MLB Best Bets: 1 Team Worth Considering Thursday
Over the course of an MLB season, bettors have the opportunity to wager on thousands of games. Inevitably, there’s some value to be found out there. During the past several years, I’ve had success with MLB bets. So, I’ll share my daily plays here along with videos for those who prefer multimedia formats. Each game will have a few brief notes explaining my thoughts.
Today, while I have a couple of wagers on the day baseball games — those can be found in our Discord channel linked below — only one team looks to have any value in the evening slate. I like a play on the Pittsburgh Pirates, and this is my favorite of the day, so no worries if you missed out on the daytime slate.
Keep in mind that some of these lines will have moved by the time I get around to writing them up. The best way to get in at a good number is to use our MLB odds page and join TheLines.com’s free discord server to see the picks as they’re released. I encourage everyone to get involved in the discussion and, rather than tail anyone’s picks (including mine) without thinking, apply your own judgments as a filter. We have a great community of baseball fans discussing games daily.
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Best MLB Bets For Thursday, June 22
Pittsburgh Pirates At Miami Marlins
Notes for this game:
- Is Brad Keller starting or Mitch Keller? Unless it’s Brad, then I’m a bit baffled by this line. Mitch has a 3.62 ERA and his peripherals all say he deserves it.
- Braxton Garrett is also a good pitcher but more like a 4 ERA true talent. That’s a decent amount below where I have Keller rated.
- Pittsburgh’s lineup could get a bit weird here. Nobody knows for sure whether Andrew McCutchen or Bryan Reynolds will play. It sounds like McCutchen should at least be able to DH, though. He’s in the projected lineup.
- Even if McCutchen sits, I don’t think the Marlins have a big enough lineup edge to get them close to -165. Pittsburgh has been strong hitting lefties with a 107 wRC+.
I bet Pittsburgh at +136, and due to a small line move the other way, you can actually get a better number at the +140 available now.
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