Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest Odds For July 4th

Written By Juan Carlos Blanco on June 30, 2021 - Last Updated on July 4, 2021
hot dog eating contest

Largesse, excess and digestive distress – that unholy trio is an undeniable component of our country’s fabric, especially around various holidays. Now add betting to it, with Nathan’s hot dog eating contest odds available at legal US sportsbooks for July 4th.

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Hot Dog Eating Contest: How To Watch

Given there’s no more organically patriotic day on the U.S. calendar than July 4th, it’s fitting the unique tradition of Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest in Coney Island unfolds on our nation’s Independence Day. This year’s event kicks off at 11:00am Eastern Time and emanates from Maimonides Park. ESPN will air the contest live for the 18th consecutive year and 19th overall.

Hot Dog Eating Contest: How To Bet

In a nod to what’s arguably just as much an American tradition, spectators in certain states can join the participants in profiting from their hot-dog-eating prowess – DraftKings Sportsbook is offering a pair of betting markets tied into the event .

There’s also a free-to-play pool, open to all DK users, with a total of $25,000 in prize money. Participants will attempt to correctly answer as many predictive questions surrounding the event and its World Chugging Championship undercard, including:

  • Who will win the Men’s Championship?
  • Who will win the Women’s Championship?
  • Will the existing record of 75 Nathan’s Famous hot dogs and buns in 10 minutes be broken on July 4th?
  • How many Men’s contestants will eat 50 or more hot dogs and buns in 10 minutes?

A full list of questions and payouts for the contest can be found under the Pools tab at the top of the DraftKings Sportsbook app home page. The pool’s top prize is $1,000, while second and third place will take home $500 and $200, respectively.

Joey Chestnut unsurprisingly leads field, but field is deeper in ‘21

This year’s proceedings, like virtually all things 2021, will have a return to normalcy associated with it. One year after COVID-19 concerns led to an indoor, media-only event, we’re back outdoors with a full crowd expected for the contest’s 95th edition.

The legendary Joey Chestnut, who’s amply earned nicknames such as “Jaws” due to his otherworldly competitive eating feats, is once again a very heavy favorite to take the Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest crown.

His -5000 odds, about as engorged as Chestnut himself every July 4th for the last decade-plus, stem from the fact he’s prevailed in the contest in 13 of the last 14 years, including five straight. He bested his own record last year by tearing through 75 franks and buns in 10 minutes.

The one blip on Chestnut’s otherwise unblemished Hot Dog Eating Contest track record came in 2015, when he was tripped up by Matt Stonie. The 29-year-old didn’t compete in 2020 but is back this year. He tuned up for his return by downing 28.5 24 oz. servings of popcorn in eight minutes at the DK-sponsored Red Carpet Film Feast event earlier this year.

Despite the fact the men’s field also will feature Geoffrey Esper – who, like Stonie, didn’t compete in 2020 but finished seventh or better from 2015-19 – the odds on any other contestant besides Chestnut taking home the famed Mustard Yellow Belt that goes along with the $10K first-place prize money are set at +1000.

There’s also a Number of Hot Dogs Eaten prop for Chestnut set at 73.5. That’s a massive number that should nevertheless be well within the 37-year-old’s wheelhouse. Oddsmakers seem to concur – the Over carries a price of -230, while the Under checks in at +165.

And, even though men undoubtedly have a well-earned reputation for gluttony, there’s a thriving competitive eating women’s division that also has a prominent presence at the contest.

The seven-time defending champion and world record holder Miki Sudo will sit out this year’s event due to her pregnancy. That opens up the crown to other accomplished competitors such as Michelle Lesco, Sarah Rodriguez and Larell Marie Mele, who all finished well behind Sudo last year.

DK taking increasingly bigger bites of competitive eating space

While the Nathan’s extravaganza is considered the flagship competitive eating event of the year, the sport has evolved way beyond the annual mid-summer smorgasbord.

Major League Eating, founded in 1997, coordinates competitive eating events throughout North America annually. DK has co-sponsored several competitions revolving around other major events in the past year – the Halloween Candy Bowl, the Big Game Snackdown and the aforementioned Film Feast.

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Juan Carlos Blanco

Juan Carlos Blanco has served as a freelance writer for a wide variety of online publications and websites, with an intensive focus on fantasy sports. Juan has provided analysis and comprehensive coverage of the MLB, NBA, NFL, CFL, AAF and AFL while also reporting on news and developments in the daily fantasy sports and online gaming industries.

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