Michigan vs UCLA March Madness Odds — Elite 8 2021

Posted By Staff on March 29, 2021

The No. 1 seed Michigan Wolverines (20-4) will compete for a spot in the NCAA Tournament Final Four against the No. 11 seed UCLA Bruins (17-9) on Tuesday at Lucas Oil Stadium. Bookmakers have installed the Wolverines as  favorites to win the final game in the East Region bracket, which tips off at 9:45 PM ET.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 29, 2021, 12:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Odds

Michigan vs. UCLA Game Matchup

How this game plays out inside the three-point line will go a long way in determining who goes to the Final Four. That’s because neither team attempts many three-pointers. Both Michigan and UCLA rank outside the top 250 in Division I in percentage of field goals attempted from beyond the arc.

Because of this, the Wolverines have a distinct statistical advantage, one of the reasons why they are heavy favorites. UCLA ranks only 149th in two-point field goal percentage; meanwhile, Michigan is elite in defending twos. The last hope for the Big 10 in this tournament ranks third in the country in stopping two-pointers.

The advantage within the arc continues at the other end of the court. Michigan is 39th in two-point field goal percentage, and UCLA is only 169th in two-point field goal percentage defense. The Wolverines have ratcheted up the attack in close even more so without their best three-point shooter Isaiah Livers (out for tournament, foot). Michigan has shot a combined 59 percent from two against 8-seed LSU and 4-seed Florida State, up from its season average of 54 percent.

For UCLA to pull another upset, it may need to increase its three-point volume. That’s exactly what the Bruins did in the Sweet 16 to help knock off 2-seed Alabama.

Michigan Betting Information

  • The Wolverines have covered the spread more often than not this season, compiling a record ATS of 19-7.
  • The Wolverines have a winning record against the spread when favored by 7.5 points or more, going 11-4 this season.
  • In 42.3% of their games this season (11/26), the Wolverines and their opponents have outscored the set over/under.
  • In their last game, the Wolverines got a team-high 14 points from Hunter Dickinson on the way to a 76-58 victory over Florida State on Sunday. They were favored by 2.5 points and covered the spread, and the teams combined to score 134 points to go under the 140.5 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Michigan Players to Watch

Hunter Dickinson 27 14.2 7.6 0.9 0.3 1.4 0.0
Isaiah Livers 23 13.1 6.0 2.0 0.6 0.7 2.2
Franz Wagner 27 12.8 6.5 3.0 1.2 1.0 1.3
Eli Brooks 26 9.5 3.1 3.1 1.1 0.2 1.5
Mike Smith 27 9.3 2.7 5.4 0.4 0.0 1.2
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UCLA Betting Information

  • With a 15-14 record ATS this season, the Bruins have topped expectations.
  • When they play as at least a 7.5-point underdog, the Bruins often have trouble covering with only a 3-5 record against the spread.
  • 17 of the Bruins 29 games (58.6%) this season have covered the over/under.
  • The Bruins knocked off Alabama 88-78 in their last outing on Sunday. Jules Bernard totaled a team-high 17 points to lead the team to the victory. They covered the spread as 7.5-point underdogs, and the teams combined to hit the over on the 144 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

UCLA Players to Watch

Johnny Juzang 25 15.0 4.1 1.6 0.8 0.4 2.0
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 30 12.4 6.1 1.5 1.2 0.7 1.2
Jules Bernard 30 10.7 5.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 1.2
Tyger Campbell 30 10.2 2.1 5.4 1.0 0.0 0.5
Cody Riley 29 10.0 5.4 1.1 0.4 0.7 0.0

Total Facts

  • Michigan’s games this year have resulted in a higher total score than Tuesday’s matchup total (135.5 points) in 55.6% of opportunities (15 out of 27 matchups).
  • 16 UCLA games this year (53.3% of its matchups) ended with a final score higher than Tuesday’s total of 135.5 points.
  • Together, the two teams combine for 150.4 points per game, 14.9 points more than the over/under of 135.5 for this contest.
  • These two teams give up a combined 133.9 points per game, 1.6 points less than this contest’s over/under.
  • This season, the average total for Wolverines games is 142.4 points, 6.9 more than the over/under of 135.5 points for this contest.
  • The over/under for this game is 6.4 points fewer than the average over/under in Bruins games this season (141.9 points).

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