Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 7, 2022

Written By Staff on July 7, 2022

The New York Mets (51-31) host the Miami Marlins (39-41) on Thursday to start a four-game series, with the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets enter the matchup after a series win over the Reds, and the Marlins are coming off a series split with the Angels. Trevor Williams takes the mound first for New York (-175 to win), and Daniel Castano is Miami’s (+147) choice to start.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of July 7, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Williams (NYM) Pitcher Castano (MIA)
1 – 5 W/L 1 – 1
45.2 IP 26.0
4.34 ERA 2.42
1.336 WHIP 1.346
8.3 K/9 5.2
2.8 BB/9 3.1

Mets Probable Starter Trevor Williams

  • Williams makes the start for the Mets, his eighth of the season. He is 1-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Texas Rangers, when he went 3 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • In 15 games this season, the 30-year-old has put up a 4.34 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .261 to opposing batters.
  • Williams is yet to record a quality start this season.
  • The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .242 batting average, and is 18th in the league with 654 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 348 runs scored. It has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.395) and ranks 14th in home runs (88) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Williams

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Billy Hamilton 12 .167 2 0 0 .231 .398
Miguel Rojas 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .286
Jesús Aguilar 6 .167 1 0 1 .286 .619
Jesús Sánchez 4 .500 2 1 1 .500 1.750
Jacob Stallings 3 .333 1 0 0 .500 .833
Garrett Cooper 3 .667 2 0 1 .667 1.667
Avisaíl García 3 .333 1 0 0 .333 .666
Bryan De La Cruz 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Marlins Probable Starter Daniel Castano

  • The Marlins’ Castano (1-1) will make his fifth start of the season.
  • The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Saturday.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.42 and 5.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .257 in seven games this season.
  • He has two quality starts in four chances this season.
  • The Mets are batting .257 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .400 (11th in the league) with 79 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Castano

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Brandon Nimmo 12 .250 3 1 2 .250 1.000
J.D. Davis 10 .400 4 0 0 .400 1.000
Pete Alonso 9 .333 3 1 4 .455 1.233
Francisco Lindor 6 .167 1 0 1 .286 .619
Jeff McNeil 5 .200 1 0 0 .429 .629
Tomás Nido 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Dominic Smith 4 .500 2 0 0 .500 1.250
Luis Guillorme 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Mark Canha 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Eduardo Escobar 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have put together a 40-18 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 69% of those games).
  • New York has a 12-3 record (winning 80% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -175 or shorter.
  • The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.6% in this matchup.
  • New York has had an over/under set by bookmakers 82 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 43 of those games (43-35-4).
  • The Mets have put together a 45-37-0 record against the spread this season (covering 54.9% of the time).
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Marlins Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have won 16, or 35.6%, of the 45 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Miami has a record of 1-6 when they’re set as an underdog of +147 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 40.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 80 chances this season.
  • The Marlins are 40-40-0 against the spread in their 80 chances this season.

Mets Players to Watch

  • Pete Alonso has racked up 84 hits with a .545 slugging percentage, both team-high stats for the Mets. He’s hitting .281 with 13 doubles, 22 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Among qualified hitters, Alonso ranks 35th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 34th and he is 10th in slugging.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .240 with 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Among qualifying batters, Lindor’s batting average ranks 102nd, his on-base percentage ranks 91st, and he is 86th in the league in slugging.
  • Starling Marte is hitting .288 with 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks.
  • Marte brings a six-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .385 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Brandon Nimmo is hitting .278 with 14 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 29 walks.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Francisco Lindor 312 .240 48 13 57 .320 .733
Pete Alonso 299 .281 46 22 69 .359 .904
Starling Marte 288 .288 50 9 40 .341 .803
Eduardo Escobar 285 .225 33 9 37 .283 .679
Brandon Nimmo 281 .278 47 7 30 .360 .798
Jeff McNeil 253 .316 36 4 35 .374 .817
Mark Canha 230 .270 36 6 30 .360 .734
Luis Guillorme 168 .292 23 1 7 .364 .709
J.D. Davis 154 .240 22 2 14 .328 .666
Tomás Nido 144 .215 11 0 14 .255 .491

Marlins Players to Watch

  • Garrett Cooper leads Miami with 80 hits and an OBP of .377, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .467.
  • Among all the qualifying batters in the big leagues, Cooper’s batting average ranks 13th, his on-base percentage is 18th, and he is 42nd in slugging percentatge.
  • Miguel Rojas has collected 59 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .300.
  • Rojas is 89th in batting average, 120th in on-base percentage and 126th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
  • Jesus Aguilar has 67 hits this season and has a slash line of .242/.290/.397.
  • Jon Berti is batting .263 with a .361 OBP and 18 RBI for Miami this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jesús Aguilar 277 .242 27 10 34 .290 .687
Garrett Cooper 257 .311 26 6 38 .377 .844
Avisaíl García 252 .226 23 6 25 .262 .587
Miguel Rojas 239 .247 24 6 21 .300 .672
Jesús Sánchez 239 .218 31 11 30 .271 .689
Jacob Stallings 191 .194 18 2 21 .258 .504
Jon Berti 167 .263 30 2 18 .361 .732
Bryan De La Cruz 152 .217 19 6 17 .268 .643
Brian Anderson 133 .271 24 3 9 .370 .776
Joey Wendle 105 .295 13 2 13 .353 .782

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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