Tuesday MLB Betting: Dodgers A Rare Underdog

Written By Eli Hershkovich on August 16, 2022 - Last Updated on August 17, 2022
MLB Betting

Although the Dodgers are the odds-on favorite to manufacture the league’s best regular season record at DraftKings Sportsbook (-450), as well as representing the MLB betting favorite among World Series odds, they’re a underdog at the Brewers on Tuesday evening. Just how infrequently has that occurred this season? More details are below.

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MLB Betting: Los Angeles Dodgers At Milwaukee Brewers


Per TheLines’ MLB odds comparison table, Los Angeles’ price tag in Milwaukee may be unsurprising to sharper bettors. Dave Roberts’ club will see 24-year-old rookie Ryan Pepiot take the mound against veteran righty Brandon Woodruff.

Nevertheless, the Dodgers are an underdog for only the third time in the 2022 campaign (1-1 record straight-up), representing one of two teams that have been an underdog less than 10 times this season. The Yankees are the other, as AL MVP favorite Aaron Judge & Co. have been plus-money in nine games thus far.

Related: AL Cy Young Favorites Square Off On Tuesday

Keep in mind you, Los Angeles produced a similar run last season, which isn’t shocking given its stature in the betting market over the last decade.

MLB Betting Market Properly Valuing Dodgers?

Pepiot showcases a 4.37 xERA and 5.24 FIP, respectively, to go along with 3.92 ERA. Hence, there are no indicators that suggest positive variance is en route — even against an offense that’s tied for MLB’s seventh-lowest collective wRC+.

With that said, Pepiot’s counterpart in Woodruff has delivered a 3.31 xERA to pair with his 3.52 ERA, meaning his pitched just a bit better than the traditional numbers imply. Moreover, he’s been heavily reliant on his four-seam fastball in August (41.7%), and Freddie Freeman and his teammates do much of their damage versus righties that utilize that pitch type more often than not.

Continue the discussion in our Discord betting chat, where bettors discuss their favorite MLB bets, strategies and research. Follow TheLines on Twitter, too.

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Eli Hershkovich Avatar
Written by
Eli Hershkovich

Eli Hershkovich is a lead sports betting writer with TheLines and Catena Media, formerly with Audacy and The Action Network. His goal is to provide you with data and information to lead you to winning bets. Eli is an avid college basketball gambler — among many other sports — and still hasn't forgiven Virginia for ruining his 2018-2019 Texas Tech futures.

View all posts by Eli Hershkovich