MLB Expert Picks Today: Tigers, Skubal at Rangers June 3 Betting Odds, Predictions

Tarik Skubal, the betting favorite for AL Cy Young, and the Detroit Tigers (29-30) take on the Texas Rangers (29-30) on Monday at 8:05 p.m. ET in the first of a three-game series. The Tigers’ moneyline odds are after they opened as -116 favorites. Conversely, the best Rangers odds are in this market. The total is runs for the contest. Here are my MLB picks for this AL showdown.

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mlb expert picks: rangers at Tigers odds

On paper, Skubal has a favorable matchup to increase his chances of winning the AL Cy Young award. His best odds in this market are .

Not only does Texas own the sixth-lowest wRC+ against lefties this season, but Detroit also ranks league average in that metric versus righties — 17 points higher than their standing against southpaws. They will take on veteran right-hander Nathan Eovaldi, who went just three innings versus Arizona on Tuesday in his return from an IL stint (groin).

Moreover, Riley Green and the rest of the Tigers’ lineup have averaged 5.7 runs per game over their last nine contests. Since May 24, they’re tied with the Yankees and Brewers for the second-best weighted on-base average (wOBA).

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Nevertheless, bettors shouldn’t necessarily rely on trends, especially with smaller sample sizes. Overall, Detroit has manufactured a bottom-10 run value against splitters and curveballs — Eovaldi’s most utilized off-speed pitches. Assuming the 34-year-old has a longer leash in this outing, his stuff is well-suited to hamper the Tigers’ inconsistent bats.

The same applies to Skubal. Although the Rangers have been a shell of themselves at the plate, this lineup is almost identical to the top-five offense that carried them to the Commissioner’s Trophy. Winning five of their last six games, Corey Seager & Co. have already begun to right the ship. They also tagged Skubal for four runs (two earned) on April 17. He manufactured six strikeouts in 6.1 innings, tied for his second-fewest punchouts this year.

Skubal’s strikeout prop is set at , juiced to the over. The Tigers have a slightly better bullpen, but I’ll take my chances with the Rangers at Globe Life Field. Good luck with your MLB picks!

Rangers Futures & Props