MLB Today’s Best Bets for June 27: Home Run Picks & Top Player Props
We're back with the best MLB bets for June 27th! I've got a pair of plus-money hitting props I love, plus a home run pick today on a guy who's absolutely scorching at the dish. Here are my top MLB picks for Saturday!
Best MLB Bets Today: Player Props for June 27
Paul Goldschmidt over 1.5 total bases at +101 on DraftKings Sportsbook is my top MLB bet today.
Goldschmidt is cooking this season. If you put a blindfold on me and read me his stat line, I'd tell you that guy should be starting at first base in the All-Star Game. The 38-year-old is hitting north of .290 with 14 home runs and ranks in the 80th percentile in barrel rate overall.
Goldy's splits against lefties are downright unbelievable, and he draws southpaw Jake Bennett on the mound for the Red Sox. Against left-handed pitching this year, Goldschmidt has eight homers and six doubles in 79 at-bats, good for a .418 average and a ridiculous .823 slugging mark. Yes, it's a smaller sample, but he's raking across the board and especially against lefties. Right-handed hitters are batting .288 off Bennett this season, so give me Goldschmidt at better than even money.
Best Bet: Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Total Bases DraftKings, +101
MLB Player Props Today: Andy Pages Over 1.5 Total Bases
Andy Pages over 1.5 total bases at +113 makes the list of my best MLB player props today. We might as well call it plus-money Saturday, because I love the price on both of these hitting props.
Pages draws Randy Vasquez of the Padres, and the matchup sets up nicely. Vásquez is allowing a .208 ISO to right-handed hitters this season, which isn't good on its own. However, his expected ISO is all the way up at .302, meaning he's been pretty lucky to keep that power number where it is.
That gap alone is enough for me to like this prop. Meanwhile, Pages has been mashing righties, with 12 home runs, a .275 average, and a .483 slugging mark in the split as of Friday evening. Another spot where the splits line up perfectly.
Best Bet: Andy Pages Over 1.5 Total Bases DraftKings, +113
New DraftKings Customers: Spend $5+ Get $200 in Bonuses Instantly! Home Run Picks Today: Paul Goldschmidt
Now, for my MLB home run picks today! I'm sticking right at Fenway Park and going back to the well with Paul Goldschmidt to go deep at +504.
I already laid out his ridiculous numbers, especially against left-handed pitching — and he's going to get a couple of cracks at a lefty as long as Jake Bennett starts. Getting +504 on a guy this hot is an unbelievable price.
That's better than 5-to-1 on a hitter putting together an All-Star-worthy campaign who's locked in right now, with everything clicking at once. I don't mind doubling up on Goldschmidt with the total bases and the home run here.
Best Bet: Paul Goldschmidt to Hit a Home Run DraftKings, +504
I usually prefer strikeout props, but I can't pass up the prices on either of these sluggers in great matchups. Let's have a big Saturday. Good luck, and let's cash some MLB best bets today!