Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds & Props for Sept. 30: NY Sweep

The New York Yankees smoked the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of this three-game AL Wild Card series and look to close it out tonight. In this Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction, you will get it all from betting trends and the latest odds to the starting pitching matchup and some value player prop bets.

Game 1 Recap

In Game 1 of this series, the Yankees laid a 9-0 beatdown on the Red Sox. Cy Young winner-in-waiting Cam Schlittler struck out 10 and only allowed two hits in 6 1/3 innings, and Ben Rice had a huge game with two home runs, including a grand slam.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds

Here are the odds for Game 1 of this Wild Card series at Caesars Sportsbook.

• Moneyline: Yankees -135 / Red Sox +115
• Total (Over/Under):  Over 6.5 runs (124) / Under 6.5 runs (+102)
• Run Line: Yankees -1.5 runs (+164) / Red Sox +1.5 runs (-200)

For beginning bettors, if you take the moneyline for this game, you bet $100 to win $115 on the underdog Red Sox and $135 to win $100 on the favored Yankees.

You can find more information about the moneyline bet in our moneyline betting guide.

Boston Red Sox Betting Trends

• The Red Sox are 3-6 in their last nine games.
• They have an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 games.
• They are 1-4 in their last four games as an underdog.
• They are 2-6 in their last eight road games.
• They are 1-4 in their last five games facing the Yankees.

The Red Sox are 6-8 facing the Yankees this season and have lost their last three games to them by a combined score of 34-3.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

• The Yankees have an Over record of 12-1 in their last 13 games.
• They are 9-4 in their last 13 home games.
• They are 13-6 in their last 19 games as a favorite.

At the top US sportsbooks, the Yankees have the fourth-best World Series odds.

Key Stats

Red Sox

• Runs Scored: 23rd
• Team ERA: 3rd

Yankees

• Runs Scored: Tied for 9th
• Team ERA: 1st

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Starting Pitching Matchup

Red Sox

In a must-win Game 2, the Red Sox go with their ace, Sonny Gray (18-5, 2,72 ERA, 1.15 WHIP). They have won three of his last four starts, including his last two, and after giving up three runs in two straight outings, he did not give up any in his last one. Boston has won both of his starts facing the Yankees this season, where he gave up three runs in 13 2/3 innings. Gray ranks tied for first in wins and eighth in ERA, and has worked 169 innings, striking out 149 and walking 46.

Yankees

Max Fried(5-5, 2.80 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) takes the hill for the Yankees, and after giving up one run in five straight starts, he gave up four in 6 2/3 innings in his last one in a 6-1 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. New York has won four of his last seven starts. In his lone start of the season facing Boston in late August, he gave up one run in a short outing of 3 2/3 innings in a 9-2 win. Fried missed two and a half months in the middle of the season with an injury and has logged 112 2/3 innings with 104 strikeouts and 33 walks.

The best sportsbooks in the US will offer many prop bets for this game and for every game in the MLB playoffs.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Prediction:  Yankees -135

The Yankees won Game 1 of this series 9-0, and they have won their last three games against the Red Sox, outscoring them 34-3. Great pitching matchup in Game 2: Gray did not give up any runs in his last start, while Fried gave up four runs in his last outing after allowing only one in each of the previous five. Both will pitch well in this game, but the Yankees will come up with some clutch hits at home, win, and take the series.

86% of the public money has been bet on the Yankees as of Wednesday morning.

More Red Sox vs. Yankees Picks, Props and Best Bets

• Ben Rice to hit a home run: (+320, BetMGM) – I took Rice to go yard in the Game 1 prediction and he did so twice, so taking that same bet again.
• Sonny Gray Over 5.5 strikeouts: (-111, FanDuel) – While he only struck out three batters in his last start, he struck out at least six in the two before that, and the last time he faced the Yankees he had nine strikeouts.
• Max Fried Over 17.5 outs:  (+114, DraftKings) – Fried has recorded over 17.5 outs in three of his last four starts, including his last two.

If you are new to prop betting check out our prop betting guide.

Red Sox vs. Yankees Broadcast Info

• Date: Wednesday, September 30
• Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Location: Yankees Stadium, Bronx, New York
• TV and Streaming Options: NBC