Michigan vs Florida State March Madness Odds — Sweet 16 2021

Written By Staff on March 23, 2021 - Last Updated on March 25, 2021

The top-seeded Michigan Wolverines (20-4) and the No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (16-6) will meet on Sunday to compete for a spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament. Michigan is favored by  in the Sweet 16 matchup, which tips off at 5:00 PM ET on CBS.

The betting insights in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of March 23, 2021, 12:10 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Betting Odds

Michigan vs. Florida State Game Matchup

Is this the spot the injury to Isaiah Livers ends Michigan’s season? Doubters will point to Florida State’s turnover issues, as the Seminoles were second in the ACC with 14.4 per game. They also rank outside the top 250 in turnover percentage. That’s typically not a formula for a deep NCAA Tournament run.

The issue in this matchup though is whether Michigan can actually take advantage of FSU’s ball security issues. The Wolverines ranked dead last in takeaways in the Big 10, forcing only ten per game. Michigan is even worse on a per possession basis. The maze and blue sit 336th in opponent turnovers per offensive play.

Foul trouble would also be a bigger issue for Michigan without Livers than Florida State. According to KenPom, the Wolverines rank 310th in bench minutes. Florida State ranks 25th.

The Seminoles are not only deep, but they have size. In fact, they are the biggest team in the country in average height. Strangely, they have really struggled in keeping opponents off of the offensive glass. Florida State ranks outside the top 300 in offensive rebounds allowed per game.

Both teams shoot it well, with each ranking top-20 in three-point percentage; however, Livers was Michigan’s best outside shooter. Michigan will need to find a way to make up for that against a well-rounded Florida State squad.

Michigan Betting Information

  • The Wolverines have covered the spread more often than not this season, earning a record ATS of 18-7.
  • When favored by at least 3 points, the Wolverines are 15-7 against the spread this season.
  • The Wolverines and their opponents have gone over the set total in only 11 of 25 games this season (44%).
  • The Wolverines beat LSU 86-78 in their last outing on Monday. Chaundee Brown racked up a team-high 21 points to lead the team to the victory. They were favored by 4 points and covered the spread, and the teams combined to hit the over on the 148 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Michigan Players to Watch

Hunter Dickinson 26 14.2 7.5 0.9 0.3 1.4 0.0
Isaiah Livers 23 13.1 6.0 2.0 0.6 0.7 2.2
Franz Wagner 26 12.8 6.3 3.0 1.3 1.0 1.3
Eli Brooks 25 9.7 3.2 3.0 1.1 0.2 1.5
Mike Smith 26 9.3 2.7 5.4 0.5 0.0 1.2
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Florida State Betting Information

  • With a 13-10 record ATS this season, the Seminoles have outplayed expectations.
  • When they play as at least a 3-point underdog, the Seminoles maintain an even 8-8 record against the spread.
  • Florida State and its opponents have typically covered the over/under this season, doing so in 60.9% (14) of its 23 games played.
  • In the Seminoles most recent game on Monday, Anthony Polite scored a team-high 22 points on the way to a 71-53 victory against Colorado. They were favored by 1 point and covered the spread, and the teams combined to score 124 points to fall short of the 141.5 point total.

Against the Spread (ATS) records are only reflective of games that had odds on them.

Florida State Players to Watch

M.J. Walker 23 12.3 2.5 2.6 0.9 0.4 1.9
Raiquan Gray 24 12.0 6.5 2.3 1.3 0.8 0.3
Scottie Barnes 23 10.4 4.1 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.5
Anthony Polite 20 10.2 4.5 1.8 1.4 0.5 1.7
Balsa Koprivica 23 9.2 5.7 0.7 0.3 1.4 0.0

Total Facts

  • Michigan’s games this season have gone over the point total for Sunday’s matchup (145.5 points) in 11 out of 26 opportunities (42.3% of matchups).
  • In 45.8% of Florida State’s games this season (11 of 24), the total points scored was greater than Sunday’s 145.5-point over/under.
  • The over/under for the matchup of 145.5 is 9.3 points fewer than the combined points per game averages for the Wolverines (76.8 points per game) and the Seminoles (78 points per game).
  • This game’s total is 10.7 more points than the 134.8 these two teams combine to give up per game in 2020-21.
  • The Wolverines have seen a 142.7 average over/under in their games this season, 2.8 points fewer than the over/under in this contest.
  • A difference of 1.4 points separates the average total points bet in Seminoles games (146.9 points) and this matchup’s over/under (145.5 points).

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