Brewers vs. Rays Prediction, Odds and Props for Oct. 28: Milwaukee Wins It

Written By Jason Green | Published at October 28, 2026

Brewers vs. Rays prediction for Game 5 of World Series. The Rays stayed alive in the series with a 4-3 win in Game 4. — Oct 23, 2026; Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA; Milwaukee Brewers pitcher Jacob Misiorowski (32) reacts after pitching against the Tampa Bay Rays during the second inning in game one of the 2026 World Series at American Family Field. Mandatory Credit: Michael McLoone-Imagn Images

The Tampa Bay Rays staved off elimination and avoided a series sweep with a 4-3, 12-inning win in Game 4 of the World Series. The Brew Crew is still up 3-1 in the series, and in this Brewers vs. Rays prediction, we will lay out the latest odds, betting trends, starting pitching matchup, key series info, and player prop bets we think have good value.

Brewers vs. Rays Odds

Here are the odds for Game 5 of the World Series at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Moneyline: Brewers -142 / Rays +120
Total (Over/Under): Over 6.5 runs (-114) / Under 6.5 runs (+106)
Run Line: Brewers -1.5 runs (+150) / Rays +1.5 runs (-125)

In Game 5 of the World Series, the Brewers are the favorites, and in a $100 moneyline example, you bet $100 on the underdog Rays to win $120 and $142 on the favored Brewers to win $100.

Learn more about moneyline bets in our moneyline betting guide.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers are 10-2 in the playoffs.
They are 8-1 in their last nine games.
They are 4-2 on the road in the playoffs.
They are 7-1 in their last eight games as a favorite.
They are 5-2 on the Over in their last seven games.

Sportsbook bonuses are a great way to pad your MLB betting bankroll.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Rays are 8-5 in the playoffs.
They are 5-2 at home in the playoffs.
They are 3-3 as an underdog in the playoffs.
They have a 7-5-1 Over/Under record in the playoffs.

In Tampa Bay’s one series against the Brewers this season, it was in Milwaukee, and they lost two of three games.

The Game 5 win by the Rays did not lack drama, as Cooper Pratt hit a home run in the top of the 12th to give the Brewers a 3-2 lead, but in the bottom of the 12th, Johnny DeLuca tied it up with an RBI single. Then pinch-hitter Ben Williamson walked it off with another RBI single to give Tampa Bay the win.

The series may end tonight and it will not be long after until the best MLB betting sites offer odds for the World Series for next season.

Key Stats (Regular Season)

Rays

Runs Scored: 12th

Team ERA: 7th

Brewers

Runs Scored: 2nd
Team ERA: 2nd

Starting Pitching Matchup

Brewers

The Brewers will send out their ace, Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP), tonight; he started Game 1 of this series and gave up one run in five innings in the 3-2 win. Milwaukee has won all three of his postseason starts, giving up four runs in 13 ⅓ innings. He is the likely Cy Young winner, leading the Majors in ERA, strikeouts, and WHIP. In his second start of the season at home, he gave up two runs in six innings in an 8-2 win over the Rays. This season, “The Miz” has worked 174 ⅔ innings with 252 strikeouts and 44 walks.

Rays

As of Wednesday morning, the Rays have not announced a starter for Game 5. Game 1 starter Nick Martinez threw two innings of relief in Game 4, so he is not an option. Tampa Bay may go with Ace Drew Rasmussen, but he would be working on only three days' rest, and the club may opt for a bullpen start.

The top US sportsbooks will offer competitive odds and many prop bets for all World Series games.

Brewers vs. Rays Prediction: Brewers Moneyline (-142)

The Rays have a lifeline in this series with a Game 4 win, but to force a Game 6, they will have to beat the Brewers’ ace on the mound, and that is not going to happen. Milwaukee has won all three of his playoff starts and will have another solid outing in Game 5. I keep saying this, and it's been true most of the time: the Brewers will get clutch hitting, add that to their best pitcher getting the start, and you get Milwaukee’s first-ever World Series title.

Brewers vs. Rays Picks, Props and Best Bets

Jacob Misiorowski Under 1.5 earned runs: (-180, BetMGM) – The Miz only gave up one earned run in Game 1 of this series, and he has given up under 1.5 earned runs in six of his last seven starts.
Jackson Chourio Over 1.5 hits + RBIs + Runs: (-142, BetMGM) – Chourio has over 1.5 hits + RBIs + Runs in all four games of this series.
William Contreras to record 2+ bases: (+125, DraftKings) – While Contreras went 0-for-4 in Game 4, he recorded 2+ bases in the first three games of this series and is batting .383 with 28 total bases in 12 playoff games.

Check out our prop betting guide to get all the key info for that bet type.