Mets Vs Marlins: MLB Betting Odds, Trends & Stats – July 7, 2022

The New York Mets (51-31) host the Miami Marlins (39-41) on Thursday to start a four-game series, with the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET at Citi Field. The Mets enter the matchup after a series win over the Reds, and the Marlins are coming off a series split with the Angels. Trevor Williams takes the mound first for New York (-175 to win), and Daniel Castano is Miami’s (+147) choice to start.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of July 7, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET.

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Mets vs Marlins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Mets Probable Starter Trevor Williams

• Williams makes the start for the Mets, his eighth of the season. He is 1-5 with a 4.34 ERA and 42 strikeouts in 45 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Saturday against the Texas Rangers, when he went 3 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up five hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 30-year-old has put up a 4.34 ERA and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .261 to opposing batters.
• Williams is yet to record a quality start this season.
• The opposing Marlins offense has a collective .242 batting average, and is 18th in the league with 654 total hits and 17th in MLB play with 348 runs scored. It has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.395) and ranks 14th in home runs (88) in all of MLB.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Marlins Stats vs Williams

Marlins Probable Starter Daniel Castano

• The Marlins’ Castano (1-1) will make his fifth start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Saturday.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.42 and 5.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .257 in seven games this season.
• He has two quality starts in four chances this season.
• The Mets are batting .257 this season, third in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .400 (11th in the league) with 79 home runs.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of July 7, 2022 at 5:29 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Mets Stats vs Castano

Mets Betting Trends

• The Mets have put together a 40-18 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 69% of those games).
• New York has a 12-3 record (winning 80% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -175 or shorter.
• The Mets have an implied moneyline win probability of 63.6% in this matchup.
• New York has had an over/under set by bookmakers 82 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 43 of those games (43-35-4).
• The Mets have put together a 45-37-0 record against the spread this season (covering 54.9% of the time).

Marlins Betting Trends

• The Marlins have won 16, or 35.6%, of the 45 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
• Miami has a record of 1-6 when they’re set as an underdog of +147 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 40.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 39 of 80 chances this season.
• The Marlins are 40-40-0 against the spread in their 80 chances this season.

Mets Players to Watch

• Pete Alonso has racked up 84 hits with a .545 slugging percentage, both team-high stats for the Mets. He’s hitting .281 with 13 doubles, 22 home runs and 33 walks.
• Among qualified hitters, Alonso ranks 35th in batting average, while his on-base percentage ranks 34th and he is 10th in slugging.
• Francisco Lindor is batting .240 with 11 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
• Among qualifying batters, Lindor’s batting average ranks 102nd, his on-base percentage ranks 91st, and he is 86th in the league in slugging.
• Starling Marte is hitting .288 with 17 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 16 walks.
• Marte brings a six-game hitting streak into this game. During his last 10 games he is batting .385 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .278 with 14 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 29 walks.

Mets Batting Stats (2022)

Marlins Players to Watch

• Garrett Cooper leads Miami with 80 hits and an OBP of .377, plus a team-best slugging percentage of .467.
• Among all the qualifying batters in the big leagues, Cooper’s batting average ranks 13th, his on-base percentage is 18th, and he is 42nd in slugging percentatge.
• Miguel Rojas has collected 59 hits this season to earn an on-base percentage of .300.
• Rojas is 89th in batting average, 120th in on-base percentage and 126th in slugging percentage in the big leagues.
• Jesus Aguilar has 67 hits this season and has a slash line of .242/.290/.397.
• Jon Berti is batting .263 with a .361 OBP and 18 RBI for Miami this season.

Marlins Batting Stats (2022)

Mets vs Marlins Player Props

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