Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 9, 2022

Carlos Carrasco tries for his 10th win of the season when his New York Mets (52-32) host the Miami Marlins (40-42) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday. New York (-179 to win) has Carrasco starting, and Miami (+152) counters Braxton Garrett.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco

• Carrasco (9-4) is aiming for his 10th victory when he gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.64 ERA in 87 1/3 innings pitched, with 89 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
• In 16 games this season, the 35-year-old has a 4.64 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .272 to his opponents.
• Carrasco enters this game with five quality starts under his belt this year.
• The opposing Marlins offense has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.393) and ranks 15th in MLB play with 89 home runs. It has a collective .241 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 666 total hits and 18th in MLB play scoring 353 runs.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 35-year-old ranks 57th in ERA (4.64), 51st in WHIP (1.328), and 19th in K/9 (9.2).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Carrasco

Marlins Probable Starter Braxton Garrett

• Garrett (1-3) will take the mound for the Marlins, his seventh start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run in 7 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
• The 24-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 4.25, a 3.714 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.449.
• He has one quality starts in six chances this season.
• The Mets rank fourth in MLB with a .257 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.403) and 83 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Garrett

Mets Betting Trends

• The Mets are 41-19 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.3% of those games).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -179 or shorter, New York has a 10-3 record (winning 76.9% of its games).
• Based on this game’s moneyline, the Mets’ implied win probability is 64.2%.
• In the 84 games bookmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-35-5).
• The Mets have collected a 46-38-0 record ATS this season (covering 54.8% of the time).

Marlins Betting Trends

• The Marlins have entered the game as underdogs 47 times this season and won 17, or 36.2%, of those games.
• This season, Miami has won one of its four games when they’re the underdog by at least +152 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.7% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 82 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 41-41-0 ATS in their 82 games with a spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

• Pete Alonso has racked up 84 hits, a team-high for the Mets, on the way to hitting .274 with 13 doubles, 22 home runs and 33 walks.
• Among qualifying hitters in MLB play, Alonso ranks 43rd in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
• Francisco Lindor has 11 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks while batting .240.
• Lindor’s batting average ranks 98th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 95th, and he is 78th in the league in slugging.
• Starling Marte is hitting .292 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks. He has a .463 slugging percentage, which paces the Mets.
• Marte brings an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .390 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .277 with 15 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Nimmo has safely hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, three home runs, two walks and eight RBI.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Marlins Players to Watch

• Garrett Cooper leads Miami with 81 hits and an OBP of .371, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .470.
• Cooper ranks 13th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage and 39th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters in MLB.
• Miguel Rojas is slugging .380 while driving in 21 runs and batting .253 this season.
• Among all qualified hittersplayers, Rojas is 76th in batting average, 114th in on-base percentage and 118th in slugging percentage.
• Jesus Aguilar has 69 hits this season and has a slash line of .243/.290/.394.
• Jon Berti is batting .257 with a .351 OBP and 18 RBI for Miami this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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