Mountain West Tournament Odds: Longshot Bet Worth Targeting

Written By Eli Hershkovich on March 9, 2023
Mountain West Tournament Odds

The Mountain West Conference men’s basketball tournament tips off on Wednesday, and one of 11 participants will earn an automatic ticket into the Big Dance. We’ll take a look at all of the pertinent 2023 Mountain West Tournament odds, schedule, and how you can watch. It all begins on March 8, yet San Diego State — the favorite to win the tournament — won’t take the court until Thursday.

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Mountain West Conference Tournament Odds

Tournament Notes

Per the odds table, the best price in the market on San Diego State is . The Aztecs last won the league tournament in 2021. It came against Utah State, which ended a three-run run of these teams competing in the title game.

Brian Dutcher’s bunch owns the 11th-rated adjusted defensive efficiency (per KenPom). For any other program, that would be considered a success. However, the Aztecs finished with a the second-best ranking in that category last season. But they’ve still made strides in the last month, particularly with their ball-screen coverage.

Moreover, San Diego State showcases its most prolific offense since the 2019-20 campaign. That’s a product of its two-headed backcourt, as Matt Bradley and Seattle transfer Darrion Trammel gifts Dutcher a pair of explosive scorers. With that in mind, there’s no value in the Aztecs’ price tag.

Utah State (), Boise State (), Nevada (), and San Jose State () round out of the rest of the market among the teams with first-round byes.

New Mexico A Dark Horse?

On Jan. 20, the Lobos boasted an 18-2 record and were considered a mid-major darling come mid-March. But after losing eight of their next 11 games, they’ll need to cash their Mountain West tournament odds in order to earn a bid.

Richard Pitino’s squad isn’t trustworthy defensively, touting the league’s fourth-worst AdjD in conference play. But its second-rated offense is what makes the Lobos an attractive longshot bet. Jamal Mashburn, Jr. and Jaelen House, New Mexico’s explosive guards, can certainly carry them to a tournament championship. They help produce a top-65 ShotQuality PPP ranking in transition.

On top of that, New Mexico possesses both experience and cohesion, which is normally vital for an underperforming team to exceed expectations on this stage. Similar to my West Virginia bet, it’ll require four wins over a four-day stretch.

If you’re a member of our free sports betting Discord channel, with more than 4,300 community members talking college hoops every day, you’ve likely already seen my Lobos +1400 ticket. Their premier odds are currently .

Mountain West Conference Tournament Schedule

  • First Round: Wednesday, March 8
  • Quarterfinals: Thursday, March 9
  • Semifinals: Friday, March 10
  • Mountain West Tournament Championship: Saturday, March 11

How To Watch

Viewers can catch the first round on the Mountain West Network. The quarterfinals and semifinals are both on CBS Sports Network. To wrap things up, Saturday’s title game will air on CBS at 6 p.m. EST. Here is the rest of the conference tournament schedule.

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