Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 9, 2022

Written By Staff on July 9, 2022

Carlos Carrasco tries for his 10th win of the season when his New York Mets (52-32) host the Miami Marlins (40-42) at 4:10 PM ET on Saturday. New York (-179 to win) has Carrasco starting, and Miami (+152) counters Braxton Garrett.

The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Carrasco (NYM) Pitcher Garrett (MIA)
9 – 4 W/L 1 – 3
87.1 IP 29.2
4.64 ERA 4.25
1.328 WHIP 1.449
9.2 K/9 7.9
2.3 BB/9 2.1

Mets Probable Starter Carlos Carrasco

  • Carrasco (9-4) is aiming for his 10th victory when he gets the starting nod for the Mets in his 17th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.64 ERA in 87 1/3 innings pitched, with 89 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
  • In 16 games this season, the 35-year-old has a 4.64 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .272 to his opponents.
  • Carrasco enters this game with five quality starts under his belt this year.
  • The opposing Marlins offense has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.393) and ranks 15th in MLB play with 89 home runs. It has a collective .241 batting average, and is 18th in MLB with 666 total hits and 18th in MLB play scoring 353 runs.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 35-year-old ranks 57th in ERA (4.64), 51st in WHIP (1.328), and 19th in K/9 (9.2).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Carrasco

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Avisaíl García 42 .262 11 1 2 .279 .636
Billy Hamilton 12 .417 5 0 3 .533 1.116
Bryan De La Cruz 10 .300 3 1 1 .300 .900
Joey Wendle 9 .111 1 0 1 .111 .333
Jesús Aguilar 9 .333 3 0 2 .417 .861
Jacob Stallings 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .286
Miguel Rojas 7 .429 3 1 1 .429 1.286
Jesús Sánchez 5 .200 1 0 1 .200 .400
Garrett Cooper 4 .500 2 0 0 .500 1.000
Jon Berti 4 .250 1 0 0 .250 .500

Marlins Probable Starter Braxton Garrett

  • Garrett (1-3) will take the mound for the Marlins, his seventh start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run in 7 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Washington Nationals.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 4.25, a 3.714 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.449.
  • He has one quality starts in six chances this season.
  • The Mets rank fourth in MLB with a .257 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 10th in the league (.403) and 83 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 9, 2022 at 3:34 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Garrett

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Pete Alonso 3 .000 0 0 0 .400 .400
Dominic Smith 3 .667 2 0 0 .667 1.334
J.D. Davis 3 .333 1 0 0 .600 .933
Brandon Nimmo 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Tomás Nido 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jeff McNeil 2 .500 1 0 1 .500 1.000
Francisco Lindor 2 .500 1 1 2 .500 2.500
Starling Marte 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000
Eduardo Escobar 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
James McCann 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets are 41-19 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 68.3% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -179 or shorter, New York has a 10-3 record (winning 76.9% of its games).
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Mets’ implied win probability is 64.2%.
  • In the 84 games bookmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 44 times (44-35-5).
  • The Mets have collected a 46-38-0 record ATS this season (covering 54.8% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have entered the game as underdogs 47 times this season and won 17, or 36.2%, of those games.
  • This season, Miami has won one of its four games when they’re the underdog by at least +152 on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 39.7% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 82 chances this season.
  • The Marlins are 41-41-0 ATS in their 82 games with a spread this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has racked up 84 hits, a team-high for the Mets, on the way to hitting .274 with 13 doubles, 22 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB play, Alonso ranks 43rd in batting average, 40th in on-base percentage, and 14th in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor has 11 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 32 walks while batting .240.
  • Lindor’s batting average ranks 98th among qualified players, his on-base percentage ranks 95th, and he is 78th in the league in slugging.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .292 with 18 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks. He has a .463 slugging percentage, which paces the Mets.
  • Marte brings an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .390 with four doubles, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .277 with 15 doubles, five triples, eight home runs and 30 walks.
  • Nimmo has safely hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .381 with a double, three home runs, two walks and eight RBI.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 321 .240 49 14 58 .318 .735
Pete Alonso 307 .274 46 22 69 .351 .882
Starling Marte 298 .292 50 9 40 .343 .806
Eduardo Escobar 293 .218 34 9 37 .276 .662
Brandon Nimmo 289 .277 49 8 32 .360 .806
Jeff McNeil 259 .317 38 4 35 .378 .822
Mark Canha 235 .277 38 6 30 .371 .754
Luis Guillorme 168 .292 23 1 7 .364 .709
J.D. Davis 158 .253 25 3 19 .341 .714
Tomás Nido 147 .211 11 0 14 .255 .486

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Garrett Cooper leads Miami with 81 hits and an OBP of .371, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .470.
  • Cooper ranks 13th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage and 39th in slugging percentage among all qualifying batters in MLB.
  • Miguel Rojas is slugging .380 while driving in 21 runs and batting .253 this season.
  • Among all qualified hittersplayers, Rojas is 76th in batting average, 114th in on-base percentage and 118th in slugging percentage.
  • Jesus Aguilar has 69 hits this season and has a slash line of .243/.290/.394.
  • Jon Berti is batting .257 with a .351 OBP and 18 RBI for Miami this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 284 .243 28 10 34 .290 .684
Garrett Cooper 264 .307 27 7 40 .371 .841
Avisaíl García 258 .229 23 6 25 .264 .590
Jesús Sánchez 246 .211 31 11 30 .264 .671
Miguel Rojas 245 .253 24 6 21 .305 .685
Jacob Stallings 194 .191 18 2 22 .255 .497
Jon Berti 175 .257 31 2 18 .351 .717
Bryan De La Cruz 156 .231 20 6 18 .284 .688
Brian Anderson 136 .265 24 3 9 .363 .760
Joey Wendle 112 .277 13 2 14 .331 .733

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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