Among NBA Draft Odds
We’re inching closer to the 2023 NBA Draft, and betting odds are constantly adjusting. On Tuesday morning, Brandon Miller was +175 to go second overall before going further in the direction (+185). Among the recently-added NBA Draft odds, there’s intrigue surrounding who may sneak in as a top-10 pick. One player to monitor is Jalen Hood-Schifino.
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On the surface, some bettors will view Dereck Lively (-110), Bilal Coulibaly (+120), or Kobe Bufkin (+200) as a more worthwhile wager than Hood-Schifino (+1500) — the 6-foot-6, 215-pound guard who spent his lone collegiate campaign in Bloomington, Ind. After all, Hood-Schifino’s implied probability to slide into the top 10 is just 6.25%.
Nevertheless, Hood-Schifino is a ready-now prospect and would improve Jazz odds or Mavericks odds, with respects to their 2023-24 outlook. If you’re one who values mock drafts, he’s occasionally been pegged to both of those teams at No. 9 and 10 overall.
In the end, though, these predictions shouldn’t completely dictate one’s betting philosophy. Take Paolao Banchero odds from the last year’s draft rodeo. While Banchero was more of the exception than the rule, his +2000 odds to go first overall — four days before the main event — were somewhat aggressive. That’s especially the case after considering there were still rumors that neither Jabari Smith nor Chet Holmgren was the sure-fire answer.
The same principle holds true for Hold-Schifino. Given his short-term promise and gaudy ceiling, his price point is a tad long, especially if there’s a run on guards early on.
Outside of the previously listed Caesars Sportsbook, FanDuel has +1500 odds available as well. DraftKings sits a bit lower (+1200).
Related: Draymond Green’s “Next Team” Odds
Evaluating Hood-Schifino And More
Below are a handful of Hood-Schifino’s analytical ratings from the 2022-23 college basketball campaign (via Synergy). The Big Ten Freshman of the Year profiles as an efficient scorer and playmaker in traffic and against drop coverage — accentuated by a 35-point outburst (1.13 PPP) in a win at Purdue.
| Situation | PPP | PPP Percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Isolation | 1.19 | 94th |
| Facing Press | 1.03 | 73rd |
| P&R Ball-Handler | 0.83 | 67th |
| Dribble Handoff | 0.90 | 57th |
| Spot-Up | 0.72 | 22nd |
Hood-Schifino should also benefit from additional spacing at the next level. Once he finally blossomed midseason, he represented the Hoosiers’ lone guard who could create off the bounce. His 2.8 turnovers per game were a result of this deficiency.
Granted, Miami (Fla.) exploited Hood-Schifino’s lackluster off-ball defense in the 2023 NCAA Tournament. The Canes possessed plenty of explosive athletes, such as Anthony Walker, who ironically transferred to Indiana this offseason. But showcasing some sort of freshman blemish is commonplace. It didn’t help that Xavier Johnson — the Hoosiers’ premier defensive guard and fellow ball-handler — was out with a foot injury, either.
Meanwhile, Walker is expected to take over the bench role of Jordan Geronimo, who departed for Maryland. The Terps actually represent my only bet on 2024 college basketball odds. They should benefit from expanding Geronimo’s game, too.
Additionally, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Hood-Schifino’s teammate with the Hoosiers, is +300 to go in the first round. He’s been mocked as high as No. 27 overall to the Hornets. Talent wise, Jackson-Davis is one of the more promising two-way centers on the board — even with the aforementioned Lively in mind.
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