Friday MLB Bets: Fade Red-Hot Mariners vs. Rangers?

Written By Eli Hershkovich on July 15, 2022 - Last Updated on July 17, 2022
MLB Odds

After winning 11 straight games, highlighted by a five-run comeback in Thursday’s victory over the Rangers, the Mariners battle their AL West rival once again. Click on any of the MLB odds below to place a wager.

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MLB Odds: Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers

Exploring The Mariners’ “Ace”

Seattle will send southpaw Robbie Ray to the mound versus a dangerous Rangers lineup. Last year’s AL Cy Young winner has turned around his 2022 campaign, generating a 1.41 ERA to go along with a 2.55 FIP over his last six starts.

Ray began employing his sinker at the highest rate (14.3%) of his career during this stretch, lowering his four-seam fastball usage in the process.

Nevertheless, the 30-year-old doesn’t possess anything that’s overpowering. His 95.3 Stuff+, measuring the quality of a pitcher’s stuff based on the physical characteristics of his pitches, speaks to that notion.

His opponent’s average exit velocity also sits in the 26th percentile (Baseball Savant), which is fairly low for a pitcher with his resume.

To make matters worse for Ray, Texas owns the second-highest wRC+ against lefties, and its efficiency is roughly league average versus sinkers. Corey Seager & Co. should be in position to do damage against him as a result.

Related: World Series Odds

Mariners – Rangers MLB Odds Pick

On the flip side, Texas will employ an “opener” approach, starting with the intriguing Matt Bush, who showcases 115.1 Stuff+. Projecting what to expect from the Rangers’ league-average bullpen is difficult, especially versus Julio Rodriguez and a powerful Mariners’ offense.

With that being said, I’m taking a shot with Texas, considering Ray’s peripherals prove his recent dominance may not carry over into tonight.

Best Available Line: TheLines’ 2022 MLB odds comparison tool
Eli’s MLB Bet:


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Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

View all posts by Eli Hershkovich
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