Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Wednesday Champions League Odds

Written By Dan Tracey on March 15, 2023
champions league odds

Champions League continues Wednesday with Leg 2 of another Round of 16 match. Napoli holds a 2-0 lead after Leg 1 over Eintracht Frankfurt. Kickoff is at 4 p.m. EDT, with the game streaming on Paramount+ in the United States. Napoli is to win Leg 2 in the 90 minutes in Champions League odds, with the over/under set at .  

The game will be played in Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy. As part of TheLines‘ soccer coverage, let’s take a look at Champions League odds for this match and potential bets to make.

Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Champions League Odds

Bettors should be aware during the Champions League knockout rounds that the three-way moneyline is only for 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the aggregate-goal score after two legs is tied, there will be two 15-minute periods of extra time. However, it’s possible for a Champions League match to go to extra time with a Leg 2 score that was not tied. In this case, three-way moneyline bets for Leg 2 are graded for the team that leads after 90 minutes. 

If you are looking for a moneyline bet that pays out on the team to move on to the next round, look for “To Advance” or “To Qualify” props.

Napoli Team Preview

When looking at Napoli’s chances of winning this season’s Champions League, you would have to say that they are too good to be a dark horse but not quite good enough to be considered an overwhelming favorite.

A scenario that puts the Italian outfit in an interesting position from a betting point of view. There is perhaps value in backing Napoli to lift the trophy in June but wait any longer that value will soon start to dissipate. 

Of course, they do still need to get the better of Eintracht Frankfurt in midweek, and with a two-goal lead and home advantage for the second leg in their back pocket, progress to the last eight looks rather likely.

While it also looks rather likely that Napoli will win this season’s Serie A title, Almost guaranteed if we are being totally honest, and with such a margin between themselves and the chasing pack, it would need a collapse of herculean proportions for them not to do so.

Because domestic matters are all but sewn up already, this Napoli side has both eyes on the European prize, and with their reputation on the continent becoming all the more fearsome, they are certainly the team to avoid at present,

Which is why if progress to the quarterfinals is made as expected, those teams left in the draw will be desperate to avoid Napoli. Unfortunately for one true Europan powerhouse, they may be off to Naples rather soon.

Eintracht Frankfurt Team Preview

After a European adventure that has almost spanned two years in length, it looks as if Eintracht Frankfurt will be playing the last of their current tour dates in midweek. While if it is to be their last, they will look to go out with a bang and not a whimper.

Last season’s Europa League winners have certainly given a good account of themselves in the competition above and this was highlighted by their qualification out of the group stage. A qualification that came at the expense of both Marseille and Sporting Lisbon.

Two teams that would be worthy of winning the Europa League themselves and after making good use of a rather favorable group stage draw, the German outfit was subsequently paired with Napoli in the Round of 16.

While their first leg 2-0 reverse in Frankfurt has just taken the sting out of the tie and although the deficit itself is not insurmountable, a trip to the Diego Armando Stadium certainly is. Even more so, with no traveling support allowed.

A hostile venue that is going to become even more so and this is something that manager Oliver Glasner and his players are going to have to deal with. Napoli’s home turf is never a friendly place to visit and especially when the crowd is 100% partisan,

However, Eintracht Frankfurt has certainly won friends and admirers during this season’s tournament and the tactical nous of Glasner has put him on the radar of Europe’s biggest clubs. Could a summer move to the Premier League soon beckon for the 48-year-old?

Champions League Knockout Rounds Bracket

Since the UCL draws for new matchups after the Round of 16, there’s no set bracket for fans to follow just yet.

Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt Expected Goals

In a sport where scoring has extremely high variance, opportunities to score and opportunities allowed has become a more respected measure of the quality of a team’s play. Expected goals (xG) measures the quality of a shot based on several factors, including shot type, shot angle and distance from goal. Similarly, expected goals allowed (xGA) measure the quality of a team’s defense. Subtracting expected goals allowed from expected goals equals expected goal differential (xGD) and offers an overall advanced measure of a team.

Eintracht Frankfurt7710-36.910.1-3.2

Matchup History

Although these two sides have met in the UEFA Cup nearly 30 years ago, last month was the first Champions League skirmish to be entered into the history books. As they say, history is always written by the winners and in this instance, it is Napoli who took the pen.

A 2-0 win in Germany has given Napoli a sizable advantage to take into the second leg and with no traveling fans allowed to travel to Italy, another win for Luciano Spaletti’s men looks likely. 

Napoli vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Bets To Consider On Champions League Odds

Napoli win to nil: +125

After earning a relatively comfortable win in Frankfurt last month, Napoli finds themselves in a rather strong position when it comes to advancing to this season’s Champions League quarterfinals.

A 2-0 lead in the back pocket for Luciano Spaletti’s men and an advantage that they are highly unlikely to hand over in this week’s second leg. Not only that, but you get the feeling that they will only increase the gap between themselves and their opponents.

While the fact that they kept a clean sheet in Germany should not be overlooked either. Especially as I believe there will be more of the same when the two teams meet at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium.

With such a first-leg advantage in their possession, Napoli does have every right just to sit on that and simply grind out a bore draw. However, observers of the Italian league leaders will know this is not how they operate.

Although a recent Serie A defeat to Lazio was unexpected, it has done absolutely nothing in terms of derailing their bid to win a first domestic crown in 33 years. With that task almost complete already, their European exploits can be given both barrels.

This is why I think Napoli will not only win the second leg but also manage to keep Eintracht Frankfurt at bay. There are no traveling supporters allowed in Italy and this will only help tip the scales further in the hosts’ direction.

Napolis 1-0, 2-0, 3-0: +200

While if Napoli is to win and also keep a clean sheet in the process, then realistically there are only a handful of scorelines that are on the table. We could pick one of them and try and boost their potential win, but I like to balance risk versus reward.

With this in mind, I am returning to the multiple correct score market. Why pick one correct score, when you can have three? The trio I have in mind is a 1-0, 2-0, or 3-0 home win in midweek.

As long as Eintracht Frankfurt does not score in Naples, then this bet has a lot of legs in it. In fairness to Napoli, they do have a lot of legs in their attack and the fear is that they run wild and score four goals on Wednesday. 

A concern that will certainly be genuine with the likes of Victor Oshimen and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia up front. They have the ability to destroy opponents at will, the fact that they and their teammates already find themselves 2-0 up will hopefully play into our hands. 

While the other fear that I have is that Luciano Spaletti’s men could get themselves into an early lead and one where the aggregate score has been dialed up to three or four nil. With this being the updated equation, the hosts could take their foot off the gas.

What we do not want is a consolation goal being scored by Eintracht Frankfurt. That scuppers everything. However, these are just fears rather than reasons not to place the bet and I am more confident about a routine win for Napoli in the second leg. 

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