The New York Mets aim to stop their three-game losing streak when they meet the San Diego Padres (54-42) on Sunday at 7:00 PM ET. Carlos Carrasco starts for New York (
to win) while San Diego ( ) will counter with Joe Musgrove.The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of July 24, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET.
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Mets vs Padres Betting Odds
Pitching Matchup
Carrasco (NYM) | Pitcher | Musgrove (SD) |
---|---|---|
10 – 4 | W/L | 8 – 2 |
99.0 | IP | 104.0 |
4.27 | ERA | 2.42 |
1.333 | WHIP | 0.971 |
9.1 | K/9 | 8.8 |
2.4 | BB/9 | 2 |
Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco
- The Mets are sending Carrasco (10-4) out to make his 19th start of the season. He is 10-4 with a 4.27 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 99 innings pitched.
- The right-hander last appeared on Friday, July 15 against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
- The 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.27, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .273 batting average against him.
- Carrasco heads into the game with six quality starts under his belt this year.
- He meets a Padres offense that ranks 16th in the league with 414 runs while batting .239 as a squad. It has a collective .374 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 80 home runs (25th in MLB).
- Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 35-year-old ranks 51st in ERA (4.27), 52nd in WHIP (1.333), and 17th in K/9 (9.1).
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Padres Stats vs Carrasco
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eric Hosmer | 34 | .235 | 8 | 0 | 3 | .316 | .669 |
Nomar Mazara | 11 | .455 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .500 | 1.409 |
Jorge Alfaro | 10 | .200 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .273 | .573 |
Manny Machado | 10 | .200 | 2 | 0 | 1 | .333 | .533 |
Jurickson Profar | 8 | .625 | 5 | 1 | 2 | .667 | 1.792 |
Luke Voit | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .200 |
Ha-Seong Kim | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
Jake Cronenworth | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Trent Grisham | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
Padres Probable Starter Joe Musgrove
- The Padres will hand the ball to Musgrove (8-2) for his 17th start of the season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, July 14, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
- The 29-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 2.42, a 4.435 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .971.
- He has started 16 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 14 of them.
- The Mets have scored 439 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They have 808 hits, eighth in baseball, with 92 home runs (19th in the league).
- Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s 2.42 ERA ranks eighth, .971 WHIP ranks ninth, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 22nd.
Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.
Mets Stats vs Musgrove
Player | AB | AVG | H | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor | 15 | .400 | 6 | 2 | 3 | .438 | 1.305 |
Eduardo Escobar | 8 | .250 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .250 | .875 |
Pete Alonso | 6 | .333 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
Starling Marte | 6 | .333 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
Luis Guillorme | 5 | .400 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .400 | .800 |
Jeff McNeil | 5 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .733 |
Brandon Nimmo | 5 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .533 |
Tomás Nido | 4 | .250 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .400 | .650 |
Travis Jankowski | 3 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | .833 |
J.D. Davis | 2 | 1.000 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.000 | 3.500 |
Mets Betting Trends
- The Mets have gone 45-23 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.2% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -129 or shorter, New York has a 34-18 record (winning 65.4% of its games).
- The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 56.3% in this contest.
- New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 47 times this season for a 47-42-6 record against the over/under.
- The Mets have collected a 49-46-0 record ATS this season (covering 51.6% of the time).
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Padres Betting Trends
- The Padres have entered the game as underdogs 31 times this season and won 17, or 54.8%, of those games.
- San Diego has entered 20 games this season as the underdog by +109 or more and is 12-8 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 47.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 96 games with a total this season.
- The Padres are 45-51-0 ATS in their 96 games with a spread this season.
Mets Players to Watch
- Pete Alonso has a team-best slugging percentage (.521) and paces the Mets in hits (95). He’s batting .271 with 16 doubles, 24 home runs and 34 walks.
- Alonso ranks 51st in batting average, 49th in on base percentage, and 13th in slugging among the qualified hitters in MLB action.
- Alonso has safely hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles and four RBI.
- Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
- Among the qualified, Lindor ranks 94th in batting average, 92nd in on-base percentage, and 72nd in slugging.
- Brandon Nimmo is hitting .267 with 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks.
- Starling Marte has 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 17 walks while batting .294.
Mets Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor | 367 | .245 | 54 | 16 | 66 | .320 | .745 |
Pete Alonso | 351 | .271 | 51 | 24 | 78 | .346 | .867 |
Eduardo Escobar | 338 | .219 | 37 | 11 | 40 | .273 | .661 |
Brandon Nimmo | 333 | .267 | 59 | 9 | 33 | .353 | .782 |
Starling Marte | 320 | .294 | 52 | 9 | 41 | .343 | .796 |
Jeff McNeil | 283 | .297 | 39 | 4 | 35 | .361 | .774 |
Mark Canha | 264 | .265 | 40 | 7 | 31 | .367 | .742 |
Daniel Vogelbach | 237 | .228 | 29 | 12 | 34 | .338 | .764 |
Luis Guillorme | 203 | .291 | 25 | 2 | 11 | .371 | .740 |
J.D. Davis | 175 | .240 | 25 | 3 | 20 | .328 | .677 |
Padres Players to Watch
- Manny Machado leads San Diego in OBP (.373), slugging percentage (.512) and total hits (96) this season.
- Machado is 20th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging percentage among all qualified batters in MLB.
- Jurickson Profar has collected 79 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .341.
- Among all qualifying hitters, Profar is 101st in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage and 107th in slugging percentage.
- Jake Cronenworth is batting .238 with a .393 slugging percentage and 49 RBI this year.
- Eric Hosmer has been key for San Diego with 85 hits, an OBP of .334 plus a slugging percentage of .387.
Padres Batting Stats (2022)
Player | AB | AVG | R | HR | RBI | OBP | OPS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jake Cronenworth | 361 | .238 | 60 | 9 | 49 | .333 | .726 |
Jurickson Profar | 328 | .241 | 51 | 8 | 38 | .341 | .731 |
Manny Machado | 322 | .298 | 57 | 16 | 53 | .373 | .885 |
Eric Hosmer | 313 | .272 | 29 | 7 | 37 | .334 | .721 |
Trent Grisham | 300 | .190 | 37 | 10 | 34 | .290 | .627 |
Ha-Seong Kim | 283 | .240 | 35 | 5 | 32 | .327 | .691 |
Luke Voit | 272 | .224 | 34 | 12 | 40 | .310 | .718 |
Austin Nola | 213 | .244 | 24 | 2 | 25 | .313 | .628 |
Jorge Alfaro | 189 | .270 | 21 | 6 | 26 | .303 | .732 |
CJ Abrams | 121 | .231 | 15 | 2 | 11 | .280 | .602 |
Mets vs Padres Player Props
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