NBA 3-Point Contest Odds: Stephen Curry vs. Sabrina Ionescu Battle Of The Sexes!

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Written By Mo Nuwwarah | Last Updated
nba 3-points contest odds

Damian Lillard will try to become the first repeat 3-point champ in the NBA since Jason Kapono in 2007 and 2008. NBA 3-point contest odds are tightly congested, but Lillard does indeed find himself at the top of the board. Can he stave off fellow sharpshooters like home hero Tyrese Haliburton and Trae Young, not to mention former champ Karl-Anthony Towns? The biggest draw might be Stephen Curry vs. WNBA star Sabrina Ionescu in a battle of the sexes. Yes, there are betting odds for that, too!

The 3-point contest takes place Saturday night at 8 p.m. ET in Indianapolis. TNT will provide the coverage.

Last Updated on 02.16.2024

Overview and Rules Of NBA 3-Point Contest

The NBA has once again assembled a balanced field of 3-point shooters such that even the favorites have around 20% implied probability. Defending champ Lillard is ever so slightly ahead of Haliburton.

Lauri Markkanen makes for a third returning competitor from last season.

Trae Young, meanwhile, is a veteran of two contests, although he skipped last season’s.

Inflation has hit the NBA 3-point contest, with competitors now asked to fire up 27 shots.

The main difference compared to years past is the addition of the “Starry Range” shot, an extra-deep attempt from several feet behind the 3-point line. These shots count for 3 points, so they’re worth triple compared to the regular shots and 1.5x the moneyballs. They’ve helped long-range bombers Lillard and Stephen Curry (2021) win in recent seasons.

Key Stats For NBA 3-point Contest Odds

Here’s a look at key stats to help handicap NBA 3-point contest odds. Corner/above the break data via Cleaning The Glass, and shot distance data via NBA’s official stats.

PlayerCareer 3-point%2023-24 3-Point%2023-24 Above The Break 3-Point%2023-24 Corner 3-Point%Deep 3s
D. Lillard37%34%35%27%118 makes (35%)
T. Haliburton40.6%40%40%50%104 makes (39.5%)
T. Young35.4%37%37%42%124 makes (38.2%)
M. Beasley38.7%44%40%51%79 makes (42%)
K. Towns40%44%45%32%91 makes (44.4%)
D. Mitchell36.5%37%37%32%113 makes (35%)
J. Brunson39.2%42%41%49%102 makes (41%)
L. Markkanen37.5%40%40%43%101 makes (39.3%)

When looking at the data, keep a few things in mind. First, most of the shots come from above the break. That means corner accuracy is devalued a little. Furthermore, most of the players, as primary ball-handlers, haven’t shot a high enough volume from the corner for the numbers to mean very much.

Despite his status as the favorite, Lillard is actually having one of the worst shooting seasons of his career. Still, he and Young probably take the most difficult diet of 3s, along with perhaps Mitchell.

Meanwhile, teammate Malik Beasley is absolutely blistering the nets. He’s been particularly lethal from the corners. And while he doesn’t shoot a high volume from extra-deep range, the shots he has put up have gone down pretty frequently.

Towns’ incredible accuracy from well behind the line also stands out. As a former champ who has a surprisingly strong career conversion rate from 3, he may present value as one of the longer shots.

Steph Vs. Sabrina Odds

Finally, as a bonus for the 2024 NBA All-Star odds, respective NBA and WNBA 3-point titans Stephen Curry and Sabrina Ionescu face off in a head-to-head shootout.

Last Updated on 02.16.2024

There are some fascinating wrinkles for handicapping this one. It would seem on the surface that Curry has a large advantage. He’s been a more accurate shooter in his career (42.7% to 37.7%) while gunning from a longer distance. Ionescu was initially allowed to shoot from the closer WNBA 3-point line but says she plans to shoot from NBA distance and maintains she practices from there regularly.

However, Ionescu famously put forth the highest score and accuracy ever recorded in a 3-point contest when she made 25-of-27 shots last year.

The betting markets see this as legitimately competitive, with Curry at about 65% implied probability.


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