MLB Today’s Best Bets for October 16th: Home Run Picks & Top Player Props
The MLB postseason took another thrilling turn last night in ALCS Game 3 after the Toronto Blue Jays came back from an early two-run deficit to rout the Seattle Mariners 13-4. In doing so, they avoided a virtually inescapable 3-0 hole and have brought the series back to 2-1.
Tonight, the Milwaukee Brewers will look to do the same in NLCS Game 3, as the Los Angeles Dodgers have taken a 2-0 series lead. Sportsbooks and betting apps will have a busy night as playoff baseball coincides with an AFC North clash on Thursday Night Football, as Joe Flacco and the Cincinnati Bengals play host to Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Without further ado, let's bring you MLB's best bets today. We'll feature some tasty value and a player prop that simply cannot be ignored.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers
- Home Run Pick: Shohei Ohtani (+250 via FanDuel)
- Player Prop Pick: Kike Hernandez 2+ hits (+444 via DraftKings)
- Home Run Parlay: Ohtani, Freddie Freeman (+1550 via Caesars Sportsbook)
- Best Bet: Under 7.5 runs (-105 via BetMGM Sportsbook)
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Customers: Bet $5+ Get $200 in Bonus Bets Instantly While we know Tyler Glasnow will take the hill for the Dodgers, it's yet to be determined who will get the start for Milwaukee tonight. Glasnow has been lights-out in the postseason, holding the Phillies to a .154 batting average across 7.2 shutout innings in two appearances. After a relief appearance in NLDS Game 1, Glasnow delivered six innings of two-hit shutout baseball to help lift the Dodgers to a series-clinching win. In fact, Glasnow hasn't allowed a single run in 15 innings, dating back to the first inning of his Sept. 20th start against the Giants.
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts is fully confident Glasnow will get the job done in Game 3 after Blake Snell and Yoshinobu Yamamoto's masterclass performances in Games 1 and 2.
“As far back as time … starters sort of want to feed off each other, compete against one another, push each other,” Roberts said. “And that's what we're sensing from our staff. It's going to be hard to top Blake and what Yoshinobu did, but I'm sure Glas is going to try to put his mark on this [series].”
There's a pretty good chance Glasnow will completely dominate the Brew Crew, as he has allowed just 10 hits in 71 career at-bats against Brewers hitters (.141 batting average). Christian Yelich has especially struggled to compete against the former Tampa Bay Rays standout, going a career 1-for-14 with 7 strikeouts so far.
Jacob Misiorowski is expected to either get the start or throw 3-5 innings of baseball in relief tonight. Milwaukee will likely use its whole roster of pitchers to take full advantage of pitching matchups throughout the ballgame. Will it work? We're not sure, but it's the only plan that they've got. It should work to some degree, and I fully expect this game to go under the 7.5 run total.
The Brewers only have five hits so far this series, and the outlook isn't any better tonight. If they're to win, they'll have to keep the Dodgers off the scoreboard and win a low-scoring game. If you believe in the Brewers, parlay the Brewers ML with the under (+425 on BetMGM Sportsbook).
Featured Image Mandatory Credit: John Froschauer-Imagn Images
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