Mets Vs Phillies: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – May 27, 2022

Written By Staff on May 27, 2022

The New York Mets (29-17) host the Philadelphia Phillies (21-24) on Friday to start a three-game series, with the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets head into the matchup after a series loss to the Giants, and the Phillies are coming off a series split with the Braves. New York’s (-162 to win) Carlos Carrasco and Philadelphia’s (+138) Zach Eflin will take the mound first.

The insights in the following article reflect odds as of May 27, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET.

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Mets vs Phillies Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Carrasco (NYM) Pitcher Eflin (PHI)
4 – 1 W/L 1 – 3
46.1 IP 37.0
3.30 ERA 4.14
1.122 WHIP 1.162
7.6 K/9 8.5
1.4 BB/9 1.7

Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco makes the start for the Mets, his ninth of the season. He is 4-1 with a 3.30 ERA and 39 strikeouts in 46 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Saturday against the Colorado Rockies, the right-hander tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
  • In eight games this season, the 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.30, with 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • Carrasco is looking to record his fourth quality start of the season in this matchup.
  • He will take the hill against a Phillies team that is hitting .249 as a unit (seventh in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .410 (third in MLB) with 51 total home runs (eighth in MLB).
  • The 35-year-old ranks 27th in ERA (3.30), 27th in WHIP (1.122), and 36th in K/9 (7.6) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 27, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Phillies Stats vs Carrasco

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Nick Castellanos 46 .217 10 0 1 .265 .569
Jean Segura 16 .438 7 3 5 .438 1.500
J.T. Realmuto 7 .286 2 0 0 .286 .572
Bryce Harper 6 .167 1 0 0 .286 .453
Kyle Schwarber 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Odúbel Herrera 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Rhys Hoskins 1 .000 0 0 0 .500 .500

Phillies Probable Starter Zach Eflin

  • The Phillies will send Eflin (1-3) to the mound for his eighth start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 7 2/3 innings pitched against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday.
  • The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.14 ERA this season with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.7 walks per nine across seven games.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
  • The Mets have scored 222 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They are batting .260 for the campaign with 39 home runs, 20th in the league.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of May 27, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Eflin

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jeff McNeil 25 .320 8 0 1 .370 .890
Pete Alonso 17 .176 3 1 1 .263 .616
Dominic Smith 17 .412 7 0 1 .444 1.091
Brandon Nimmo 14 .071 1 0 0 .188 .259
Starling Marte 13 .538 7 1 5 .538 1.692
Francisco Lindor 10 .100 1 0 0 .100 .200
Luis Guillorme 7 .286 2 0 1 .286 .715
Tomás Nido 6 .167 1 0 3 .167 .500
Eduardo Escobar 5 .600 3 0 0 .600 1.200

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 24 of the 37 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (64.9%).
  • New York has an 8-4 record (winning 66.7% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -162 or shorter.
  • The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 61.8% in this game.
  • New York has played in 46 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 22 times (22-22-2).
  • The Mets have a 26-20-0 record ATS this season (covering 56.5% of the time).
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Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have entered the game as underdogs 20 times this season and won nine, or 45%, of those games.
  • Philadelphia has a record of 2-2 in games where bookmakers have them as underogs of at least +138 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 42% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 23 of their 45 games with a total.
  • In 45 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 22-23-0 ATS.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Francisco Lindor is hitting .250 with eight doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 21 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters in MLB, Lindor’s batting average ranks 76th, his on-base percentage ranks 59th, and he is 47th in the league in slugging.
  • Pete Alonso has seven doubles, 11 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .275, and paces his team with 49 hits.
  • Alonso’s batting average ranks 41st among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 52nd, and he is 21st in the league in slugging.
  • Jeff McNeil has put up a slugging percentage of .455, a team-best for the Mets. He’s hitting .321 with 13 doubles, a triple, two home runs and 13 walks.
  • Brandon Nimmo leads his team with a .385 on-base percentage. He has seven doubles, four triples, three home runs and 22 walks while batting .294.
  • Nimmo has safely hit in nine games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .268 with a double, two triples, two walks and five RBI.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Pete Alonso 178 .275 26 11 41 .342 .842
Francisco Lindor 176 .250 31 8 33 .337 .780
Starling Marte 163 .264 24 4 24 .302 .701
Eduardo Escobar 157 .229 19 2 11 .322 .691
Jeff McNeil 156 .321 23 2 23 .374 .829
Brandon Nimmo 153 .294 28 3 17 .385 .836
Mark Canha 119 .294 19 4 16 .370 .773
Dominic Smith 81 .198 7 0 13 .290 .562
J.D. Davis 74 .230 10 1 9 .326 .677
Luis Guillorme 68 .324 11 1 3 .410 .836

Phillies Players to Watch

  • Bryce Harper leads Philadelphia with 50 hits and an OBP of .362, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .627.
  • Of all the qualifying hitters in the majors, Harper is 12th in batting average, 26th in on-base percentage and third in slugging percentage.
  • Jean Segura has collected 43 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .340.
  • Segura is currently 26th in batting average, 54th in on-base percentage and 52nd in slugging percentage among all qualifying players.
  • Rhys Hoskins is batting .223 with a .410 slugging percentage and 23 RBI this year.
  • Kyle Schwarber has been key for Philadelphia with 30 hits, an OBP of .308 plus a slugging percentage of .426.

Phillies Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Nicholas Castellanos 169 .243 20 5 23 .306 .702
Rhys Hoskins 166 .223 22 7 23 .301 .711
Bryce Harper 158 .316 32 10 31 .362 .989
Kyle Schwarber 155 .194 26 10 22 .308 .734
Alec Bohm 150 .287 22 3 17 .327 .727
Jean Segura 148 .291 21 6 18 .340 .779
J.T. Realmuto 146 .240 23 3 12 .317 .680
Johan Camargo 103 .262 7 3 11 .319 .698
Odúbel Herrera 78 .269 8 3 12 .293 .793
Bryson Stott 67 .119 4 0 7 .181 .315

Mets vs Phillies Player Props

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