MLB Today’s Best Bets for July 5: Home Run Picks & Top Player Props
Sunday's MLB slate features several intriguing opportunities across both the home run and player prop markets. Whether you’re looking for plus-money power plays or higher-probability props to build into a parlay, today’s schedule offers a mix of favorable matchups worth targeting.
It's the day after the Fourth of July holiday, with plenty of games on the slate today. With that in mind, here are the best MLB home run picks and player prop bets for today.
Best MLB Home Run Picks Today
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs (+275 via DraftKings)
Pete Alonso gets one of the best hitting environments in baseball with Baltimore traveling to Cincinnati, where Great American Ball Park is always capable of rewarding power hitters. Alonso is also hitting cleanup in an Orioles lineup that should consistently put runners on base ahead of him.
At +275, there’s plenty of value on one of baseball’s premier sluggers. Alonso doesn’t need multiple hits to cash this ticket, and playing in a homer-friendly park against a favorable matchup makes this one of the stronger home run plays on the board.
Jac Caglianone Over 0.5 Home Runs (+351 via BetMGM)
Few young hitters possess the raw power that Jac Caglianone brings to the plate. Even though he’s still establishing himself at the major league level, sportsbooks continue to hang attractive plus-money prices because of the volatility that comes with home run markets.
At +351, this is exactly the type of number worth targeting. Caglianone has the ability to leave the yard against any pitcher, and his elite exit velocity potential gives him one-swing upside that’s difficult to ignore when the odds climb this high.
Yordan Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs (+235 via DraftKings)
Yordan Alvarez remains one of the most feared left-handed power bats in baseball and continues to hit near the top of Houston’s lineup. He just hit a walk-off homer last night and is one of the hottest players in baseball.
While +230 is a shorter price than some of today’s longer shots, Alvarez consistently profiles as one of the league’s best home run threats. Any time one of baseball’s elite sluggers is available at better than 2-to-1 odds, it’s worth consideration, especially in a lineup capable of creating plenty of RBI opportunities around him.
Best MLB Player Props Today
Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 Hits (-245 via BetMGM)
This isn’t the flashiest prop on the board, but it’s one of the safer ones. Elly De La Cruz continues to be one of baseball’s most dynamic offensive players and enters Saturday batting leadoff for Cincinnati, maximizing his plate appearance opportunities.
Needing just one hit makes this an ideal building block for parlays. Between his speed, ability to hit for power and tendency to pressure defenses every time he reaches base, backing De La Cruz to record a hit is a straightforward play.
Ezequiel Duran Over 0.5 RBI (+265 via DraftKings)
Plus-money RBI props can provide tremendous value when the matchup lines up, and that’s the case with Ezequiel Duran today.
At +265, you’re getting an attractive number on a hitter capable of driving the ball into the gaps with runners on base. One timely hit is all it takes, and with Texas expected to generate scoring chances throughout the afternoon, Duran has a realistic path to cashing this prop.
Jarren Duran Over 1.5 Total Bases (+121 via BetMGM)
Jarren Duran has become one of baseball’s better extra-base hit threats thanks to his combination of speed and gap power. Unlike a traditional hits prop, this wager can be cashed with one double or triple, giving bettors multiple paths to victory.
At plus money, the value is difficult to ignore. Duran’s aggressive approach and ability to stretch singles into doubles make him an appealing target whenever total bases are available at plus odds.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win Whether you’re targeting home run bets or player props, Saturday’s card offers several quality plus-money opportunities. As always, be sure to check multiple sportsbooks to ensure you get the best odds.
All Odds as of July 5 at 6:00 a.m. ET.
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MLB Today’s Best Bets for July 5: Home Run Picks & Top Player Props
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