MLB Win Totals: 2021 Betting Surprises, Disappointments

Written By Staff on September 17, 2021

We’re almost two weeks away from the playoffs, and some bettors have already cashed their 2021 MLB win totals bets.

Here are WynnBET’s closing MLB win totals before the season began, as well as teams’ current records. Which tickets highlight those that have been profitable or shredded up? Let’s dig in.

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2021 MLB Win Totals

TeamWynnBET's Win TotalRecord (as of 9/17)
Angels8572-74
Astros89.586-60
Athletics85.579-67
Blue Jays86.582-64
Braves9176-68
Brewers83.589-57
Cubs79.566-81
Cardinals8576-69
Diamondbacks7647-99
Dodgers10394-53
Giants75.595-52
Indians81.571-73
Mariners72.578-68
Marlins7262-84
Mets9272-75
Nationals8460-86
Orioles6547-99
Padres94.576-70
Phillies8274-72
Pirates59.554-92
Rangers66.554-91
Rays86.591-56
Red Sox78.583-65
Reds8076-71
Rockies63.568-78
Royals72.566-80
Tigers69.570-77
Twins89.564-83
White Sox8983-63
Yankees9682-65
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San Francisco Giants: over 75.5 wins

Not only have the Giants majorly exceeded expectations, but they’re also the first team to clinch a playoff berth.

Gabe Kapler’s club was around +800 at numerous sportsbooks to make the postseason, yet it has tallied the third-highest run differential in the league (+181). That’s behind only the Dodgers (+244) and Astros (+190).

Moreover, San Francisco ranks first in home run-to-fly ball (HR/FB) percentage. It’s in position to avoid the National League wild-card game, but the long ball doesn’t necessarily carry into October.

Boston Red Sox: over 78.5 wins

The Red Sox are fighting to play in the American League wild-card game — tied with the Blue Jays for the first spot while a half-game ahead of the Yankees.

Boston is also tied with the Dodgers for the sixth-highest wRC+ (weighted runs created plus). Alex Cora’s lineup gives opposing arms fits, carried by the always-steady Xander Bogaerts and a career-high in homers and RBI, respectively, from Rafael Devers (34) and Hunter Renfroe (86).

Additionally, the starting rotation — with Chris Sale back from an elbow injury — has come around in the second half, generating the seventh-lowest xFIP.

Minnesota Twins: under 89.5 wins

We’ve hit on some positives, but how about the negatives?

The Twins went from boasting the AL Central’s highest win total on the board to the worst record in the division. Their pitching staff is a major reason why, accumulating the ninth-highest xFIP across the league.

On the other side, Minnesota’s offense has struggled with runners in scoring position — tied for the eighth-lowest OPS in those situations.

New York Mets: under 92 wins

From a win totals perspective, there might not be a more disappointing team than the Metropolitans.

Among the four teams with win totals in the 90s (Mets, Dodgers, Padres, Braves, Yankees), New York is the lone club with less than a 26 percent chance to make the playoffs (2.2% via FanGraphs).

The loss of Jacob deGrom (forearm), who finished the first half as the favorite to win NL MVP, was devastating. After his last start on July 7, the Mets’ bullpen xFIP increased from 3.97 to 4.59. No team can survive without its star and a lack of faith in its relievers.

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