Mets Vs Padres: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 24, 2022

Written By Staff on July 24, 2022

The New York Mets aim to stop their three-game losing streak when they meet the San Diego Padres (54-42) on Sunday at 7:00 PM ET. Carlos Carrasco starts for New York (-129 to win) while San Diego (+109) will counter with Joe Musgrove.

The betting trends in what follows reflect odds as of July 24, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET.

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Mets vs Padres Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Carrasco (NYM) Pitcher Musgrove (SD)
10 – 4 W/L 8 – 2
99.0 IP 104.0
4.27 ERA 2.42
1.333 WHIP 0.971
9.1 K/9 8.8
2.4 BB/9 2

Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • The Mets are sending Carrasco (10-4) out to make his 19th start of the season. He is 10-4 with a 4.27 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 99 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Friday, July 15 against the Chicago Cubs, when he threw 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
  • The 35-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.27, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents have a .273 batting average against him.
  • Carrasco heads into the game with six quality starts under his belt this year.
  • He meets a Padres offense that ranks 16th in the league with 414 runs while batting .239 as a squad. It has a collective .374 slugging percentage (26th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 80 home runs (25th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 35-year-old ranks 51st in ERA (4.27), 52nd in WHIP (1.333), and 17th in K/9 (9.1).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Padres Stats vs Carrasco

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Eric Hosmer 34 .235 8 0 3 .316 .669
Nomar Mazara 11 .455 5 1 4 .500 1.409
Jorge Alfaro 10 .200 2 0 0 .273 .573
Manny Machado 10 .200 2 0 1 .333 .533
Jurickson Profar 8 .625 5 1 2 .667 1.792
Luke Voit 4 .000 0 0 0 .200 .200
Ha-Seong Kim 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Jake Cronenworth 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Trent Grisham 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Padres Probable Starter Joe Musgrove

  • The Padres will hand the ball to Musgrove (8-2) for his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, July 14, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 16 games this season with an ERA of 2.42, a 4.435 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .971.
  • He has started 16 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 14 of them.
  • The Mets have scored 439 runs this season, which ranks seventh in MLB. They have 808 hits, eighth in baseball, with 92 home runs (19th in the league).
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s 2.42 ERA ranks eighth, .971 WHIP ranks ninth, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 22nd.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 24, 2022 at 5:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Musgrove

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 15 .400 6 2 3 .438 1.305
Eduardo Escobar 8 .250 2 1 1 .250 .875
Pete Alonso 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .666
Starling Marte 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .666
Luis Guillorme 5 .400 2 0 0 .400 .800
Jeff McNeil 5 .200 1 0 0 .333 .733
Brandon Nimmo 5 .200 1 0 0 .333 .533
Tomás Nido 4 .250 1 0 0 .400 .650
Travis Jankowski 3 .333 1 0 0 .500 .833
J.D. Davis 2 1.000 2 1 3 1.000 3.500

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have gone 45-23 in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 66.2% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -129 or shorter, New York has a 34-18 record (winning 65.4% of its games).
  • The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 56.3% in this contest.
  • New York has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 47 times this season for a 47-42-6 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets have collected a 49-46-0 record ATS this season (covering 51.6% of the time).
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Padres Betting Trends

  • The Padres have entered the game as underdogs 31 times this season and won 17, or 54.8%, of those games.
  • San Diego has entered 20 games this season as the underdog by +109 or more and is 12-8 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 47.8% chance of a victory for the Padres.
  • San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 96 games with a total this season.
  • The Padres are 45-51-0 ATS in their 96 games with a spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has a team-best slugging percentage (.521) and paces the Mets in hits (95). He’s batting .271 with 16 doubles, 24 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Alonso ranks 51st in batting average, 49th in on base percentage, and 13th in slugging among the qualified hitters in MLB action.
  • Alonso has safely hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with two doubles and four RBI.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .245 with 12 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
  • Among the qualified, Lindor ranks 94th in batting average, 92nd in on-base percentage, and 72nd in slugging.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .267 with 17 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 37 walks.
  • Starling Marte has 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 17 walks while batting .294.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 367 .245 54 16 66 .320 .745
Pete Alonso 351 .271 51 24 78 .346 .867
Eduardo Escobar 338 .219 37 11 40 .273 .661
Brandon Nimmo 333 .267 59 9 33 .353 .782
Starling Marte 320 .294 52 9 41 .343 .796
Jeff McNeil 283 .297 39 4 35 .361 .774
Mark Canha 264 .265 40 7 31 .367 .742
Daniel Vogelbach 237 .228 29 12 34 .338 .764
Luis Guillorme 203 .291 25 2 11 .371 .740
J.D. Davis 175 .240 25 3 20 .328 .677

Padres Players to Watch

  • Manny Machado leads San Diego in OBP (.373), slugging percentage (.512) and total hits (96) this season.
  • Machado is 20th in batting average, 16th in on-base percentage and 16th in slugging percentage among all qualified batters in MLB.
  • Jurickson Profar has collected 79 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .341.
  • Among all qualifying hitters, Profar is 101st in batting average, 55th in on-base percentage and 107th in slugging percentage.
  • Jake Cronenworth is batting .238 with a .393 slugging percentage and 49 RBI this year.
  • Eric Hosmer has been key for San Diego with 85 hits, an OBP of .334 plus a slugging percentage of .387.

Padres Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jake Cronenworth 361 .238 60 9 49 .333 .726
Jurickson Profar 328 .241 51 8 38 .341 .731
Manny Machado 322 .298 57 16 53 .373 .885
Eric Hosmer 313 .272 29 7 37 .334 .721
Trent Grisham 300 .190 37 10 34 .290 .627
Ha-Seong Kim 283 .240 35 5 32 .327 .691
Luke Voit 272 .224 34 12 40 .310 .718
Austin Nola 213 .244 24 2 25 .313 .628
Jorge Alfaro 189 .270 21 6 26 .303 .732
CJ Abrams 121 .231 15 2 11 .280 .602

Mets vs Padres Player Props

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