MLB Today’s Best Bets for October 11th: Home Run Picks & Top Player Props

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Written By Blaise Bourgeois | Published at October 11, 2025
Oct 2, 2025; Bronx, New York, USA; New York Yankee outfielders Cody Bellinger (35), Trent Grisham (12) and Aaron Judge (99) react following game three of the Wildcard round for the 2025 MLB playoffs against the Boston Red Sox at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

After last night's historic 15-inning Game 5 marathon between the Seattle Mariners and the Detroit Tigers, it's now up to the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs to, somehow, deliver an even better Game 5 performance.

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The Brewers looked as if they were going to roll over the Cubs after going up 2-0 in the series, but Chicago rallied with two big wins at Wrigley Field to set up a do-or-die NL Central classic in Wisconsin.

This game will be a bit tough to predict, as both teams have kept their starting pitching plans a secret as of 10am EST. Nevertheless, we'll do our best to give you the biggest edge, perhaps you can even take advantage of the undisclosed pitching situation.

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers

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If anyone is going to keep his hot streak going, it's going to be Jackson Chourio. Chourio has a six-game hitting streak going, dating back to the regular season, and is 8-for-15 (.533) against the Cubs this series. In fact, against all Cubs pitchers, Chourio is a career .340 at the dish with a .949 OPS.

Given the uncertainty of who will be taking the hill, likely, it won't matter too much who the starting pitchers are. This game could turn into a bullpen affair, which generally leads to more runs. As a result, we love the over, and we think William Contreras and Christian Yelich are overdue to hit some bombs in front of the Brewers faithful.

Home-field advantage has been paramount in this series, and the Brewers were an incredible 52-29 at home in the regular season. That was tied for the 3rd-best home record in baseball. We feel that they'll close out the Cubs with authority today, take them to win by 2+ runs on their way to an NLCS matchup with the Dodgers.

Featured Image Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images

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