2022 MLB Picks: Betting Angles, Handicapping Thoughts For Aug. 2

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on August 2, 2022
MLB picks

The MLB schedule is a long journey lasting more than half of the year. While that makes it a grind, it also makes it a tremendous betting opportunity. It gives our MLB picks ample time to build a sample and hopefully overcome variance, and it provides the biggest menu of bets (and potential value) when compared to almost any other sport.

For the 2022 MLB season, bettors interested in following some daily betting angles can find write-ups here.

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MLB Picks For Tuesday, Aug. 2

For ongoing discussion, betting adds, and other discourse around MLB bets, be sure to join our Discord. MLB picks will be posted there as they’re made (so you can potentially get better prices), and many other bettors can help provide various angles.

Milwaukee Brewers At Pittsburgh Pirates

It should be obvious to anyone who has followed baseball even remotely for the past couple of years that Corbin Burnes versus the Pirates offense is a laughable mismatch. Not only have the Pirates put up the third-worst wRC+ against right-handed pitching (84), but they also have the worst numbers of any team against cutters, Burnes’ primary weapon. By quite a margin, too. Furthermore, Ke’Bryan Hayes may miss the game injured. The Pirates have few enough capable players as it is, so they can ill afford to lose one of the good ones.

What some readers may find more surprising: Bryse Wilson has actually pitched fairly decently of late. Four starts ago, he switched to a more sinker-heavy approach. The results have paid off with a 3.27 ERA/3.8 FIP/4.3 xFIP. Those numbers may not look super exciting, but they’re a massive jump for a guy with a career 5.8 ERA across 172 innings.

You can go for under 8 or 7.5 here depending on whether you want to pay some juice. I opted for the latter.

Current best price: Under

LA Dodgers At San Francisco Giants

The Dodgers came through yesterday and I’m right back on them here looking to once again fade this injured Giants lineup. I’m backing Alex Wood much more often than fading him, but Tyler Anderson has a very similar talent level to Wood, leaning more toward stronger contact management than fielding independent excellence. Luckily, he has a solid defense backing him, while Wood will be even worse off than normal as many of these Giants platoon bats are mediocre to bad in the field. Bringing back the same point from yesterday, the Giants are still missing Evan Longoria, Brandon Crawford, Thairo Estrada and Joc Pederson.

This game represents a solid live betting opportunity should the game be close heading to the late innings as the Dodgers should have a bullpen edge and the Giants’ platoon bats will lose some of their potency.

Current best price: Dodgers

What to know about using MLB Picks

Generally, when looking over these MLB lines and breakdowns, there are a few things to keep in mind.

First, it’s a long season. There will be hot and cold streaks. Swings of 20+ units will happen. While I’ve had multiple winning seasons, there’s no guarantee I’ll come out ahead this year or any other. Always bet responsibly, and always line shop using our MLB page to find the best lines available at legal sportsbooks in your state. That will give you the best chance of turning a profit.

Furthermore, note that because of the process I’ll be using (attacking overnight markets), lines may shift significantly by the time you read this if you’re checking it out on game day. Hopefully the lines have moved in my favor, and if that’s the case – use your best judgment as to whether you still think the bet is as good as the current line.

I’ll base my plays heavily on starting pitchers, like most any MLB bettor. If you want to learn more about baseball so you can do your own handicapping, start with these resources breaking down a variety of useful metrics:

If you prefer your MLB previews in video form, subscribe to the ThLines’ YouTube channel. We’ll go over daily breakdowns there with the Coast 2 Coast crew.

MLB Sportsbook Promos

If you are new to betting on MLB or new to betting on sports in general, a great way to get started is by taking advantage of one of the many sign-up offers online sportsbooks promote to new users like you. TheLines has partnered with many of these sportsbooks to help provide the very best promotions to pass along to you.

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Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah
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