2022 MLB Picks: Betting Angles, Handicapping Thoughts For June 8

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 8, 2022 - Last Updated on June 21, 2022
MLB picks

The MLB schedule is a long journey lasting more than half of the year. While that makes it a grind, it also makes it a tremendous betting opportunity. It gives our MLB picks ample time to build a sample and hopefully overcome variance, and it provides the biggest menu of bets (and potential value) when compared to almost any other sport.

For the 2022 MLB season, bettors interested in following some daily betting angles can find write-ups here.

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MLB Picks For Wednesday, June 8

For ongoing discussion, betting adds, and other discourse around MLB bets, be sure to join our Discord. MLB picks will be posted there as they’re made (so you can potentially get better prices), and many other bettors can help provide various angles.

Toronto Blue Jays At Kansas City Royals

Brady Singer has come out of the gate pitching tremendously in his return from injury. His 2.70 SIERA is miles better than anything he’s done in the past, and it seems to be driven by real changes. He’s throwing a changeup almost 11% of the time after he was basically a two-pitch guy. Lefties have always given him trouble, so a heavily right-handed Blue Jays lineup plays right into his hands. He looks like a better pitcher than Yusei Kikuchi right now.

The market has agreed with my play, but I still think the Royals are playable at +120.

Current best price: Royals

New York Yankees At Minnesota Twins

Can anyone get to Nestor Cortes? This guy has been absolutely unreal so far with a 1.5 ERA and he has not gotten as lucky as you might expect. All of his ERA estimators sit in the very low 3s at worst, and I just think the projections are being too slow to react to what looks like a borderline elite pitcher at this point. We have almost 150 innings of him performing at this level. Even regressing him a bit, I’m still seeing a low 3s ERA, maybe 3.5 at worst. I like what the Twins are doing with Chris Archer, keeping his innings down, but that just opens up some blow-up potential for an average middle relief corps. The Yankees also have the third-best success against sliders this year, Archer’s only good pitch.

Carlos Correa’s return had the market a bit excited for a minute but the line has started to climb back toward the Yankees. I wish I had gotten in south of -170, but anything better than -180 seems fine.

Current best price: Yankees

New York Mets At San Diego Padres

For once, I won’t talk a ton about this pitching here, as both of these guys project as similar above average arms around a 3.6 ERA. Instead, this one’s all about the bats, with the Mets performing markedly better — 115 wRC+ vs. a 92. Now, the lineup has taken a hit with the injuries to Pete Alonso and Starling Marte. However, I think these losses are being a bit overvalued by the market. JD Davis is a fine hitter if not on Alonso’s level, and Mark Canha subbing in for Marte shouldn’t have an ounce of effect. The line has moved toward the Padres due to this, I believe, but I think that’s a mistake and added more on the Mets this morning.

Current best price: Mets

What to know about using MLB Picks

Generally, when looking over these MLB lines and breakdowns, there are a few things to keep in mind.

First, it’s a long season. There will be hot and cold streaks. Swings of 20+ units will happen. While I’ve had multiple winning seasons, there’s no guarantee I’ll come out ahead this year or any other. Always bet responsibly, and always line shop using our MLB page to find the best lines available at legal sportsbooks in your state. That will give you the best chance of turning a profit.

Furthermore, note that because of the process I’ll be using (attacking overnight markets), lines may shift significantly by the time you read this if you’re checking it out on game day. Hopefully the lines have moved in my favor, and if that’s the case – use your best judgment as to whether you still think the bet is as good as the current line.

I’ll base my plays heavily on starting pitchers, like most any MLB bettor. If you want to learn more about baseball so you can do your own handicapping, start with these resources breaking down a variety of useful metrics:

If you prefer your MLB previews in video form, subscribe to the YouTube channel of TheLines‘ sister site, PlayPicks. We’ll go over daily breakdowns there with the Coast 2 Coast crew.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

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