Nationals Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 21, 2021

Posted By Staff on July 21, 2021

The Washington Nationals (45-49) and the Miami Marlins (40-55) meet on Wednesday at Nationals Park, starting at 7:05 PM ET. The Nationals are favored on the moneyline (-115), while the Marlins are -105 underdogs, even though they are favored against the spread (1.5) with +165 odds. Washington has Erick Fedde starting things off, and Miami will send out Sandy Alcantara.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of July 21, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Nationals vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Fedde (WSH) Pitcher Alcantara (MIA)
4 – 7 W/L 5 – 9
66.0 IP 119.2
5.32 ERA 3.23
1.360 WHIP 1.140
8.2 K/9 7.9
3.7 BB/9 2.6

Nationals Probable Starter Erick Fedde

  • Fedde makes the start for the Nationals, his 15th of the season. He is 4-7 with a 5.32 ERA and 60 strikeouts over 66 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Friday against the Padres, the righty threw 1 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • He will take the hill against a Marlins offense that ranks 21st in the league with 736 total hits (on a.233 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .373 (29th in the league) with 94 total home runs (26th in MLB play).
  • The Nationals have a 4-1 record in Fedde’s five starts this season when they were the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 21, 2021 at 2:23 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Fedde

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jorge Alfaro 7 .143 1 0 1 .250 .393
Adam Duvall 7 .571 4 2 2 .625 2.196
Miguel Rojas 7 .286 2 0 1 .375 .661
Joe Panik 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 .800
Lewis Brinson 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Starling Marte 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jesús Aguilar 2 .500 1 0 0 .667 1.167
Magneuris Sierra 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Marlins Probable Starter Sandy Alcantara

  • Alcantara (5-9) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 21st start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed four hits in three innings pitched against the Phillies on Friday.
  • The Nationals have scored 416 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They are batting .260 for the campaign with 110 home runs, 18th in the league.
  • His team is 4-7 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline underdog.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 21, 2021 at 2:23 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Nationals Betting Trends

  • The Nationals’ offense is averaging 4.1 runs in home games while pushing across 4.8 per game away from Nationals Park.
  • The Nationals have the No. 16 offense in MLB play scoring 4.4 runs per game (416 total runs).
  • The Nationals have won 67.4% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (29-14).
  • Washington has gone 23-11 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter (67.6%).
  • Washington has played in 94 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-55-3).
  • Washington won all of the three games it played while the moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have scored 372 runs (just 3.9 per game) this season, which ranks 27th in MLB.
  • In away games this season, they have scored a total of 197 runs (3.8 per game) while plating 175 total at home, an average of 4.1 per contest.
  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 60 games this season and won 23 (38.3%) of those contests.
  • Miami is 22-34 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -105 or more on the moneyline.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 95 chances.
  • Miami has played as the underdog in six of its past 10 games and won one of those contests.

Nationals Players to Watch

  • Trea Turner leads the Nationals with 18 home runs.
  • Among the qualifying hitters in MLB play, Turner’s 117 hits rank second, his .321 AVG ranks fifth, and his .370 OBP ranks 25th.
  • Turner has safely hit in five games in a row. During that streak he is hitting .368 with a double, a triple, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
  • Juan Soto has totaled 54 runs batted in to pace his team.
  • Soto ranks 13th in AVG (.301), and second in OBP (.411) among qualified hitters in MLB play.

Nationals Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Trea Turner 365 .321 64 18 47 .370 .899
Juan Soto 292 .301 62 16 54 .411 .921
Josh Harrison 291 .282 34 5 35 .354 .756
Josh Bell 266 .252 43 14 45 .310 .772
Victor Robles 226 .208 26 1 12 .318 .619
Ryan Zimmerman 162 .241 17 10 28 .272 .747
Andrew Stevenson 104 .221 15 2 11 .281 .579
Jordy Mercer 86 .267 10 1 4 .315 .675
Yadiel Hernandez 85 .259 11 2 6 .319 .660
René Rivera 63 .238 6 2 9 .294 .675

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Jesus Aguilar leads Miami in runs batted in with 68 and has a batting average of .269.
  • Aguilar ranks fifth in RBI among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Miguel Rojas has collected 76 hits this season and has an OBP of .333. He’s slugging .417 on the year.
  • Rojas’ SLG and OBP do not rank in the top 20 among all qualified batters in the league.
  • Rojas will look to extend his eight-game hit streak. Over that span, he’s batting .455 with one homer.

Marlins Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 316 .269 31 17 68 .324 .802
Adam Duvall 285 .235 39 21 67 .282 .777
Miguel Rojas 276 .275 37 5 26 .333 .750
Jon Berti 229 .214 34 4 19 .308 .627
Starling Marte 211 .294 50 7 22 .388 .838
Jorge Alfaro 164 .207 10 3 10 .257 .544
Sandy León 140 .164 8 2 8 .212 .441
Magneuris Sierra 122 .246 17 0 0 .281 .560
Joe Panik 114 .246 9 2 11 .293 .644
Isan Díaz 110 .155 7 2 10 .275 .511

Nationals vs Marlins Player Props

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