Rays vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds & Props for Oct. 7: NY Avoids Sweep

The New York Yankees have their backs against wall down 2-0 in the ALDS to the Tampa Bay Rays and look to stay alive with a win tonight. In this Rays vs. Yankees prediction, you can get it all from the latest odds and betting trends to the starting pitching matchup and value player prop bets.

Series Recap

After a 1-0 win in Game 1, the Rays won Game 2 by a score of 5-2 with the Yankees committing four errors. In Game 2, Richie Palacios had two RBI, and Liam Hicks and Chandler Simpson each had an RBI, and both of New York’s runs came on solo home runs from Ben Rice.

In their AL Wild Card series they scored nine runs in each of their wins over the Boston Red Sox, but have only totaled two runs in the two games in the ALDS.

Rays vs. Yankees Odds

Here are the odds for Game 3 of the ALDS at Caesars Sportsbook.

• Moneyline: Rays +145 / Yankees -176
• Total (Over/Under):  Over 7 runs (-120) / Under 7 runs (+110)
• Run Line: Rays +1.5 runs (+158) / Yankees -1.5 runs (+131)

You can find more information about the moneyline bet in our moneyline betting guide.

Up to 200 Prophet Cash in first 30 days

Play Now Prophet X Promo

T&Cs apply, 18+

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

• The Rays have won four of their last five games.
• They are 5-3 in their last eight games as an underdog.
• They are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
• They have an Over record of 6-2 in their last eight games.

In the regular season, the Rays went 7-6 against the Yankees but lost three of four games in their second-to-last series in New York.

The top US sportsbooks offer great bonuses and promotions to pad your MLB bankroll.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

• The Yankees had won five of six games before losing the first two games of this series.
• They are 6-2 in their last eight home games.
• They are 6-3 in their last eight games as a favorite.
• They have an Over record of 7-1 in their last eight games.

Key Stats

Rays

• Runs Scored: 12th
• Team ERA: 7th

Yankees

• Runs Scored: Tied for 9th
• Team ERA: 1st

The best sportsbooks in the US have the latest World Series odds.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Rays

Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10 ERA, 1.09 WHIP) goes for Tampa Bay and they have lost three of his last four starts, including the last two where he gave up six runs in 8 2/3 innings. The Rays won his first two starts against the Yankees this season, where he gave up one run in each and lost the last one where he gave up two runs. This season, Martinez worked 180 innings with 109 strikeouts and 26 walks.

Yankees

Max Fried (5-5, 2.80 ERA, 0.99 WHIP) takes the hill for New York, and his last start was in the AL Wild Card, where he gave up one run in six innings in a 9-2 win over the Red Sox. While the Yankees have won three of his last four starts, they lost the one against the Rays, where he was not sharp, giving up four runs in 6 2/3 innings. New York also lost his other start this season facing Tampa, where he went eight innings and gave up three runs. Fried missed more than two months in the middle of the season and has logged 112 2/3 innings, striking out 104 and walking 33.

Vistit the popular US sportsbooks to get the latest odds and many betting markets for every MLB game.

Rays vs. Yankees Prediction:  Yankees ML -176

The Yankees’ bats have gone silent in this series with only two runs in two games. Tampa Bay has not been lighting up the scoreboard, but they have gotten solid pitching. However, they are on the road in this game, and in the second-to-last series of the regular season they lost three of four games to the Yankees in the Bronx.

Martinez was an All-Star this season and pitched well against the Yankees. Fried has had an injury-marred season but pitched well, even though he did not do so in his two starts against the Rays. Still, the Yankees will not go down quietly, and I expect their bats to wake up tonight.

Martinez will struggle again, as he has given up six runs over his last two starts, where he lasted only 8 2/3 innings. New York will wake up at the dish, and that is why I am taking them to win Game 3 and avoid the series sweep in their house.

Rays vs. Yankees Picks, Props and Best Bets

• Max Fried 5+ strikeouts: (+100, BetMGM) – Fried has struck out over five batters in three of his last four starts and did so in one of the two starts facing Tampa Bay this season.
• Nick Martinez to give up over 1.5 runs: (-172, DraftKings) – Martinez has given up at least two runs in each of his last three starts and gave up four in the last one.
• Ben Rice to hit a home run: (+342, DraftKings) – Why not? Rice hit two home runs in the Game 2 loss, led the Yankees this season with 41 home runs, and Martinez has given up three long balls over his last two starts.
• Yankees to have the lead after the fifth inning with moneyline -0.5: (-125, FanDuel) – Pretty good odds for the Yankees to have at least a one-run lead after five innings against Martinez, who has given up six runs over his last two starts.

If you are new to prop betting check out our prop betting guide.

Spend $10 Get 200 in Bonus Picks

Play Now Onyx Odds Promo

T&Cs apply, 18+

Rays vs. Yankees Broadcast Info

• Date: Wednesday, October 7
• Start Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Location: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York
• TV and Streaming Options: TBS, truTV