MLB Today’s Best Bets for April 11: Home Run Picks & Top Player Props

Nothing beats a loaded Saturday of spring baseball, and we're breaking down the best MLB bets today for April 11. The weather is a bit better across the country today compared to earlier this week, and we've got home run picks today, along with a couple of sharp pitching props. Let's get into it.

Best MLB Bets Today: Player Props for April 11

Logan Webb of the San Francisco Giants over 5.5 strikeouts kicks off our MLB player props today. You can grab this pick at -130 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Webb has eclipsed this mark just once in three outings, but context matters here. After a rough season opener against the Yankees, he was decent in six innings against the Padres and extremely good in seven innings against the Mets in his most recent start.

Those last two strikeout matchups were brutal. The Padres and Mets aren't striking out this season. Those two teams currently rank 19th and 25th, respectively, in strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers this season.

Saturday's matchup is far more friendly. The Orioles are striking out at just about a 25% clip against right-handed pitching so far, and the bottom of their lineup has serious whiff potential. Blaze Alexander, Colton Cowser, Coby Mayo, and Dylan Beavers all struck out at a 28% clip or worse against right-handed pitchers in 2025. If those guys are in the lineup, anything Webb gets at the top of the order is a bonus. This is one of my best MLB bets today.

Best Bet: Logan Webb Over 5.5 Strikeouts FanDuel, -130

MLB Player Props: Joe Ryan Under 5.5 Strikeouts

Next up on the best MLB bets today card is Joe Ryan of the Minnesota Twins under 5.5 strikeouts at -136 on DraftKings Sportsbook. Ryan is an extremely good pitcher who struck out nearly 33% of right-handed hitters last season, but he struck out just 23% of left-handed batters. That platoon split is key.

The Blue Jays have been extremely right-handed-heavy the last couple of years, but they've finally assembled a decent number of lefties to platoon against right-handed pitchers. Jesús Sánchez struck out just 21% of the time against righties last season.

Nathan Lukes struck out less than 15% of the time. Andres Gimenez and Taylor Heineman both struck out at a 20% clip or less. Daulton Varsho is still a strikeout liability, but the rest of this lineup is not as whiff-prone as it was a year ago.

Ryan has the stuff to dominate on any given day, but the matchup isn't built for a big punch-out number. If you're hunting for today's top MLB player prop picks, this under is definitely in play.

Best Bet: Joe Ryan Under 5.5 Strikeouts DraftKings, -136

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Home Run Picks Today: Rafael Devers

Now let's talk about some MLB home run bets today. Let's go back to the Giants vs. Orioles game at Camden Yards. Any time the Giants get away from Oracle Park, it's a huge bump for bats, and Rafael Devers has plenty of experience hitting at Camden Yards from his years in the AL East with the Red Sox.

Chris Bassitt is projected to start for Baltimore, and as solid as he's been against righties lately, lefties have continued to assault him. His sinker — the pitch he throws most to left-handed hitters — has produced a .286 ISO against it from lefties last season. That's a monster number for targeting home run picks today.

Devers had a huge .387 ISO against right-handed pitchers last year, and his power numbers against right-handed sinkers were strong in a small sample as well.

You can get Devers at +340 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Camden Yards is expecting around 60 degrees on Saturday with just a slight breeze — a welcome change from the 40-degree games we've dealt with the last couple of weeks.

Best Bet: Rafael Devers to Hit a Home Run FanDuel, +340

That wraps up the best MLB bets today — today's top MLB HR picks included. Good luck!

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