The MLB schedule is a long journey lasting more than half of the year. While that makes it a grind, it also makes it a tremendous betting opportunity. It gives our MLB picks ample time to build a sample and hopefully overcome variance, and it provides the biggest menu of bets (and potential value) when compared to almost any other sport.
For the 2022 MLB season, bettors interested in following some daily betting angles can find write-ups here.
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MLB Picks For Monday, Aug. 1
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LA Dodgers At San Francisco Giants
We’re working with a sample size of 19 innings here, but Andrew Heaney has done some incredible work for the Dodgers when he’s been upright. His 32.2% called strike plus whiff rate is elite, right around Ohtani territory. Even disregarding his ERA, the 2.4 xERA/2.4 FIP/2.87 SIERA he has put up are obviously tremendous. It’s looking reminiscent of what the Dodgers did with fellow lefty Tyler Anderson, in the midst of a career season. Like with Anderson, the Dodgers have made an adjustment to Heaney’s primary secondary, changing the shape of his slider (Anderson kicked up the use of his changeup). It’s working and he has pitched like an ace in a small sample.
Meanwhile, the Giants have dealt with a litany of injuries to their lineup. Evan Longoria, Brandon Crawford, Thairo Estrada and Joc Pederson have all hit the IL. The platoon bats at the top of the lineup still look solid but the bottom half looks potentially disastrous. Beating the Dodgers is tough enough at full strength.
Current best price: Dodgers
What to know about using MLB Picks
Generally, when looking over these MLB lines and breakdowns, there are a few things to keep in mind.
First, it’s a long season. There will be hot and cold streaks. Swings of 20+ units will happen. While I’ve had multiple winning seasons, there’s no guarantee I’ll come out ahead this year or any other. Always bet responsibly, and always line shop using our MLB page to find the best lines available at legal sportsbooks in your state. That will give you the best chance of turning a profit.
- MLB futures bets from TheLines writers Eli Hershkovich and Mo Nuwwarah
Furthermore, note that because of the process I’ll be using (attacking overnight markets), lines may shift significantly by the time you read this if you’re checking it out on game day. Hopefully the lines have moved in my favor, and if that’s the case – use your best judgment as to whether you still think the bet is as good as the current line.
I’ll base my plays heavily on starting pitchers, like most any MLB bettor. If you want to learn more about baseball so you can do your own handicapping, start with these resources breaking down a variety of useful metrics:
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MLB Sportsbook Promos
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