Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds and Props for Oct. 5: New York Evens Series

The Tampa Bay Rays beat the New York Yankees in the first game of the ALDS and look to take a 2-0 lead before the series moves to the Big Apple. Stick with us for the latest odds, starting pitching matchup, key stats, betting trends, and value prop bets.

Game 1 Recap

In the opener, Tampa Bay beat New York 1-0, with Rays’ starter Drew Rasmussen flirting with a no-hitter, not giving up a hit until two outs into the eighth inning. Austin Wells broke up the no-no but was thrown out trying to get a triple, and Jonathan Aranda provided the only run with a solo home run.

The Yankees were blanked in Game 1 of this series after scoring nine runs in each of their wins over the Boston Red Sox in the Wild Card series.

Yankees vs. Rays Odds

Here are the odds for Game 2 of the ALDS at DraftKings Sportsbook.

• Moneyline: Yankees -131 / Rays +109
• Total (Over/Under):  Over 6.5 runs (-113) / Under 6.5 runs (-07)
• Run Line: Yankees +1.5 runs (+142) / Rays -1.5 runs (-172)

In Game 2, the Yankees are the favorites, so in an example moneyline bet using $100, you bet $100 to win $109 on the underdog Rays and $131 to win $100 on the favored Yankees.

We have many betting guides for the popular betting markets, including a moneyline betting guide.

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New York Yankees Betting Trends

• The Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven games.
• They are 1-4 in their last five road games.
• They are 5-1 in their last six games as a favorite.
• The total had gone Under in seven games in a row for New York before going Under in the last game.

In the regular season, the Yankees were 6-7 facing the Rays.

It is not far off and the top US sportsbooks have the latest World Series odds.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

• The Rays are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• They are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
• They are 6-4 in their last 10 games as an underdog.
• They have an Over record of 5-2 in their last seven games.

Tampa Bay won the AL East this season and are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2023, when they lost in an AL Wild Card series.

Key Stats

Yankees

• Runs Scored: Tied for 9th
• Team ERA: 1st

Rays

• Runs Scored: 12th
• Team ERA: 7th

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Starting Pitching Matchup

Yankees

Tonight’s New York starter, Cam Schlittler (14-9, 1.95 ERA, 0.92 WHIP), is the massive favorite to win the Cy Young Award and ranks second in ERA and tied for third in strikeouts this season. He started Game 1 of the AL Wild Card and tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings, allowing only two hits in the 9-0 win over the Red Sox. After losing his first start against Tampa Bay this season, he won the next two, totaling 11 innings and allowing just one run. This season Schlittler worked 193 2/3 innings with 239 strikeouts and 49 walks.

Rays

Freddy Peralta (10-11, 4.42 ERA, 1.33 WHIP) takes the hill in Game 2, and the Rays have won his last six starts, in which he did not give up more than one run in any of them. This is his first start in October, and in five starts in September he was lights out with a 0.96 ERA. He came to the Yankees in late August in a trade with the New York Mets. While with the Mets, Peralta started one game against the Yankees, giving up three runs in five innings in a loss. This season he has logged 169 innings with 156 strikeouts and 63 walks.

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction:  Yankees ML -131

Man, what a pitching matchup, as you have the likely Cy Young winner, Schlittler, facing off against Peralta, who has pitched great for the Yankees lately and had an ERA south of 1.00 in September. While this is a great starting-pitching matchup, and even with these teams combining for one run in Game 1, I am staying away from the Under, which is posted low at 6.5 runs.

I think Schlittler will have the better outing as he blanked the Red Sox in his lone post-season start so far. Peralta will pitch well as well, but Schlittler will outduel him. The New York lineup will get some runs, but not many, and they will not need many, as they will get the win with their ace on the hill taming the Tampa lineup.

The popular sportsbooks in the US all have many betting markets for this game and all the other MLB ones.

More Yankees vs. Rays Picks, Props and Best Bets

• Cam Schlittler to record 8+ strikeouts: (+130, BetMGM) - Schlittler ranks tied for third in the Majors in strikeouts and struck out 10 in his last start. In his last start of the season, he faced the Rays and had only five Ks, but he pitched just three innings. He will get 8+ strikeouts in this game, and for a safer bet, take him for 7+ strikeouts at -142.
• Freddy Peralta to record Over 14.5 outs: (+103, DraftKings) - Peralta has recorded over 14.5 outs in each of his last seven starts.
• First inning hits 0-1: (-135, FanDuel) – I look for a pitcher’s duel between the starters, and in Game 2, they will each get off to solid starts in the first inning.

If you are looking for more info on prop betting check out our prop betting guide.

Yankees vs. Rays Broadcast Info

• Date: Monday, October 5
• Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Location: Tropicana Field, Tampa Bay, Florida
• TV and Streaming Options: TBS, truTV