MNF Week 4 NFL Player Props: Uncovering the Hidden Value in Dolphins vs Jets Matchup

Written By Nick Crain | Published at September 29, 2025
Sep 18, 2025; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) looks on after the game against the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images
NFL: Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills

Monday Night Football brings an AFC East matchup with plenty of NFL Week 4 player prop value as the Miami Dolphins host the New York Jets. Injuries, defensive strengths and game flow all set the stage for intriguing betting angles on both sides of the ball.

With that in mind, here are the best NFL prop bets for Week 4 of MNF action and where the lines provide an edge today.

Ollie Gordon Anytime TD Scorer

Odds: +320 (via FanDuel)

Despite being a rookie, Gordon has already earned trust in the Dolphins’ offense after an impressive preseason. Just last week, he scored against the Bills and logged nine carries, showing he’s carving out a meaningful role. Gordon is a tough, powerful runner with enough burst to break chunk plays. Around the goal line, he’s proven to be reliable in short-yardage situations — the type of back you lean on to punch it in. His skill set also complements De’Von Achane, giving Miami a different look in the backfield. With a touchdown already on the board and his usage trending up, Gordon offers value to score for the second straight week.

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Tua Tagovailoa u236.5 Passing Yards

Odds: -114 (via FanDuel)

The Jets’ defense has given up points against strong opponents, but their pass defense has been quietly solid. Through three weeks, they’ve allowed just 207.3 yards per game through the air, led by Sauce Gardner and a secondary that thrives at limiting explosive plays. Tua has the arm talent to air it out, but he’s been inconsistent, and the Dolphins’ offensive line doesn’t always keep him clean. The Jets’ pass rush is capable of speeding him up and forcing mistakes, which can cap efficiency. Given the matchup and the likelihood of Miami leaning more on its ground game, the under makes sense on Tua’s passing yards.

New York Jets wide receiver Garrett Wilson (5) runs with the ball past Miami Dolphins cornerback Jalen Ramsey (5), Sunday January 5, 2025, in East Rutherford.

Darren Waller o1.5 Receptions

Odds: +140 (via FanDuel)

Waller is officially back from retirement after missing the first three weeks of the season with injury, and while there’s uncertainty around how he’ll look, the value on this number is hard to ignore. He only needs two catches to clear the line, and before stepping away, he was one of the league’s better tight ends. Even in his later years, when injuries slowed him down, he remained a capable weapon when healthy. The Dolphins should look to ease him into the flow of the offense, and scheming a handful of targets for him makes sense. Given his talent level and the likelihood of drawing three or four looks, two receptions is a very reasonable threshold.

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Garrett Wilson o80 Receiving Yards

Odds: +168 (via FanDuel)

Wilson is the clear No. 1 option in the Jets’ passing game, and with Justin Fields back under center, the chemistry between the two should continue to grow. A 100-yard performance is well within reach, and Wilson has already gone over 80 in two of his first three games this season. In Week 1 against the Steelers, he posted 95 yards receiving with Fields at the helm, showing their ability to connect early. As the most talented receiver in this game and the focal point of New York’s air attack, Wilson has the usage and big-play ability to eclipse this number.

Jets vs. Dolphins sets up as a game defined by matchups. Whether it’s a touchdown scorer, a low passing yardage line, or a favorable reception prop, these numbers stand out. Always compare prices across books before placing your wagers, but these are the player props that carry the most value for Monday Night Football.