MLB Today’s Best Bets for October 11th: Home Run Picks & Top Player Props
Written By Blaise Bourgeois | Last Updated at October 13, 2025
After last night's historic 15-inning Game 5 marathon between the Seattle Mariners and the Detroit Tigers, it's now up to the Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs to, somehow, deliver an even better Game 5 performance.
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The Brewers looked as if they were going to roll over the Cubs after going up 2-0 in the series, but Chicago rallied with two big wins at Wrigley Field to set up a do-or-die NL Central classic in Wisconsin.
This game will be a bit tough to predict, as both teams have kept their starting pitching plans a secret as of 10am EST. Nevertheless, we'll do our best to give you the biggest edge, perhaps you can even take advantage of the undisclosed pitching situation.
Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers
- Home Run Pick: Christian Yelich (+600 via BetMGM Sportsbook)
- Player Prop Pick: Jackson Chourio 2+ hits (+197 via DraftKings)
- Home Run Parlay: William Contreras, Yelich (+3923 via FanDuel)
- Best Bet: Milwaukee -1.5, o7.5 runs, Chourio 2+ hits (+625 via Caesars Sportsbook)
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Bet $1, Double your Winnings on your Next 20 Wagers. Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost If anyone is going to keep his hot streak going, it's going to be Jackson Chourio. Chourio has a six-game hitting streak going, dating back to the regular season, and is 8-for-15 (.533) against the Cubs this series. In fact, against all Cubs pitchers, Chourio is a career .340 at the dish with a .949 OPS.
Given the uncertainty of who will be taking the hill, likely, it won't matter too much who the starting pitchers are. This game could turn into a bullpen affair, which generally leads to more runs. As a result, we love the over, and we think William Contreras and Christian Yelich are overdue to hit some bombs in front of the Brewers faithful.
Home-field advantage has been paramount in this series, and the Brewers were an incredible 52-29 at home in the regular season. That was tied for the 3rd-best home record in baseball. We feel that they'll close out the Cubs with authority today, take them to win by 2+ runs on their way to an NLCS matchup with the Dodgers.
Featured Image Mandatory Credit: Vincent Carchietta-Imagn Images