Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 8, 2022

Written By Staff on July 8, 2022

The Miami Marlins (39-42) visit the New York Mets (52-31) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. Chris Bassitt starts for New York (-171 to win) while Miami (+145) will counter with Pablo Lopez.

The betting insights in the following article use the latest odds as of July 8, 2022 at 5:28 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Bassitt (NYM) Pitcher López (MIA)
6 – 5 W/L 5 – 4
89.2 IP 94.0
3.91 ERA 2.97
1.138 WHIP 1.074
9.5 K/9 8.9
2.6 BB/9 2.6

Mets Probable Starter Chris Bassitt

  • Bassitt (6-5 with a 3.91 ERA and 95 strikeouts in 89 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mets, his 16th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, June 25, the righty threw 7 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins, allowing three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 33-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.91, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .225 against him.
  • Bassitt is looking to secure his 10th quality start of the year.
  • He will take the hill against a Marlins offense that ranks 18th in MLB with 656 total hits (on a .241 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .392 (15th in MLB) with 88 total home runs (15th in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 33-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (3.91), 29th in WHIP (1.138), and 15th in K/9 (9.5).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 8, 2022 at 5:28 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Bassitt

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Jacob Stallings 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Miguel Rojas 6 .333 2 0 0 .333 .666
Avisaíl García 6 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Bryan De La Cruz 4 .500 2 1 1 .600 1.850
Joey Wendle 4 .250 1 0 0 .400 .900
Garrett Cooper 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Jesús Sánchez 3 .333 1 1 2 .333 1.666
Jesús Aguilar 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Luke Williams 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jon Berti 2 .000 0 0 0 .333 .333

Marlins Probable Starter Pablo López

  • Lopez (5-4) will take to the mound for the Marlins and make his 17th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed three hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Washington Nationals.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched to a 2.97 ERA this season with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.6 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • In 16 starts this season, he’s earned seven quality starts.
  • The Mets have scored 402 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB. They are batting .258 for the campaign with 81 home runs, 19th in the league.
  • The 26-year-old ranks 21st in ERA (2.97), 20th in WHIP (1.074), and 24th in K/9 (8.9) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 8, 2022 at 5:28 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs López

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Nimmo 17 .294 5 0 2 .368 .780
Pete Alonso 13 .231 3 0 0 .412 .643
Ender Inciarte 12 .500 6 0 2 .500 1.083
Dominic Smith 11 .091 1 0 0 .091 .273
J.D. Davis 11 .455 5 0 1 .538 .993
Jeff McNeil 11 .364 4 1 2 .462 1.189
Francisco Lindor 9 .222 2 1 3 .222 .778
Tomás Nido 8 .125 1 0 0 .300 .425
Luis Guillorme 8 .375 3 0 1 .444 .944
Starling Marte 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .500

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 41 of the 59 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (69.5%).
  • New York is 14-4 (winning 77.8% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -171 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Mets’ implied win probability is 63.1%.
  • New York has had an over/under set by bookmakers 83 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 44 of those games (44-35-4).
  • The Mets have a 46-37-0 record ATS this season (covering 55.4% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been underdogs in 46 games this season and won 16 (34.8%) of those contests.
  • Miami has a record of 1-7 when they’re set as an underdog of +145 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 40.8%.
  • Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 40 of 81 chances this season.
  • The Marlins are 40-41-0 against the spread in their 81 chances this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso is leading the Mets with 84 hits, while batting .277 with 13 doubles, 22 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Alonso ranks 40th in batting average, 38th in on base percentage, and 13th in slugging among the qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Francisco Lindor has 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while batting .241.
  • Lindor currently ranks 99th in batting average, 92nd in on base percentage, and 84th in slugging among qualifying hitters.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .294 with 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks and has racked up a team-best .464 slugging percentage.
  • Marte brings a seven-game hitting streak into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .410 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is batting .278 with 15 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 316 .241 48 13 57 .319 .730
Pete Alonso 303 .277 46 22 69 .355 .893
Starling Marte 293 .294 50 9 40 .345 .809
Eduardo Escobar 289 .221 34 9 37 .279 .670
Brandon Nimmo 284 .278 48 7 31 .362 .802
Jeff McNeil 256 .316 38 4 35 .376 .817
Mark Canha 234 .274 38 6 30 .362 .738
Luis Guillorme 168 .292 23 1 7 .364 .709
J.D. Davis 158 .253 25 3 19 .337 .710
Tomás Nido 144 .215 11 0 14 .255 .491

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Garrett Cooper leads Miami in OBP (.373), slugging percentage (.462) and total hits (80) this season.
  • Among all qualifying batters in the majors, Cooper is 13th in batting average, 20th in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging percentage.
  • Miguel Rojas is slugging .378 while driving in 21 runs and batting .249 this season.
  • Rojas is currently 84th in batting average, 115th in on-base percentage and 119th in slugging percentage among all qualifying players.
  • Jesus Aguilar has collected 68 base hits, an OBP of .290 and a slugging percentage of .396 this season.
  • Jon Berti has been key for Miami with 44 hits, an OBP of .354 plus a slugging percentage of .363.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 280 .243 27 10 34 .290 .686
Garrett Cooper 260 .308 26 6 38 .373 .835
Avisaíl García 254 .224 23 6 25 .260 .583
Jesús Sánchez 242 .215 31 11 30 .268 .681
Miguel Rojas 241 .249 24 6 21 .302 .680
Jacob Stallings 191 .194 18 2 21 .258 .504
Jon Berti 171 .257 30 2 18 .354 .717
Bryan De La Cruz 153 .216 19 6 17 .267 .640
Brian Anderson 136 .265 24 3 9 .363 .760
Joey Wendle 108 .287 13 2 13 .345 .762

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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