Each Team’s Chances Of Landing Victor Wembanyama In 2023 NBA Draft Lottery

Written By Eli Hershkovich on May 16, 2023
NBA Draft Lottery Odds

The 2023 NBA Draft Lottery will begin tonight at 7 p.m. EST on ESPN. Unlike previous years, there is a clear-cut prize for whichever team nabs the first overall selection. In this article, you’ll find NBA Draft Lottery odds for the 14 teams eligible to be the landing spot for Victor Wembanyama, the -20000 favorite to be selected with the No. 1 pick.

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What Are The Latest NBA Draft Lottery Odds?

Above are each team’s betting odds to nab the No. 1 overall pick from DraftKings Sportsbook. As you will see, the implied probability of the outcomes is larger than the true probability. That showcases sportsbook’s “edge” over the bettor.

Operators have a theoretical advantage all sports betting wagers because they charge an additional tax on bets — known as vig or juice. Standard vig is -110, which signifies that a bettor must pay the house an extra 10 cents on every dollar you bet. Some sportsbooks have an even larger edge over their customers via hold percentage.

However, NBA Draft Lottery odds present a whole new meaning to this notion. The league’s route to determine the draft order is exactly what it sounds like. It’s truly a sweepstakes — unlike handicapping a traditional game or a betting market of that nature.

The Pistons, Rockets, and Spurs all possess the best probability of landing the top pick (14.0%).

TeamNo. 1 Pick OddsImplied Probability True Probability True Odds
Pistons+55015.38% 14.00% +614
Rockets+55015.38% 14.00% +614
Spurs+55015.38% 14.00% +614
Hornets+65013.33% 12.50% +700
Trailblazers +80011.11% 10.50%+852
Magic+90010.00% 9.00% +1011
Pacers+12007.69% 6.80%+1370
Wizards+12007.69% 6.70% +1392
Jazz+18005.56% 4.50%+2122
Mavericks+28003.57% 3.00%+3233
Bulls+45002.22% 1.80%+5455
Thunder+45002.22% 1.70% +5782
Raptors+80001.25% 1.00% +9900
Pelicans+160000.99% 0.50% +19900

Exploring Wembanyama’s Best Fit

Thanks to Wembanyama’s wide-ranging skillset for his size at 7-foot-3, the France product is an obvious fit for any team. That said, the Spurs have a distinct set of credentials — under Hall of Fame inductee Gregg Popovich — for drafting and refining international players to their highest potential. That includes Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili.

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