2022 MLB Picks: Betting Angles, Handicapping Thoughts For June 20

Written By Mo Nuwwarah on June 20, 2022 - Last Updated on June 21, 2022
MLB picks

The MLB schedule is a long journey lasting more than half of the year. While that makes it a grind, it also makes it a tremendous betting opportunity. It gives our MLB picks ample time to build a sample and hopefully overcome variance, and it provides the biggest menu of bets (and potential value) when compared to almost any other sport.

For the 2022 MLB season, bettors interested in following some daily betting angles can find write-ups here.

Free Pick’Em Contests! Compete for prizes every day by entering our free betting games. NFL, MLB, golf and more!

MLB Picks For Monday, June 20

For ongoing discussion, betting adds, and other discourse around MLB bets, be sure to join our Discord. MLB picks will be posted there as they’re made (so you can potentially get better prices), and many other bettors can help provide various angles.

Chicago Cubs At Pittsburgh Pirates

It hasn’t been the smoothest transition for Caleb Kilian after he gave up five earned with five walks in his second MLB start. I’m willing to throw that one out since it occurred in a tough environment (outlier outfield winds in Wrigley) and keep betting on his MiLB track record. Kilian dominated Triple A and his heavy grounder lean should eventually pay dividends. A good place to start would be facing a putrid Pirates offense that ranks 28th with a wRC+ of 83, although the call-up of Oneil Cruz might give them a boost. JT Brubaker has long underpitched his peripherals and the market seems to consistently overrate him.

Current best price: Cubs

St. Louis Cardinals At Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee has melted away its lead in the NL Central but has a good chance to retake it as a solid favorite today. While Miles Mikolas is on a roll with two 8+ inning starts, he projects a good amount worse than Corbin Burnes, and the Brewers lineup has gotten healthier with Willy Adames and Hunter Renfroe’s bats back. The Brewers also hit right-handed pitching better. Burnes has struggled a bit of late but his season numbers are still tremendous, and his cutter use should shine here. He’s throwing the excellent pitch 56% of the time, and the Cardinals rate third-worst in the majors against cutters.

Unfortunately, the market hopped aboard this overnight and I don’t think the current line around -170 has any remaining value.

Current best price: Brewers

Arizona Diamondbacks At San Diego Padres

I’m not exactly sure what’s behind the improvement, but longtime warm body Zach Davies has pitched better this season. I’m guessing it’s command or pitch sequencing that has improved here, as his velocity and pitch mix look the same as ever. His walks are down, his home runs are way down from 1.52 to 1.04 per 9, and most strikingly, his exit velocity has dipped big time to 85.9 mph. That would be one of the best marks in MLB if it holds. A Padres lineup that just lost Manny Machado and has been below par against right-handed pitching makes for a decent matchup here.

Yu Darvish just isn’t a good enough pitcher anymore to justify being this big a favorite, but again, the sharps have moved the value out of the line. I wouldn’t play this unless you can get +150 or better.

Current best price: Diamondbacks

What to know about using MLB Picks

Generally, when looking over these MLB lines and breakdowns, there are a few things to keep in mind.

First, it’s a long season. There will be hot and cold streaks. Swings of 20+ units will happen. While I’ve had multiple winning seasons, there’s no guarantee I’ll come out ahead this year or any other. Always bet responsibly, and always line shop using our MLB page to find the best lines available at legal sportsbooks in your state. That will give you the best chance of turning a profit.

Furthermore, note that because of the process I’ll be using (attacking overnight markets), lines may shift significantly by the time you read this if you’re checking it out on game day. Hopefully the lines have moved in my favor, and if that’s the case – use your best judgment as to whether you still think the bet is as good as the current line.

I’ll base my plays heavily on starting pitchers, like most any MLB bettor. If you want to learn more about baseball so you can do your own handicapping, start with these resources breaking down a variety of useful metrics:

If you prefer your MLB previews in video form, subscribe to the YouTube channel of TheLines‘ sister site, PlayPicks. We’ll go over daily breakdowns there with the Coast 2 Coast crew.

MLB Sportsbook Promos

If you are new to betting on MLB or new to betting on sports in general, a great way to get started is by taking advantage of one of the many sign-up offers online sportsbooks promote to new users like you. TheLines has partnered with many of these sportsbooks to help provide the very best promotions to pass along to you.

All you have to do is click on the link in the banners below and type in the promo code provided (if necessary), register a new account with the sportsbook, and you’re on your way to getting risk-free bets, odds boosts and/or deposit matches, depending on which sportsbook and state you reside in.

UP TO $1,250
On Caesars
Up to $1,250 On Caesars
+ get 1,000 Caesars Reward Credits 
+ also get 1,000 Tier Credits 
Redeem for free bets, hotel stays, & more!
Use Promo Code: LEGALFULL
No Sweat First Bet
Up to $1,000 No Sweat First Bet
Available on iOS, Android & Desktop
To Claim: Click Bet Now
Risk Free Bet
Exclusive Offer:
$100 Risk Free Bet
Use Promo Code: BETBONUS

Mo Nuwwarah Avatar
Written by
Mo Nuwwarah

Mo Nuwwarah got his start in gambling early, making his first sports bet on his beloved Fab Five against the UNC Tar Heels in the 1993 NCAA tournament. He lost $5 to his dad and got back into sports betting years later during a 15-year run in the poker industry. A 2011 journalism graduate from Nebraska-Omaha, he combines those skills with his love of sports and statistics to help bettors make more informed decisions with a focus on pro football, baseball and basketball.

View all posts by Mo Nuwwarah